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Liga IMatchweek 11THE MATCH CENTRE

Csikszereda vs Universitatea Craiova match centre

Csikszereda badgeCsikszeredaHome · 16 in league
LWLLL
Momentum↘ Falling17/100OlderLatest
Pre-match
18:00
UK time · Europe/London
Universitatea Craiova badgeUniversitatea CraiovaAway · 3 in league
DWWWW
Momentum↗ Rising90/100OlderLatest
Stadionul Municipal · Miercurea CiucSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Kickoff Edge model

A likely outcome and a good betting price are separate decisions.

No recommendation — prices need checking

Universitatea Craiova to win

Likelihood guide only: the strongest available selection at odds of at least 1.25, or the likeliest match result when prices are missing. It does not qualify as a value recommendation.

Model chance71.5%
Best stored price1.55Betano

Prices need refreshing or checking with the bookmaker before a betting decision. Value-filter price: 1.58 or better. No current price qualifies for a recommendation under this filter.

Break-even at this price: 64.5%. Estimated model return: +10.9% per unit staked, before model error.

Explore this lean in practice → Review the latest price before recording a virtual pick.

Likeliest match result

Universitatea Craiova to win
71.5% model estimate

Stored odds 1.55 · Betano

Goals forecast

Over 2.5 goals
58.6% model estimate

Stored odds 1.82 · Betano

Both teams to score

Both teams to score — No
52.0% model estimate

Stored odds 1.91 · Betano

Double chance

Universitatea Craiova or draw
89.0% model estimate

Stored odds 1.16 · Betano

Projected goals

3.04 total · Csikszereda 0.77 · Universitatea Craiova 2.28

Expected averages from the stored goal model, not a promised score.

Most likely scorelines

0–2 12.4%0–1 10.9%1–2 9.5%

Home–away · individual scores remain uncertain.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Available · Calculated 5 Oct 03:22 UK.

Odds updated 2 Oct 04:48 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 4 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Match winner · 90 minutes Home win5.80Estimated chance 11.0%Pre-match estimate Draw3.98Estimated chance 17.5%Pre-match estimate Away win1.51Estimated chance 71.5%Pre-match estimate Marathonbet · Updated 2 Oct 04:48 UK · Older than 24 hours Chances are estimates for 90 minutes. Stored prices can change; likelihood alone does not establish value.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Reported absences can change the picture. Check confirmed lineups before kickoff. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Csikszereda 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Universitatea Craiova 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

A SECOND MODEL VIEW

Compare the forecasts

Pre-match only

Two separately generated forecasts. Agreement is not proof of accuracy; both may use overlapping football data.

Kickoff Edge

Our stored model estimate

Csikszereda11.0%
Draw17.5%
Universitatea Craiova71.5%
See the match forecast for model details.

API-Football

Provider model estimate

Provider forecast under review

Provider percentages are missing or invalid.

Provider team identities do not match this fixture.

Provider forecast is missing a current timestamp or is more than two hours old.

Provider competition sample for the home team is fewer than five matches or unavailable.

Provider competition sample for the away team is fewer than five matches or unavailable.

Awaiting provider forecast

Provider percentages and advice are withheld when team identities, freshness, competition samples or large bookmaker disagreements fail our quality checks. Accepted percentages are shown as supplied; they are not guarantees. These are forecasts, not bookmaker prices or live win probabilities. No assumption is made that either model accounts for the injury report above.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Kickoff Edge · xG model leans towards Universitatea Craiova (71.5%). The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Csikszereda

1/10Wins
0.9Goals / game
1.9Conceded / game

Keep in view: 7 losses in that sample. At home, 5 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Csikszereda’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Confirmed lineups are not available on this page yet.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Csikszereda at home with Universitatea Craiova away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 5 Oct, 07:27 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Liga I · 2026/27 · all league matches

CsikszeredaUniversitatea Craiova
10Matches played10
1Points earned20
0Wins6
0.6Goals scored / match2.4
2.3Goals conceded / match0.9
1Clean sheets5
6Failed to score1

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Csikszereda at home with Universitatea Craiova away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Awaiting lineups

Official XIs are normally published around 20–60 minutes before kickoff. We check again automatically once that window opens.

Csikszereda

Most-used league formationPendingNo formation data supplied

Starting XI not confirmed. The formation above is a season trend, not a predicted lineup.

Universitatea Craiova

Most-used league formationPendingNo formation data supplied

Starting XI not confirmed. The formation above is a season trend, not a predicted lineup.

2026/27 STANDINGS

Liga I table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Liga I. Both teams are highlighted.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Dinamo Bucuresti107212371623
WWWDW
2Rapid10631146821
WWWDW
3Universitatea Craiova106222491520
WWWDW
4Petrolul Ploiesti106131312119
WDWWL
5Universitatea Cluj95041413115
WWLLL
6Farul Constanta103521414014
LWDDD
7Corvinul Hunedoara10343119213
WLLDD
8CFR 1907 Cluj94141514113
WLDWW
9Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe10343710-313
LWLWD
10Uta Arad103341415-112
WLWWD
11FCSB103341317-412
LDLLL
12FC Botosani102531412211
LDWDW
13Arges Pitesti10325610-411
LDLLL
14Oţelul102441115-410
LLLDW
15FC Voluntari10226922-138
LLWDL
16Csikszereda10019623-171
LLLLL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerCsikszeredaDrawUniversitatea Craiova
Marathonbet5.803.981.51
Betfair5.504.101.50
1xBet5.704.431.54
Betano5.603.901.55

Snapshot from 2 Oct 2026, 04:48 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

PUT YOUR VIEW TO THE TEST

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Start with £1,000 virtual funds. Choose a single or combine different matches in an accumulator, then track confirmed results. No real money. Record an actual bet in your manual journal ↗

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