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League CupRound of 128THE MATCH CENTRE

Burnley vs Notts County match centre

Burnley badgeBurnleyHome
DLLDL
Momentum↓ Low12/100OlderLatest
Full time
1:1
UK time · Europe/London
Notts County badgeNotts CountyAway
WLLLD
Momentum↓ Low23/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
Z. Flemming48′
C. Roberts42′
Turf Moor · BurnleySeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
BurnleyNotts County
3Corner Kicks2
7Fouls14
0Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
1Goalkeeper Saves3
622Total passes220
553Passes accurate160

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Burnley 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Notts County 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Burnley

0/10Wins
1.0Goals / game
2.0Conceded / game

Keep in view: 6 losses in that sample. At home, 0 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Burnley’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Notts County

4/10Wins
1.2Goals / game
0.8Conceded / game

Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 5 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Notts County’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Burnley at home with Notts County away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 06:25 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

League Cup · 2026/27 · all league matches

BurnleyNotts County
0Matches played0
0Points earned0
0Wins0
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
0Clean sheets0
0Failed to score0

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Burnley at home with Notts County away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Burnley

Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Nicky Hayen
  1. 1M. WeissG
  2. 4J. WorrallD
  3. 2K. WalkerD
  4. 6B. HumphreysD
  5. 22O. SonneM
  6. 28H. MejbriM
  7. 8U. RaghouberM
  8. 7J. Bruun LarsenM
  9. 10M. EdwardsF
  10. 21A. RamseyF
  11. 19Z. FlemmingF
Substitutes (9)

13 · B. Amos

31 · M. Tresor Ndayishimiye

17 · A. Hountondji

23 · Lucas Pires

30 · L. Castell

29 · J. Laurent

14 · C. Roberts

18 · H. Ekdal

11 · Z. Amdouni

Notts County

Confirmed formationPending
  1. 1J. BelshawG
  2. 25N. TsaroullaD
  3. 2J. GibbonsD
  4. 12L. NessD
  5. 4J. BedeauD
  6. 14D. LipsiucD
  7. 8O. CooperM
  8. 16D. CampbellM
  9. 15J. EvansM
  10. 39L. NdlovuF
  11. 7C. RobertsF
Substitutes (9)

21 · H. Griffiths

17 · Q. Kouhyar

44 · M. Baker

19 · L. Smyth

30 · R. Reynolds

11 · C. Grant

33 · E. Acquah

23 · L. Browne

49 · K. Muir

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Burnley

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Max Weiss976.2———36—
Joe Worrall977.0———832
Kyle Walker976.9———902
Bashir Humphreys977.2———1153
Oliver Sonne676.9——1391
Hannibal Mejbri977.3———785
Ugo Raghouber676.9——1481
Jacob Bruun Larsen906.9——144—
Marcus Edwards817.3—1229—
Aaron Ramsey676.9———20—
Zian Flemming977.61—4231
Connor Roberts306.6———24—
Josh Laurent306.3———12—
Zeki Amdouni306.5——151
Mike Trésor166.3———10—
Lluc Castell7————3—
Ben Amos———————
Lucas Pires———————
Hjalmar Ekdal———————
Andreas Hountondji———————

Notts County

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
James Belshaw977.2———32—
Nick Tsaroulla806.7—1—223
James Gibbons976.3———27—
Lucas Ness976.7———231
Jacob Bedeau976.6———323
Darius Lipsiuc975.9———16—
Oliver Cooper666.2———161
Dean Campbell976.7———252
Jack Evans976.5———103
Lee Ndlovu666.2———4—
Callum Roberts807.31—111—
Conor Grant316.5——232
Emile Acquah316.6——141
Luke Browne176.7———1—
Qamaruddin Kouhyar176.7——15—
Harry Griffiths———————
Matthew Baker———————
Kameron Muir———————
Ryley Reynolds———————
Luka Smyth———————
2026/27 STANDINGS

League Cup table

League centre ↗

Current standings. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

Standings are not available for this competition and season.

THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerBurnleyDrawNotts County
Bet3651.444.207.00

Snapshot from 7 Aug 2026, 16:16 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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