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League CupRound of 128THE MATCH CENTRE

Cardiff vs Swindon Town match centre

Cardiff badgeCardiffHome
WLWWW
Momentum↗ Rising83/100OlderLatest
Full time
3:2
UK time · Europe/London
Swindon Town badgeSwindon TownAway
LLLWW
Momentum↗ Rising49/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
Y. Salech28′ (pen)
Y. Salech43′
J. Moylan77′
G. Osho9′ (og)
P. Glatzel62′
Cardiff City Stadium · CardiffSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Market chance —See match research Draw—Market chance —See match research Away win—Market chance —See match research No stored odds · open the match for form and team context Chances are estimates for 90 minutes. Stored prices can change; likelihood alone does not establish value.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
CardiffSwindon Town
4Corner Kicks1
2Fouls9
—Yellow Cards—
—Red Cards—
0Goalkeeper Saves1
247Total passes144
207Passes accurate100

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Cardiff 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Swindon Town 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Cardiff

7/10Wins
3.1Goals / game
1.7Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 6 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Cardiff’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Swindon Town

3/10Wins
1.5Goals / game
2.2Conceded / game

Keep in view: 6 losses in that sample. At away venues, 4 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Swindon Town’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Cardiff at home with Swindon Town away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 14:16 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

League Cup · 2026/27 · all league matches

CardiffSwindon Town
0Matches played0
0Points earned0
0Wins0
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
0Clean sheets0
0Failed to score0

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Cardiff at home with Swindon Town away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Cardiff

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Brian Barry-Murphy
  1. 1N. TrottG
  2. 44R. KpakioD
  3. 38P. NgD
  4. 4G. OshoD
  5. 3J. BaganD
  6. 14D. TurnbullM
  7. 18A. RobertsonM
  8. 11O. TannerM
  9. 45C. AshfordM
  10. 39I. DaviesM
  11. 9Y. SalechF
Substitutes (8)

30 · H. Tyrer

47 · C. Robinson

16 · C. Willock

8 · J. Moylan

27 · J. Colwill

33 · R. Tankiewicz

43 · P. Moreno

40 · N. Anyadike

Swindon Town

Confirmed formation4-3-3Scott Holloway Ian
  1. 1C. RipleyG
  2. 2M. ClarkD
  3. 5S. NegruD
  4. 16S. InwoodD
  5. 34B. KirkmanD
  6. 24M. Virtue-ThickM
  7. 7T. NicholsM
  8. 20B. MiddlemasM
  9. 39L. MillardF
  10. 23A. DrinanF
  11. 9P. GlatzelF
Substitutes (6)

12 · L. Ward

17 · R. Tafazolli

28 · O. Palmer

15 · J. Hungbo

18 · J. Debayo

38 · L. Griffiths-Brown

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Cardiff

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Nathan Trott906.7—0—37—
Ronan Kpakio906.0—0—54—
Perry Ng907.2—0—832
Gabriel Osho906.3—0—60—
Joel Bagan906.6—0—513
David Turnbull586.9—0—39—
Alex Robertson907.3—0—771
Ollie Tanner727.0—0—191
Cian Ashford906.9—13532
Isaak Davies586.3—0—19—
Yousef Salech908.9213201
Chris Willock327.0—01152
Joel Colwill326.3—0—111
Jack Moylan187.31019—
Harry Tyrer———————
Noah Anyadike———————
Paul Moreno———————
Rob Tankiewicz———————
Callum Robinson———————

Swindon Town

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Connor Ripley906.9—0—39—
Mitchell Clark646.5—0—201
Stephan Negru907.0—0—313
Sam Inwood456.3—0—161
Billy Kirkman906.9—0—443
Matthew Virtue-Thick636.6—0—161
Tom Nichols586.5—0—161
Ben Middlemas906.9—0—374
Louis Millard586.5—0—9—
Aaron Drinan906.3—03231
Paul Glatzel907.2101302
Ryan Tafazolli456.7—0—101
James Debayo325.9—0—141
Joseph Hungbo327.2—1—15—
Ollie Palmer277.0—015—
Lucas Griffiths-Brown266.0—0—92
Lewis Ward———————
2026/27 STANDINGS

League Cup table

League centre ↗

Current standings. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

Standings are not available for this competition and season.

THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerCardiffDrawSwindon Town
Bet3651.335.507.50

Snapshot from 7 Aug 2026, 16:16 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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