Likeliest match result
Lechia T. Mazowiecki to win48.2% market implied
Stored odds 1.96 · Pinnacle
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 11THE MATCH CENTRELechia T. Mazowiecki vs Polonia Lidzbark Warm. match centre
65′ · Live
1:0
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
M. Pawlusinski34′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Bookmaker marketOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
Pre-match research only
Lechia T. Mazowiecki or draw
Likelihood guide only: the strongest available selection at odds of at least 1.25, or the likeliest match result when prices are missing. It does not qualify as a value recommendation.
Market-implied chance72.1%
Best stored price1.30Betano
A market-based lean does not establish a profitable edge.
Break-even at this price: 76.9%.
Goals forecast
Over 2.5 goals63.6% market implied
Stored odds 1.50 · Bet365
Both teams to score
Both teams to score — Yes65.1% market implied
Stored odds 1.41 · Marathonbet
Double chance
Either team to win (no draw)76.0% market implied
Stored odds 1.24 · Betano
Projected team goals and scorelines are unavailable until a current, consistent Kickoff Edge goal model passes review. The goals market above is a separate bookmaker view.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated 3 Oct 13:01 UK · Within the price-age checks. Match-winner reference: 7 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
65′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
Waiting for shots and shots-on-target data
Lechia T. MazowieckiPolonia Lidzbark Warm.
The score is available. Detailed match statistics have not been supplied yet.
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Group IProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Weszlo | 9 | +16 | 25 | — |
| 2 |  Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki | 9 | +11 | 20 | — |
| 3 |  Wigry Suwałki | 9 | +6 | 16 | — |
| 4 |  Ząbkovia Ząbki | 9 | +2 | 16 | — |
| 5 |  Pelikan Łowicz | 9 | +2 | 16 | — |
| 6 |  Wisła Płock II | 9 | +4 | 15 | — |
| 7 |  Jagiellonia II | 9 | +3 | 15 | — |
| 8 |  Warta Sieradz | 9 | +2 | 14 | — |
| 9 |  Swit | 9 | +2 | 14 | — |
| 10 |  Widzew II | 9 | +3 | 13 | — |
| 11 |  Lechia T. Mazowiecki | 10 | -1 | 13 | ↑ 1 |
| 12 |  Olimpia Zambrów | 9 | -4 | 11 | ↓ 1 |
| 13 |  ŁKS Łódź II | 9 | -3 | 10 | — |
| 14 |  Olimpia Elbląg | 9 | -5 | 10 | — |
| 15 |  Mławianka Mława | 9 | -9 | 7 | — |
| 16 |  Troszyn | 9 | -12 | 6 | — |
| 17 |  Polonia Lidzbark Warm. | 10 | -8 | 5 | — |
| 18 |  Łomża | 9 | -9 | 3 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Reported absences can change the picture. Check confirmed lineups before kickoff. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Lechia T. Mazowiecki 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Polonia Lidzbark Warm. 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Lechia T. Mazowiecki
4/10Wins
2.0Goals / game
2.1Conceded / game
Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At home, 4 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Lechia T. Mazowiecki’s resultsPolonia Lidzbark Warm.
1/10Wins
1.4Goals / game
2.1Conceded / game
Keep in view: 6 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 4 available matches.
Inspect Polonia Lidzbark Warm.’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Confirmed lineups are not available on this page yet.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Lechia T. Mazowiecki
10 matchesResults4 wins · 1 draws · 5 losses
Goals scored per game2.0
Goals conceded per game2.1
Games with 3+ goals8 of 10
Both teams scored9 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Olimpia ElblągAway · III Liga - Group 12–1SwitHome · III Liga - Group 11–2Ząbkovia ZąbkiAway · III Liga - Group 12–4TroszynHome · III Liga - Group 10–2Jagiellonia IIAway · III Liga - Group 11–1ŁKS Łódź IIHome · III Liga - Group 14–3Mławianka MławaAway · III Liga - Group 13–2ŁomżaHome · III Liga - Group 15–2Wisła Płock IIAway · III Liga - Group 11–2WeszloAway · III Liga - Group 11–2
Polonia Lidzbark Warm.
10 matchesResults1 wins · 3 draws · 6 losses
Goals scored per game1.4
Goals conceded per game2.1
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored9 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
WeszloHome · III Liga - Group 11–1Pelikan ŁowiczAway · III Liga - Group 10–1Warta SieradzHome · III Liga - Group 11–2Wigry SuwałkiAway · III Liga - Group 13–1Mazovia Minsk MazowieckiHome · III Liga - Group 12–2Widzew IIAway · III Liga - Group 11–4Olimpia ZambrówHome · III Liga - Group 12–3Wisła Płock IIHome · III Liga - Group 11–1Olimpia ElblągAway · III Liga - Group 12–4SwitHome · III Liga - Group 11–2
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Lechia T. Mazowiecki at home with Polonia Lidzbark Warm. away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 3 Oct, 15:25 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
III Liga - Group 1 · 2026/27 · all league matches
Lechia T. MazowieckiPolonia Lidzbark Warm.
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Lechia T. Mazowiecki at home with Polonia Lidzbark Warm. away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Awaiting lineupsLineups & formations
The provider has not published confirmed XIs for this fixture yet. We are continuing to check.
Lechia T. Mazowiecki
Most-used league formationPendingNo formation data supplied
Starting XI not confirmed. The formation above is a season trend, not a predicted lineup.
Polonia Lidzbark Warm.
Most-used league formationPendingNo formation data supplied
Starting XI not confirmed. The formation above is a season trend, not a predicted lineup.
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Lechia T. Mazowiecki | Draw | Polonia Lidzbark Warm. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marathonbet | 1.85 | 3.54 | 3.34 |
| Betfair | 1.67 | 4.00 | 3.75 |
| Pinnacle | 1.96 | 3.57 | 3.10 |
| Bet365 | 1.91 | 3.80 | 3.10 |
| 1xBet | 1.93 | 4.36 | 3.32 |
Snapshot from 3 Oct 2026, 13:01 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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