Burgos
4/10Wins
1.0Goals / game
0.9Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 4 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Burgos’s results
Segunda DivisiónMatchweek 5THE MATCH CENTREBurgos vs AD Ceuta FC match centre
Full time
3:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Alberto Dadie20′
Jon Karrikaburu48′
Carlos Redruello Nimo81′ (og)
Carlos Hernández14′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
BurgosAD Ceuta FC
—Expected goals · API-Football—
2Shots on target3
7Total Shots12
47%Ball Possession53%
1Corner Kicks7
21Fouls13
3Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards0
2Goalkeeper Saves0
457Total passes461
368Passes accurate392
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Burgos 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
AD Ceuta FC 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
AD Ceuta FC
4/10Wins
1.0Goals / game
1.7Conceded / game
Keep in view: 6 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect AD Ceuta FC’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Burgos
10 matchesResults4 wins · 4 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.0
Goals conceded per game0.9
Games with 3+ goals3 of 10
Both teams scored3 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
OviedoAway · Segunda División0–0Real Sociedad IIHome · Segunda División2–2Sporting GijonAway · Segunda División0–1CordobaHome · Segunda División3–2Cultural LeonesaHome · Friendlies Clubs0–0Athletic ClubHome · Friendlies Clubs0–3Unionistas de SalamancaAway · Friendlies Clubs1–0Athletic Club IIHome · Friendlies Clubs1–1Real Sociedad IIHome · Friendlies Clubs2–0FC AndorraHome · Segunda División1–0
AD Ceuta FC
10 matchesResults4 wins · 0 draws · 6 losses
Goals scored per game1.0
Goals conceded per game1.7
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored4 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Celta de Vigo IIHome · Segunda División0–2MallorcaAway · Segunda División0–3Las PalmasHome · Segunda División0–2FC AndorraAway · Segunda División1–5MalagaHome · Friendlies Clubs2–1CadizAway · Friendlies Clubs3–1SevillaAway · Friendlies Clubs1–2Juventud TorremolinosAway · Friendlies Clubs0–1AlbaceteHome · Segunda División1–0FC AndorraAway · Segunda División2–0
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Burgos at home with AD Ceuta FC away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 01:48 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Segunda División · 2026/27 · all league matches
BurgosAD Ceuta FC
6Matches played6
11Points earned1
3Wins0
1.7Goals scored / match0.5
1.2Goals conceded / match2.7
1Clean sheets0
2Failed to score3
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Burgos at home with AD Ceuta FC away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Burgos
Confirmed formation4-4-2Sergio Francisco
- 13
Ander CanteroG - 23
Alberto DadieD - 5
Marcelo ExpósitoD - 8
GregoD - 3
Ignasi VilarrasaD - 14
David GonzálezM - 20
José GrageraM - 12
Unai VencedorM - 19
Javi LlabrésM - 7
Jon KarrikaburuF - 16
Curro SánchezF
Substitutes (11)
17 · Mario Cantero
9 · Álex Forés
4 · P. Galdames
1 · Bruno Iribarne
24 · S. Lencinas
15 · Oier Luengo
22 · Brais Martínez
36 · I. Martinez
11 · Víctor Mollejo
18 · Saúl del Cerro
10 · K. Appin
AD Ceuta FC
Confirmed formation4-3-3José Juan Romero
- 1
Pedro LópezG - 16
RedruD - 6
Carlos HernándezD - 14
Y. BodigerD - 3
José MatosD - 8
KukiM - 32Chidiebere Gabriel OkoroM
- 17
Mawuli MensahM - 19
E. SevikyanF - 29
O. SadikF - 7
Alejandro Camacho RamírezF
Substitutes (8)
13 · Guille Vallejo
20 · Álex Meléndez
34 · D. Mas
27 · U. Konare
15 · Joaquín
9 · Jordi Escobar
26 · Arick Betancourt
2 · Toni Abad
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Burgos
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Appin | 24 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 |
| Saúl del Cerro | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Víctor Mollejo | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| I. Martinez | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Brais Martínez | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Oier Luengo | 15 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 |
| S. Lencinas | 9 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| Bruno Iribarne | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| P. Galdames | 24 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 2 |
| Álex Forés | 24 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 |
| Marcelo Expósito | 90 | 7.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 58 | 2 |
| Mario Cantero | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ander Cantero | 90 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 37 | 0 |
| Alberto Dadie | 90 | 6.8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 47 | 3 |
| Grego | 90 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 51 | 2 |
| Ignasi Vilarrasa | 90 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 1 |
| David González | 90 | 6.9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 38 | 2 |
| José Gragera | 75 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 44 | 5 |
| Unai Vencedor | 66 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 4 |
| Javi Llabrés | 66 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 0 |
| Jon Karrikaburu | 66 | 8.1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 1 |
| Curro Sánchez | 81 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 34 | 3 |
| M. Monedero | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
AD Ceuta FC
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guille Vallejo | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Álex Meléndez | 9 | 5.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 2 |
| D. Mas | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| U. Konare | 19 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 |
| Joaquín | 9 | 5.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
| Jordi Escobar | 6 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| Arick Betancourt | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Toni Abad | 9 | 5.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 |
| Pedro López | 90 | 5.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 0 |
| Redru | 90 | 5.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 43 | 1 |
| Carlos Hernández | 90 | 7.3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 51 | 2 |
| Y. Bodiger | 90 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 71 | 3 |
| José Matos | 81 | 5.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 34 | 0 |
| Kuki | 90 | 7.7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 36 | 2 |
| Chidiebere Gabriel Okoro | 81 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 45 | 4 |
| Mawuli Mensah | 81 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 49 | 2 |
| E. Sevikyan | 71 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 2 |
| O. Sadik | 90 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 2 |
| Alejandro Camacho Ramírez | 84 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 0 |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Segunda División table
Current standings · Segunda. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Castellón | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 2 | 12 | 19 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Eibar | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 18 | WWWWW |
| 3 |  Almeria | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 15 | WWWWL |
| 4 | Burgos | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 14 | WWWDD |
| 5 |  Girona | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 13 | WWLWW |
| 6 |  Mallorca | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 13 | LWWDW |
| 7 |  Sabadell | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 12 | DWLWW |
| 8 |  Oviedo | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | WLWDW |
| 9 |  Tenerife | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 11 | DLWDL |
| 10 |  Leganes | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 11 | LWLDW |
| 11 |  Las Palmas | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 10 | LLWDL |
| 12 |  Sporting Gijon | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 10 | LWLLW |
| 13 |  Granada CF | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 8 | LLDLW |
| 14 |  Real Sociedad II | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 8 | LLWDD |
| 15 |  Celta de Vigo II | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 8 | DLLWL |
| 16 |  Valladolid | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 8 | WDLWD |
| 17 |  FC Andorra | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 6 | WLLLL |
| 18 |  Cordoba | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 6 | LWLLL |
| 19 |  Eldense | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 5 | LLWDL |
| 20 |  Cadiz | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 4 | DLLLD |
| 21 | AD Ceuta FC | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 17 | -11 | 4 | WDLLL |
| 22 |  Albacete | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 1 | LLDLL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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