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Almeria vs Celta de Vigo II match centre

Almeria badgeAlmeriaHome · 3 in league
WLLWW
Momentum↗ Rising63/100OlderLatest
Full time
2:0
UK time · Europe/London
Celta de Vigo II badgeCelta de Vigo IIAway · 15 in league
DWLWL
Momentum→ Steady45/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
Nicolás Melamed Ribaudo6′
Javier Muñoz Jiménez18′
UD Almería Stadium · AlmeriaSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Out of date · Calculated 20 Sep 17:16 UK.

Odds updated 20 Sep 14:46 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 9 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win1.45Our model 55.5%Market 64.9% Draw4.33Our model 22.8%Market 21.7% Away win7.00Our model 21.7%Market 13.4% Bet365 · Updated 20 Sep 14:46 UK · Older than 24 hours Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
AlmeriaCelta de Vigo II
2Corner Kicks5
12Fouls5
0Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards0
1Goalkeeper Saves4
479Total passes433
414Passes accurate381

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Almeria 0 reported

No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.

Celta de Vigo II 0 reported

No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.

Fetched 20 Sep, 10:44 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Almeria

6/10Wins
1.5Goals / game
0.7Conceded / game

Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 8 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Almeria’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Celta de Vigo II

4/10Wins
1.5Goals / game
1.2Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 4 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Celta de Vigo II’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Almeria at home with Celta de Vigo II away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 03:29 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Segunda División · 2026/27 · all league matches

AlmeriaCelta de Vigo II
6Matches played6
12Points earned7
4Wins2
1.7Goals scored / match1.2
0.7Goals conceded / match1.7
3Clean sheets2
2Failed to score3

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Almeria at home with Celta de Vigo II away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Almeria

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Xavier García Pimienta
  1. 1Andrés FernándezG
  2. 2Marcos LunaD
  3. 21ChumiD
  4. 18F. BoniniD
  5. 3Álex MuñozD
  6. 29S. DžodićM
  7. 14Javi MuñozM
  8. 23Adri EmbarbaM
  9. 10Nico MelamedM
  10. 17B. CipengaM
  11. 24Miguel de la FuenteF
Substitutes (11)

22 · D. Chirino

9 · Thalys

12 · Léo Baptistão

30 · Jesús López

13 · Fernando Martínez

7 · Jon Morcillo

5 · Jorge Pulido

20 · Álex Sola

6 · Mikel Vesga

15 · Leonardo Lelo

11 · Sergio Arribas

Celta de Vigo II

Confirmed formation3-4-3Fredi
  1. 1Coke CarrilloG
  2. 3K. RibesD
  3. 6P. MeixusD
  4. 20A. RodriguezD
  5. 23G. MillerM
  6. 16Adrià CapdevilaM
  7. 17H. CuencaM
  8. 18Joel LópezM
  9. 10O. MarcosF
  10. 7B. SomuahF
  11. 11Ángel ArcosF
Substitutes (11)

13 · Caio Barone

19 · A. Davila Outerelo

2 · P. Gavian

25 · M. Gonzalez

28 · Vladimir Henrique Silva

15 · A. Kibet

9 · A. Marin

4 · S. M. Ndiaye

14 · Jan Oliveras

21 · Alexis Olmedo

29 · M. Sobral

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Almeria

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Andrés Fernández906.9000300
Marcos Luna907.8010523
Chumi907.6000574
F. Bonini907.5000790
Álex Muñoz907.3001433
Sergio Arribas287.2002150
Leonardo Lelo00.000000
Mikel Vesga457.2000312
Álex Sola116.500020
Jorge Pulido00.000000
Jon Morcillo116.900120
Fernando Martínez00.000000
Jesús López00.000000
Thalys26.500000
D. Chirino00.000000
Léo Baptistão00.000000
S. Džodić457.1000271
Javi Muñoz908.9111353
Adri Embarba797.0002292
Nico Melamed628.2103300
B. Cipenga796.6001311
Miguel de la Fuente886.4005181

Celta de Vigo II

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Coke Carrillo907.0000200
K. Ribes906.8001620
P. Meixus906.3000560
A. Rodriguez906.4000791
G. Miller906.5001332
Adrià Capdevila906.3001492
H. Cuenca735.8001301
Joel López645.9000280
Caio Barone00.000000
A. Davila Outerelo00.000000
P. Gavian266.1000151
M. Gonzalez00.000000
Vladimir Henrique Silva176.400141
A. Kibet76.000140
A. Marin456.700370
S. M. Ndiaye00.000000
Jan Oliveras00.000000
Alexis Olmedo00.000000
M. Sobral456.2001171
O. Marcos836.6002231
B. Somuah456.200080
Ángel Arcos456.6000170
2026/27 STANDINGS

Segunda División table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Segunda. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Castellón76101421219
WWWWW
2Eibar7601156918
WWWWW
3Almeria7502114715
WWWWL
4Burgos7421117414
WWWDD
5Girona7412148613
WWLWW
6Mallorca741283513
LWWDW
7Sabadell733186212
DWLWW
8Oviedo732274311
WLWDW
9Tenerife732289-111
DLWDL
10Leganes732267-111
LWLDW
11Las Palmas73131011-110
LLWDL
12Sporting Gijon731356-110
LWLLW
13Granada CF72231011-18
LLDLW
14Real Sociedad II7223910-18
LLWDD
15Celta de Vigo II7223811-38
DLLWL
16Valladolid722369-38
WDLWD
17FC Andorra72051215-36
WLLLL
18Cordoba72051016-66
LWLLL
19Eldense712449-55
LLWDL
20Cadiz7043710-34
DLLLD
21AD Ceuta FC7115617-114
WDLLL
22Albacete7016412-81
LLDLL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerAlmeriaDrawCelta de Vigo II
William Hill1.404.336.00
Bet3651.454.337.00
Marathonbet1.414.656.60
Betfair1.334.606.50
BetVictor1.404.406.50

Snapshot from 20 Sep 2026, 14:46 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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