Almeria
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 8 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Almeria’s resultsPre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Our model: Out of date · Calculated 20 Sep 17:16 UK.
Odds updated 20 Sep 14:46 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 9 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
Statistics and key moments from this match.
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.
No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.
Fetched 20 Sep, 10:44 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 8 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Almeria’s resultsKeep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 4 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Celta de Vigo II’s resultsHistorical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Past results, not predictions.
Past results, not predictions.
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Almeria at home with Celta de Vigo II away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 03:29 UK.
Segunda División · 2026/27 · all league matches
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Almeria at home with Celta de Vigo II away. Small samples can be misleading.
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
22 · D. Chirino
9 · Thalys
12 · Léo Baptistão
30 · Jesús López
13 · Fernando Martínez
7 · Jon Morcillo
5 · Jorge Pulido
20 · Álex Sola
6 · Mikel Vesga
15 · Leonardo Lelo
11 · Sergio Arribas
13 · Caio Barone
19 · A. Davila Outerelo
2 · P. Gavian
25 · M. Gonzalez
28 · Vladimir Henrique Silva
15 · A. Kibet
9 · A. Marin
4 · S. M. Ndiaye
14 · Jan Oliveras
21 · Alexis Olmedo
29 · M. Sobral
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrés Fernández | 90 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 0 |
| Marcos Luna | 90 | 7.8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 52 | 3 |
| Chumi | 90 | 7.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 57 | 4 |
| F. Bonini | 90 | 7.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 79 | 0 |
| Álex Muñoz | 90 | 7.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 43 | 3 |
| Sergio Arribas | 28 | 7.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 0 |
| Leonardo Lelo | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mikel Vesga | 45 | 7.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 2 |
| Álex Sola | 11 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Jorge Pulido | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jon Morcillo | 11 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Fernando Martínez | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jesús López | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Thalys | 2 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| D. Chirino | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Léo Baptistão | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| S. Džodić | 45 | 7.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 1 |
| Javi Muñoz | 90 | 8.9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 35 | 3 |
| Adri Embarba | 79 | 7.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 2 |
| Nico Melamed | 62 | 8.2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 30 | 0 |
| B. Cipenga | 79 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 1 |
| Miguel de la Fuente | 88 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 1 |
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coke Carrillo | 90 | 7.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 0 |
| K. Ribes | 90 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 62 | 0 |
| P. Meixus | 90 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 56 | 0 |
| A. Rodriguez | 90 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 79 | 1 |
| G. Miller | 90 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 33 | 2 |
| Adrià Capdevila | 90 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 49 | 2 |
| H. Cuenca | 73 | 5.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 1 |
| Joel López | 64 | 5.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 0 |
| Caio Barone | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| A. Davila Outerelo | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| P. Gavian | 26 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 1 |
| M. Gonzalez | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Vladimir Henrique Silva | 17 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| A. Kibet | 7 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| A. Marin | 45 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 |
| S. M. Ndiaye | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jan Oliveras | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Alexis Olmedo | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| M. Sobral | 45 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 1 |
| O. Marcos | 83 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 1 |
| B. Somuah | 45 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 |
| Ángel Arcos | 45 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 0 |
Current standings · Segunda. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 2 | 12 | 19 | WWWWW | |
| 2 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 18 | WWWWW | |
| 3 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 15 | WWWWL | |
| 4 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 14 | WWWDD | |
| 5 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 13 | WWLWW | |
| 6 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 13 | LWWDW | |
| 7 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 12 | DWLWW | |
| 8 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | WLWDW | |
| 9 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 11 | DLWDL | |
| 10 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 11 | LWLDW | |
| 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 10 | LLWDL | |
| 12 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 10 | LWLLW | |
| 13 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 8 | LLDLW | |
| 14 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 8 | LLWDD | |
| 15 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 8 | DLLWL | |
| 16 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 8 | WDLWD | |
| 17 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 6 | WLLLL | |
| 18 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 6 | LWLLL | |
| 19 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 5 | LLWDL | |
| 20 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 4 | DLLLD | |
| 21 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 17 | -11 | 4 | WDLLL | |
| 22 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 1 | LLDLL |
| Bookmaker | Almeria | Draw | Celta de Vigo II |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.40 | 4.33 | 6.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.45 | 4.33 | 7.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.41 | 4.65 | 6.60 |
| Betfair | 1.33 | 4.60 | 6.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.40 | 4.40 | 6.50 |
Snapshot from 20 Sep 2026, 14:46 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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