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La LigaMatchweek 5THE MATCH CENTRE

Celta Vigo vs Malaga match centre

Celta Vigo badgeCelta VigoHome · 14 in league
DLLDD
Momentum↗ Rising21/100OlderLatest
Full time
1:1
UK time · Europe/London
Malaga badgeMalagaAway · 20 in league
DLDLD
Momentum↓ Low20/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
Ferran Jutglà41′
Adrian Nino83′
Municipal de Balaídos · VigoSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
Celta VigoMalaga
1Corner Kicks5
10Fouls10
1Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards0
1Goalkeeper Saves4
484Total passes559
426Passes accurate497

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Celta Vigo 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Malaga 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Celta Vigo

2/10Wins
1.2Goals / game
1.1Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Celta Vigo’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Malaga

2/10Wins
1.5Goals / game
1.9Conceded / game

Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 4 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Malaga’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Celta Vigo at home with Malaga away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 03:30 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

La Liga · 2026/27 · all league matches

Celta VigoMalaga
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Celta Vigo at home with Malaga away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Celta Vigo

Confirmed formation3-4-3Claudio Giráldez
  1. 13I. RaduG
  2. 21S. CáceresD
  3. 18Yoel LagoD
  4. 3Marcos AlonsoD
  5. 17Javi RuedaM
  6. 8Miguel RománM
  7. 6I. MoribaM
  8. 5Sergio CarreiraM
  9. 16Hugo GonzálezF
  10. 9Ferran JutglàF
  11. 23Hugo ÁlvarezF
Substitutes (12)

25 · Iván Villar

19 · W. Swedberg

2 · C. Starfelt

20 · Javi Rodríguez

15 · Álvaro Núñez

22 · Javi Galán

11 · Pablo Durán

24 · C. Driouech

30 · H. Burcio

1 · A. Bayındır

10 · Iago Aspas

4 · A. Faye

Malaga

Confirmed formation4-4-2Funes
  1. 1Alfonso HerreroG
  2. 31RafitaD
  3. 15Ángel RecioD
  4. 4Einar GalileaD
  5. 12José SalinasD
  6. 10David LarrubiaM
  7. 23Izan MerinoM
  8. 18Pablo MartínezM
  9. 11Joaquín MuñozM
  10. 22Dani LorenzoF
  11. 9ChupeF
Substitutes (10)

25 · Juan Berrocal

2 · J. Cajuste

19 · Juan Cruz

6 · Ramón Enríquez

32 · J. Fernandez

17 · Eneko Jauregi

13 · Carlos López

21 · Adrián Niño Heredia

3 · Puga

14 · Rafa Rodríguez

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Malaga

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Pablo Martínez907.7012491
Rafa Rodríguez00.000000
Puga236.3000111
Adrián Niño Heredia238.210310
Carlos López00.000000
Eneko Jauregi00.000000
J. Fernandez00.000000
Ramón Enríquez456.8000430
Juan Cruz296.400050
J. Cajuste00.000000
Juan Berrocal36.300010
José Salinas876.9000502
Ángel Recio906.8002670
Rafita906.6000541
Joaquín Muñoz616.0001111
Izan Merino676.5000540
Dani Lorenzo676.4000420
David Larrubia906.5002281
Einar Galilea456.2000640
Chupe905.9002160
Alfonso Herrero907.4000630

Celta Vigo

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
I. Radu906.6000190
Javi Rueda846.7000251
Miguel Román906.7002623
I. Moriba747.1001401
Yoel Lago906.3000611
Ferran Jutglà848.2103170
Sergio Carreira906.4001411
S. Cáceres907.0001671
Hugo Álvarez746.4001190
Marcos Alonso907.0001662
Iván Villar00.000000
W. Swedberg286.5001141
C. Starfelt00.000000
Javi Rodríguez00.000000
Álvaro Núñez00.000000
Javi Galán66.500080
Pablo Durán00.000000
C. Driouech166.200150
H. Burcio166.9001181
A. Bayındır00.000000
Iago Aspas66.100150
A. Faye00.000000
Hugo González627.5013170
2026/27 STANDINGS

La Liga table

League centre ↗

Current standings · La Liga. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Barcelona77003172421
WWWWW
2Atletico Madrid7511167916
WWWLW
3Real Betis751197216
DWWWL
4Real Madrid75021881015
LWWLW
5Sevilla7412109113
LWWDL
6Alaves7322116511
DLLWW
7Deportivo La Coruna7241108210
DLDWW
8Real Sociedad7313913-410
WLWDW
9Villarreal7223131218
WWLLL
10Athletic Club62227618
DDWWL
11Getafe722347-38
WLDDL
12Rayo Vallecano72231116-58
DWLWL
13Osasuna7223613-78
DLLLW
14Celta Vigo71428627
WDDDL
15Espanyol7214101007
LLWDL
16Racing Santander72141121-107
LLWLW
17Levante6123812-45
LLDWD
18Elche71241117-65
WLDLL
19Valencia7115413-94
LWLLL
20Malaga7034312-93
LLDDL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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