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La LigaMatchweek 5THE MATCH CENTRE

Sevilla vs Valencia match centre

Sevilla badgeSevillaHome · 5 in league
LWWLD
Momentum↘ Falling46/100OlderLatest
Full time
1:0
UK time · Europe/London
Valencia badgeValenciaAway · 19 in league
LDLLL
Momentum↓ Low6/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
Juan Antonio Iglesias Sánchez81′
Estadio Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán · SevilleSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
SevillaValencia
6Corner Kicks4
8Fouls12
1Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards0
0Goalkeeper Saves3
348Total passes427
274Passes accurate349

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Sevilla 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Valencia 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Sevilla

5/10Wins
1.3Goals / game
1.1Conceded / game

Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 6 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Sevilla’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Valencia

2/10Wins
0.9Goals / game
1.6Conceded / game

Keep in view: 6 losses in that sample. At away venues, 4 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Valencia’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Sevilla at home with Valencia away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 02:56 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

La Liga · 2026/27 · all league matches

SevillaValencia
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Sevilla at home with Valencia away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Sevilla

Confirmed formation4-4-2Luis García
  1. 1O. VlachodimosG
  2. 2Juan IglesiasD
  3. 5Andrés CastrínD
  4. 4Kike SalasD
  5. 17G. SuazoD
  6. 30M. SierraM
  7. 6L. AgouméM
  8. 24Y. FofanaM
  9. 20Félix CorreiaM
  10. 19L. StassinF
  11. 16IsaacF
Substitutes (12)

22 · José Ángel Carmona

14 · Manu Bueno

3 · Julio Díaz del Romo

21 · C. Ejuke

10 · Peque Fernández

7 · Alfon González

13 · Fran González

18 · Jon Guridi

8 · G. Kochorashvili

34 · Iker Ortín Muñoz

9 · R. Ure

23 · Marcão

Valencia

Confirmed formation4-4-1-1Carlos Corberán
  1. 1S. DimitrievskiG
  2. 22Arnau MartínezD
  3. 5César TárregaD
  4. 18PepeluD
  5. 14José GayàD
  6. 27David OtorbiM
  7. 15A. DiengM
  8. 23F. UgrinicM
  9. 39R. SatoM
  10. 8Javi GuerraM
  11. 7A. DanjumaF
Substitutes (12)

36 · Iker Córdoba

9 · Hugo Duro

38 · Jaume Durá

10 · H. Elliott

24 · Pablo Maffeo

33 · Aaron Mayol

29 · Alex Panach

19 · Dani Raba

21 · Jesús Vázquez

12 · J. de Haas

25 · K. van Oevelen

37 · Aimar Blázquez

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Sevilla

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Manu Bueno00.000000
Marcão00.000000
R. Ure276.500060
Iker Ortín Muñoz00.000000
G. Kochorashvili196.901180
Jon Guridi76.500051
Fran González00.000000
Alfon González00.000000
Peque Fernández00.000000
C. Ejuke276.300080
Julio Díaz del Romo76.600010
José Ángel Carmona00.000000
O. Vlachodimos906.9000120
Juan Iglesias907.2101412
Andrés Castrín907.0001382
Kike Salas907.4002433
G. Suazo907.3000344
M. Sierra636.4001160
L. Agoumé906.6002461
Y. Fofana716.8003293
Félix Correia836.3000260
L. Stassin836.4001120
Isaac636.0001232

Valencia

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Aimar Blázquez00.000000
Iker Córdoba666.7000400
Hugo Duro76.300010
Jaume Durá00.000000
H. Elliott286.2000120
Pablo Maffeo285.9000101
Aaron Mayol00.000000
Alex Panach00.000000
Dani Raba00.000000
Jesús Vázquez76.400062
J. de Haas00.000000
K. van Oevelen00.000000
S. Dimitrievski906.6000370
Arnau Martínez625.8001250
Pepelu906.4000643
César Tárrega246.6000211
José Gayà836.8000345
David Otorbi906.1001221
A. Dieng906.9000517
F. Ugrinic907.0000382
R. Sato625.9000270
Javi Guerra836.5000150
A. Danjuma906.1001240
2026/27 STANDINGS

La Liga table

League centre ↗

Current standings · La Liga. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Barcelona77003172421
WWWWW
2Atletico Madrid7511167916
WWWLW
3Real Betis751197216
DWWWL
4Real Madrid75021881015
LWWLW
5Sevilla7412109113
LWWDL
6Alaves7322116511
DLLWW
7Deportivo La Coruna7241108210
DLDWW
8Real Sociedad7313913-410
WLWDW
9Villarreal7223131218
WWLLL
10Athletic Club62227618
DDWWL
11Getafe722347-38
WLDDL
12Rayo Vallecano72231116-58
DWLWL
13Osasuna7223613-78
DLLLW
14Celta Vigo71428627
WDDDL
15Espanyol7214101007
LLWDL
16Racing Santander72141121-107
LLWLW
17Levante6123812-45
LLDWD
18Elche71241117-65
WLDLL
19Valencia7115413-94
LWLLL
20Malaga7034312-93
LLDDL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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