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Algeciras vs Águilas match centre

Algeciras badgeAlgecirasHome · 17 in league
LDLLL
Momentum↓ Low6/100OlderLatest
Full time
1:1
UK time · Europe/London
Águilas badgeÁguilasAway · 15 in league
LWDLW
Momentum→ Steady49/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
D. Merchan14′ (og)
Scorer pending90+14′
Estadio Nuevo Mirador · AlgecirasSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Out of date · Calculated 20 Sep 14:50 UK.

Odds updated 20 Sep 14:48 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 9 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win2.10Our model 41.2%Market 42.8% Draw3.00Our model 25.7%Market 30.0% Away win3.30Our model 33.0%Market 27.2% Bet365 · Updated 20 Sep 14:48 UK · Older than 24 hours Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
AlgecirasÁguilas

The score is available. Detailed match statistics have not been supplied yet.

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Algeciras 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Águilas 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Algeciras

3/10Wins
1.2Goals / game
1.7Conceded / game

Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Algeciras’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Águilas

5/10Wins
1.0Goals / game
0.7Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 4 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Águilas’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

Algeciras

10 matches
Oldest newest
Results3 wins · 2 draws · 5 losses
Goals scored per game1.2
Goals conceded per game1.7
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10

Past results, not predictions.

See results

Águilas

10 matches
Oldest newest
Results5 wins · 3 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.0
Goals conceded per game0.7
Games with 3+ goals3 of 10
Both teams scored3 of 10

Past results, not predictions.

See results
About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Algeciras at home with Águilas away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 05:53 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Primera División RFEF - Group 2 · 2026/27 · all league matches

AlgecirasÁguilas
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Algeciras at home with Águilas away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Algeciras

Confirmed formationPendingAdrian Colunga
  1. 1I. Moreno
  2. 3J. Marquez
  3. 5A. Gomez
  4. 2F. Carmona
  5. 11T. Sanchez
  6. 6O. Castro
  7. 20J. Alamo
  8. 19D. Y. Iglesias
  9. 8I. Turrillo
  10. 7J. Garcia
  11. 9R. Rubio
Substitutes (10)

13 · T. Paradowski

15 · V. Ruiz

4 · A. Coch

14 · D. Almeida

21 · T. Ramon

10 · D. Garrido

26 · S. Gonzalez

17 · J. Aviles

18 · P. Martinez

29 · E. Herrero

Águilas

Confirmed formationPendingAdrian Hernandez
  1. 13J. Salcedo
  2. 3J. Mas
  3. 4A. Sanchez
  4. 22A. Revuelta
  5. 17D. Merchan
  6. 8M. Abenza
  7. 5A. Perez
  8. 11J. Raigal
  9. 16A. Collado
  10. 10J. Castedo
  11. 19G. Serrano Iranzo
Substitutes (10)

1 · I. Martinez Marti

2 · J. Terranova

15 · Fromsa

18 · J. Martinez

6 · Y. El Arbaoui

21 · A. Heredia

14 · A. Nyada

20 · U. Lobede

7 · Serpeta

12 · M. Seyran

2026/27 STANDINGS

Primera División RFEF - Group 2 table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Segunda B: Group 2. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Villarreal II5410125713
WDWWW
2Zaragoza540185312
WWWWL
3Real Jaén531185310
LWWDW
4Alcorcon52308449
WWDDD
5Real Murcia43018629
WLWW
6Hércules53025509
WWWLL
7Atlético Madrid II52219548
LDWWD
8Antequera52218628
WDDLW
9Gimnastic52127707
LLWDW
10Sant Andreu52125507
WDLWL
11Ibiza520378-16
LLWWL
12Huesca513146-26
DDLDW
13FC Cartagena41214315
LDDW
14Real Madrid II51224405
LDLWD
15Águilas512246-25
LDWLD
16Rayo Majadahonda511356-14
LWDLL
17Algeciras5113711-44
WDLLL
18Europa Fc511337-44
WLLDL
19Teruel502318-72
DLLLD
20Juventud Torremolinos5014611-51
LLLLD
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerAlgecirasDrawÁguilas
William Hill2.152.803.25
Bet3652.103.003.30
Marathonbet2.122.653.72
Betfair2.203.103.30
BetVictor2.153.103.50

Snapshot from 20 Sep 2026, 14:48 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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