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Ligue 3Matchweek 7THE MATCH CENTRE

Rouen vs Aubagne match centre

Rouen badgeRouenHome · 2 in league
WWWDW
Momentum↘ Falling85/100OlderLatest
Full time
1:0
UK time · Europe/London
Aubagne badgeAubagneAway · 16 in league
LLWDL
Momentum→ Steady28/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
W. Pacius1′
Stade Robert Diochon · RouenSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Out of date · Calculated 19 Sep 13:36 UK.

Odds updated 19 Sep 11:35 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 6 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win1.55Our model 60.2%Market 57.9% Draw3.60Our model 25.1%Market 24.9% Away win5.25Our model 14.7%Market 17.1% Bet365 · Updated 19 Sep 11:35 UK · Older than 24 hours Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
RouenAubagne

The score is available. Detailed match statistics have not been supplied yet.

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Rouen 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Aubagne 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Rouen

7/10Wins
1.6Goals / game
0.4Conceded / game

Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At home, 4 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Rouen’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Aubagne

2/10Wins
1.0Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game

Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Aubagne’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Rouen at home with Aubagne away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 04:52 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Ligue 3 · 2026/27 · all league matches

RouenAubagne
7Matches played—
17Points earned—
5Wins—
1.9Goals scored / match—
0.3Goals conceded / match—
5Clean sheets—
1Failed to score—

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Rouen at home with Aubagne away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

4 recorded meetings

Rouen

1wins
1 draw

Aubagne

2wins

Aug 2024 – Apr 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.

Scores shown with Rouen first; venues vary.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Rouen

Confirmed formationPendingRegis Brouard
  1. 1A. Maraval
  2. 5J. Gaspar
  3. 15Z. Lamgahez
  4. 22F. Mendy
  5. 18C. Bassin
  6. 13B. Camara
  7. 12A. Toure
  8. 19L. Tramoni
  9. 28W. Pacius
  10. 10I. Karamoko
  11. 9M. Tchokounte
Substitutes (7)

30 · D. Desprez

3 · M. Borne

25 · S. Diaby

8 · G. Egny

11 · N. Sommer

21 · S. Traore

29 · J. Viana

Aubagne

Confirmed formationPendingKarim Masmoudi
  1. 1I. Toure
  2. 24S. Ahamada
  3. 5R. Doucoure
  4. 26M. Nehari
  5. 23Y. Aradj
  6. 6A. Tafni
  7. 22W. Bouaziz
  8. 27J. Sahraoui
  9. 18A. Oudjani
  10. 10K. Cisse
  11. 17J. Porsan Clemente
Substitutes (7)

16 · T. Moreira

32 · M. Assoumani

20 · A. Bellebrahim

21 · M. Ahamadi

19 · B. Doukansy

11 · B. Tafni

9 · Y. Zemoura

2026/27 STANDINGS

Ligue 3 table

League centre ↗

Current standings · National. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1La Roche VF8530127518
WWDDW
2Rouen85211551017
LWWDW
3Caen8503159615
WLWWL
4Concarneau8341107313
DWWDD
5Versailles84131212013
WDWLL
6Amiens833293612
DWDWW
7Cannes826083512
DDDWW
8Thionville Lusitanos83321413112
LDLDD
9Gobelins833267-112
WDLDD
10Bastia9324711-411
DLDWL
11Quevilly824279-210
DDWDW
12Le Puy Foot8314109110
LWLDL
13Orleans9234711-49
DDLLD
14Fleury 918233121029
LDWWL
15Valenciennes8224913-48
WLLDD
16Aubagne821559-47
WLLDW
17Bourg-en-bresse 018125513-85
DDLLL
18Villefranche8116719-124
LLDLL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerRouenDrawAubagne
William Hill1.573.505.00
Bet3651.553.605.25
Marathonbet1.533.565.40
BetVictor1.573.605.50
Pinnacle1.613.885.66

Snapshot from 19 Sep 2026, 11:35 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

PUT YOUR VIEW TO THE TEST

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