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Primeira LigaMatchweek 4THE MATCH CENTRE

Arouca vs Maritimo match centre

Arouca badgeAroucaHome · 5 in league
LWWWL
Momentum→ Steady60/100OlderLatest
Full time
2:1
UK time · Europe/London
Maritimo badgeMaritimoAway · 11 in league
DWWDL
Momentum↘ Falling49/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
E. van Ee44′
I. Barbero55′
M. Tejon27′
Estádio Municipal de Arouca · AroucaSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
AroucaMaritimo
2Corner Kicks3
8Fouls9
2Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
3Goalkeeper Saves5
491Total passes456
419Passes accurate372

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Arouca 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Maritimo 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Arouca

5/10Wins
1.4Goals / game
0.9Conceded / game

Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 6 wins from 9 available matches.

Inspect Arouca’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Maritimo

4/10Wins
1.2Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game

Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 5 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Maritimo’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Arouca at home with Maritimo away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 04:30 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Primeira Liga · 2026/27 · all league matches

AroucaMaritimo
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Arouca at home with Maritimo away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Arouca

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Vasco Seabra
  1. 12I. De ArruabarrenaG
  2. 28Tiago EsgaioD
  3. 15J. SanchezD
  4. 3J. FontanD
  5. 18O. LebedenkoD
  6. 6E. van EeM
  7. 8T. FukuiM
  8. 19A. TrezzaM
  9. 10P. GozalbezM
  10. 7N. DjouahraM
  11. 17I. BarberoF
Substitutes (12)

1 · J. Vinarcik

71 · M. Duarte

5 · B. Popovic

37 · M. Climent

4 · D. Monteiro

89 · Pedro Santos

14 · H. Lee

21 · M. Flores

9 · F. Mayulu

24 · B. Mansilla

23 · D. Nandin

77 · S. Park

Maritimo

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Mitchell van der Gaag
  1. 13A. PastorG
  2. 2Igor JuliaoD
  3. 4R. FernandesD
  4. 44R. CorreiaD
  5. 23P. HenriqueD
  6. 6R. AndradeM
  7. 18V. DanilovicM
  8. 35B. LimbombeM
  9. 14Raphael GuzzoM
  10. 10M. TejonM
  11. 17A. ButzkeF
Substitutes (10)

1 · G. Tabuaco

30 · F. Vieites

5 · Nilton

22 · G. Szalai

16 · F. Silva

21 · I. Alani

66 · I. Ayuma

68 · N. Batista

27 · S. Bamba

90 · M. Boakye

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Arouca

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Ignacio de Arruabarrena907.3—0—26—
Tiago Esgaio906.6—01471
Javi Sánchez907.2—0—812
Jose Fontán907.0—0—891
Orest Lebedenko906.6—01332
Espen Van Ee798.210248—
Taichi Fukui907.2—01512
Alfonso Trezza706.6—11121
Pablo Gozálbez797.3—1—231
Naïs Djouahra876.3—03371
Ivan Barbero707.0103111
Dylan Nandín206.5—014—
Brian Mansilla206.7—019—
Mateo Flores116.7—016—
Pedro Santos116.9—0—10—
Mario Climent106.6—0—4—
Martim Duarte———————
Jakub Vinarčík———————
Diogo Monteiro———————
Boris Popović———————
Hyun-ju Lee———————
Si-hoo Park———————
Fally Mayulu———————

Maritimo

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Alfonso Pastor907.3—0—42—
Igor Julião906.2—0—311
Rafael Fernandes876.2—0—64—
Romain Correia907.3—0—831
Paulo Henrique906.7—0344—
Rodrigo Andrade906.2—01311
Vladan Danilović786.9—0—392
Bryan Limbombe626.5—0—121
Raphael Guzzo906.3—0—402
Martín Tejón908.210333—
Adrián Butzke786.0—0113—
Samuel Bamba286.9—0163
Israel Ayuma126.9—0—131
Maurice Boakye126.7—0—31
Nilton Varela106.6—0—21
Gonçalo Tabuaço———————
Francisco Vieites———————
Gábor Szalai———————
Francisco Silva———————
Nelio Batista———————
Ibrahim Alani———————
2026/27 STANDINGS

Primeira Liga table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Primeira Liga. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1FC Porto77001831521
WWWWW
2Benfica75112271516
LWWWW
3Sporting CP7430178915
DDWWW
4Santa Clara7430114715
DWWDW
5Arouca7322107311
DLDWL
6SC Braga632175211
DWLWW
7Academico Viseu732299011
WWWLD
8Estrela72411414010
LDWDW
9GIL Vicente62225508
DLLDW
10Alverca7223911-28
WWLDL
11Maritimo7223812-48
DLLLD
12Moreirense7223814-68
DWLLW
13Famalicao71429727
WDDDL
14Vitória SC712458-35
DLDLW
15Nacional7115715-84
LLLLL
16Rio Ave7115515-104
LDLLW
17Casa Pia7115316-134
WLDLL
18Estoril7025310-72
LLDLL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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