Cardiff MET
4/10Wins
1.6Goals / game
1.2Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 5 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Cardiff MET’s results
Premier LeagueMatchweek 20THE MATCH CENTRECardiff MET vs GAP Connah S Quay FC match centre
Pre-match
19:45
UK time · Europe/LondonTHE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
A likely outcome and a good betting price are separate decisions.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Reported absences can change the picture. Check confirmed lineups before kickoff. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Cardiff MET 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
GAP Connah S Quay FC 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
A SECOND MODEL VIEW
Pre-match onlyCompare the forecasts
Two separately generated forecasts. Agreement is not proof of accuracy; both may use overlapping football data.
Kickoff Edge
Our stored model estimate
No valid forecast received yet.
See the match forecast for model details.API-Football
Provider model estimate
Provider forecast under review
Provider percentages are missing or invalid.
Provider team identities do not match this fixture.
Provider forecast is missing a current timestamp or is more than two hours old.
Provider competition sample for the home team is fewer than five matches or unavailable.
Provider competition sample for the away team is fewer than five matches or unavailable.
Awaiting provider forecastProvider percentages and advice are withheld when team identities, freshness, competition samples or large bookmaker disagreements fail our quality checks. Accepted percentages are shown as supplied; they are not guarantees. These are forecasts, not bookmaker prices or live win probabilities. No assumption is made that either model accounts for the injury report above.
FROM OUR STORED RESULTS
Experimental researchKickoff Edge history fallback
The provider forecast failed our quality checks and a verified primary forecast is unavailable. This separate estimate uses Cardiff MET’s 20 and GAP Connah S Quay FC’s 20 prior completed games across competitions.
Cardiff MET34.6%
Draw25.1%
GAP Connah S Quay FC40.3%
Up to 20 stored results per team in the previous year; 180-day decay; five-match prior at 1.35 goals; joint Poisson score model. No opponent-strength, lineup or xG adjustment; not calibrated or eligible for tips. The bookmaker comparison is a quality check; odds do not enter this model. Inspect the recorded results.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
GAP Connah S Quay FC
8/10Wins
2.6Goals / game
0.6Conceded / game
Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At away venues, 6 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect GAP Connah S Quay FC’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Confirmed lineups are not available on this page yet.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Cardiff MET
10 matchesResults4 wins · 3 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.6
Goals conceded per game1.2
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored3 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Haverfordwest County AFCHome · Premier League1–0Caernarfon TownHome · Premier League2–2GAP Connah S Quay FCAway · Premier League0–1Flint Town UnitedAway · Premier League1–1Cambrian & ClydachHome · Premier League2–2Ammanford AFCAway · Premier League5–0Briton FerryHome · Premier League3–0The New SaintsHome · Premier League0–5Barry TownAway · Premier League0–1Airbus UKAway · Premier League2–0
GAP Connah S Quay FC
10 matchesResults8 wins · 1 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game2.6
Goals conceded per game0.6
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Barry TownAway · Premier League4–1Cardiff METHome · Premier League1–0Airbus UKHome · Premier League3–0Colwyn BayAway · Premier League1–2Haverfordwest County AFCHome · Premier League1–1Flint Town UnitedAway · Premier League2–1Cambrian & ClydachHome · Premier League3–0Ammanford AFCAway · Premier League2–0TrefelinHome · Premier League6–0HolywellAway · Premier League3–1
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Cardiff MET at home with GAP Connah S Quay FC away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 14:16 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Premier League · 2026/27 · all league matches
Cardiff METGAP Connah S Quay FC
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Cardiff MET at home with GAP Connah S Quay FC away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Awaiting lineupsLineups & formations
Official XIs are normally published around 20–60 minutes before kickoff. We check again automatically once that window opens.
Cardiff MET
Most-used league formationPendingNo formation data supplied
Starting XI not confirmed. The formation above is a season trend, not a predicted lineup.
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Most-used league formationPendingNo formation data supplied
Starting XI not confirmed. The formation above is a season trend, not a predicted lineup.
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Premier League table
Current standings · Premier League. Both teams are highlighted.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  The New Saints | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 4 | 22 | 28 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Penybont | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 8 | 12 | 24 | WWWWD |
| 3 |  Caernarfon Town | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 11 | 22 | 22 | WDWWL |
| 4 | GAP Connah S Quay FC | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 7 | 16 | 22 | WWLDW |
| 5 |  Barry Town | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 22 | LDWLW |
| 6 |  Colwyn Bay | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 19 | WWWLW |
| 7 |  Llandudno | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 16 | LDLWL |
| 8 |  Airbus UK | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 15 | WLLWW |
| 9 |  Cambrian & Clydach | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 15 | LWWDD |
| 10 | Cardiff MET | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 14 | LDDWW |
| 11 |  Haverfordwest County AFC | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 10 | WWDWL |
| 12 |  Briton Ferry | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 8 | DLLLL |
| 13 |  Trefelin | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 24 | -20 | 3 | DLLDL |
| 14 |  Ammanford AFC | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 28 | -21 | 3 | LDLLL |
| 15 |  Flint Town United | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 24 | -16 | 2 | LLDLL |
| 16 |  Holywell | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 1 | LLLDL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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