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3. LigaMatchweek 6THE MATCH CENTRE

MSV Duisburg vs Havelse match centre

MSV Duisburg badgeMSV DuisburgHome · 1 in league
WLWWL
Momentum→ Steady57/100OlderLatest
Full time
2:1
UK time · Europe/London
Havelse badgeHavelseAway · 20 in league
LLWLD
Momentum→ Steady28/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
Patrick Sussek79′
dennis duah90+4′ (og)
Ifeanyi David Nduka39′
Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena · DuisburgSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Out of date · Calculated 15 Sep 17:12 UK.

Odds updated 15 Sep 13:55 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 9 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win1.25Our model 69.6%Market 71.7% Draw5.50Our model 16.3%Market 16.3% Away win7.50Our model 14.1%Market 12.0% Bet365 · Updated 15 Sep 13:55 UK · Older than 24 hours Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
MSV DuisburgHavelse
—Corner Kicks—
—Fouls—
1Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards1
—Goalkeeper Saves—
—Total passes—
—Passes accurate—

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

MSV Duisburg 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Havelse 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

MSV Duisburg

5/10Wins
2.1Goals / game
1.4Conceded / game

Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 7 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect MSV Duisburg’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Havelse

2/10Wins
1.4Goals / game
1.8Conceded / game

Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Havelse’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare MSV Duisburg at home with Havelse away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 00:26 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

3. Liga · 2026/27 · all league matches

MSV DuisburgHavelse
5Matches played6
12Points earned4
4Wins1
2.6Goals scored / match1.5
1.0Goals conceded / match2.0
2Clean sheets0
0Failed to score1

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares MSV Duisburg at home with Havelse away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

4 recorded meetings

MSV Duisburg

2wins
2 draws

Havelse

0wins

Aug 2021 – Mar 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.

Scores shown with MSV Duisburg first; venues vary.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

MSV Duisburg

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1D. Hirsch
  1. 1M. BrauneG
  2. 29J. BitterD
  3. 5T. FlecksteinD
  4. 40B. SchlickeD
  5. 27C. CoşkunD
  6. 6R. BulićM
  7. 17M. BesuschkowM
  8. 7J. BookjansM
  9. 14C. NoßM
  10. 11D. KotherM
  11. 39P. RemmertF
Substitutes (9)

3 · F. Christensen

37 · P. Sussek

33 · T. Stahl

19 · Ramien Safi

26 · F. Krüger

20 · N. Jessen

25 · D. Borkowski

8 · A. Casar

4 · Martin Ens

Havelse

Confirmed formation4-3-2-1S. Ferchichi
  1. 13O. HaninG
  2. 15D. DuahD
  3. 4S. BelkahiaD
  4. 27I. NdukaD
  5. 24Y. MausehundD
  6. 12Eryk Artur GrzywaczM
  7. 19E. VoufackM
  8. 8J. BergerM
  9. 33J. TugbenyoM
  10. 10K. SchumacherM
  11. 20Alexander GuiddirF
Substitutes (9)

1 · T. Opitz

31 · J. Oltrogge

11 · K. Okyere Wriedt

3 · M. Lamby

38 · L. Svitek

9 · L. Paldino

7 · M. Richter

28 · R. Velasco

14 · Y. Wardak

2026/27 STANDINGS

3. Liga table

League centre ↗

Current standings · 3 Liga. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1MSV Duisburg76011971218
WWLWW
2FC Viktoria Köln75021991015
WWWLW
3Rot-Weiß Essen7421139414
DWWWD
4FC Saarbrücken74121912713
WDLWL
5Hoffenheim II7412148613
WWDLW
6Hansa Rostock73311515012
DWLDW
7Alemannia Aachen7322118311
WLDWL
8Preußen Münster73221213-111
LDWWL
9Waldhof Mannheim73131110110
WLWLL
10Fortuna Düsseldorf731367-110
LWWDW
11Verl73131013-310
WDWWL
12Fortuna Köln72328809
WLDDW
13SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach722369-38
LDDWL
14FC Ingolstadt 047223711-48
LLWLW
15Stuttgart II72141215-37
DLLWL
16Würzburger Kickers72141115-47
LWLLL
17SV Meppen7205815-76
LLLLW
18SSV Jahn Regensburg71241317-45
DLDLL
19SV Wehen7124513-85
LWLDD
20Havelse71151015-54
LLDLW
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerMSV DuisburgDrawHavelse
William Hill1.255.009.50
Bet3651.255.507.50
Marathonbet1.245.208.40
Betfair1.205.509.00
BetVictor1.204.507.00

Snapshot from 15 Sep 2026, 13:55 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

PUT YOUR VIEW TO THE TEST

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