Likeliest match result
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach to win40.2% model estimate
Stored odds 2.42 · Betano
3. LigaMatchweek 8THE MATCH CENTRESG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Waldhof Mannheim match centre
Pre-match
13:00
UK time · Europe/LondonTHE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Kickoff Edge modelOur view of the game
A likely outcome and a good betting price are separate decisions.
No recommendation — prices need checking
Either team to win (no draw)
Likelihood guide only: the strongest available selection at odds of at least 1.25, or the likeliest match result when prices are missing. It does not qualify as a value recommendation.
Model chance72.6%
Best stored price1.28Betano
Prices need refreshing or checking with the bookmaker before a betting decision. Value-filter price: 1.56 or better. No current price qualifies for a recommendation under this filter.
Break-even at this price: 78.1%. Estimated model return: -7.1% per unit staked, before model error.
Explore this lean in practice → Review the latest price before recording a virtual pick.
Goals forecast
Under 2.5 goals56.5% model estimate
Stored odds 2.60 · 1xBet
Both teams to score
Both teams to score — No51.0% model estimate
Stored odds 2.63 · 1xBet
Double chance
Either team to win (no draw)72.6% model estimate
Stored odds 1.28 · Betano
Projected goals
2.42 total · SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 1.29 · Waldhof Mannheim 1.13
Expected averages from the stored goal model, not a promised score.Most likely scorelines
1–1 13.0%1–0 11.5%0–1 10.1%
Home–away · individual scores remain uncertain.This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Available · Calculated 3 Oct 23:50 UK.
Odds updated 25 Sep 18:37 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 3 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Reported absences can change the picture. Check confirmed lineups before kickoff. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Waldhof Mannheim 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
A SECOND MODEL VIEW
Pre-match onlyCompare the forecasts
Two separately generated forecasts. Agreement is not proof of accuracy; both may use overlapping football data.
Kickoff Edge
Our stored model estimate
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach40.2%
Draw27.4%
Waldhof Mannheim32.4%
API-Football
Provider model estimate
Provider forecast under review
Provider percentages are missing or invalid.
Provider team identities do not match this fixture.
Provider forecast is missing a current timestamp or is more than two hours old.
Provider competition sample for the home team is fewer than five matches or unavailable.
Provider competition sample for the away team is fewer than five matches or unavailable.
Awaiting provider forecastProvider percentages and advice are withheld when team identities, freshness, competition samples or large bookmaker disagreements fail our quality checks. Accepted percentages are shown as supplied; they are not guarantees. These are forecasts, not bookmaker prices or live win probabilities. No assumption is made that either model accounts for the injury report above.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Team-strength v3 fallback leans towards SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach (40.2%). The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
2/10Wins
1.1Goals / game
1.9Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 4 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach’s resultsWaldhof Mannheim
3/10Wins
1.1Goals / game
1.4Conceded / game
Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Waldhof Mannheim’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Confirmed lineups are not available on this page yet.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
10 matchesResults2 wins · 4 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game1.1
Goals conceded per game1.9
Games with 3+ goals4 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
1. FC KaiserslauternAway · Friendlies Clubs1–1FC SaarbrückenAway · 3. Liga1–2VerlHome · 3. Liga1–1HavelseAway · 3. Liga2–2Hoffenheim IIHome · 3. Liga1–0FC Ingolstadt 04Home · 3. Liga0–2Arminia BielefeldHome · DFB Pokal2–2SV MeppenAway · 3. Liga0–2Fortuna KölnHome · 3. Liga1–0SV Darmstadt 98Home · Friendlies Clubs2–7
Waldhof Mannheim
10 matchesResults3 wins · 2 draws · 5 losses
Goals scored per game1.1
Goals conceded per game1.4
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored4 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
FSV Mainz 05Home · Friendlies Clubs0–3Preußen MünsterHome · 3. Liga2–0Rot-Weiß EssenHome · 3. Liga1–2SV WehenAway · 3. Liga1–0VerlHome · 3. Liga0–1HavelseAway · 3. Liga2–31. FC KaiserslauternHome · DFB Pokal0–0Hansa RostockAway · 3. Liga3–3Fortuna DüsseldorfHome · 3. Liga2–1Eintracht FrankfurtHome · Friendlies Clubs0–1
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach at home with Waldhof Mannheim away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 4 Oct, 00:01 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
3. Liga · 2026/27 · all league matches
SG Sonnenhof GrossaspachWaldhof Mannheim
7Matches played7
8Points earned10
2Wins3
0.9Goals scored / match1.6
1.3Goals conceded / match1.4
2Clean sheets2
2Failed to score1
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach at home with Waldhof Mannheim away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Awaiting lineupsLineups & formations
Official XIs are normally published around 20–60 minutes before kickoff. We check again automatically once that window opens.
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
Most-used league formationPendingNo formation data supplied
Starting XI not confirmed. The formation above is a season trend, not a predicted lineup.
Waldhof Mannheim
Most-used league formationPendingNo formation data supplied
Starting XI not confirmed. The formation above is a season trend, not a predicted lineup.
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗3. Liga table
Current standings · 3 Liga. Both teams are highlighted.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  MSV Duisburg | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 18 | WWLWW |
| 2 |  FC Viktoria Köln | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 15 | WWWLW |
| 3 |  Rot-Weiß Essen | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 14 | DWWWD |
| 4 |  FC Saarbrücken | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 13 | WDLWL |
| 5 |  Hoffenheim II | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 13 | WWDLW |
| 6 |  Hansa Rostock | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 12 | DWLDW |
| 7 |  Alemannia Aachen | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 11 | WLDWL |
| 8 |  Preußen Münster | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 11 | LDWWL |
| 9 | Waldhof Mannheim | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 10 | WLWLL |
| 10 |  Fortuna Düsseldorf | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 10 | LWWDW |
| 11 |  Verl | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 10 | WDWWL |
| 12 |  Fortuna Köln | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 9 | WLDDW |
| 13 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 8 | LDDWL |
| 14 |  FC Ingolstadt 04 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 8 | LLWLW |
| 15 |  Stuttgart II | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 7 | DLLWL |
| 16 |  Würzburger Kickers | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 7 | LWLLL |
| 17 |  SV Meppen | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 6 | LLLLW |
| 18 |  SSV Jahn Regensburg | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 5 | DLDLL |
| 19 |  SV Wehen | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 5 | LWLDD |
| 20 |  Havelse | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 4 | LLDLW |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | Draw | Waldhof Mannheim |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair | 2.40 | 3.60 | 2.40 |
| 1xBet | 2.40 | 3.60 | 2.40 |
| Betano | 2.42 | 3.60 | 2.62 |
Snapshot from 25 Sep 2026, 18:37 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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