J. AssoumouInactive
Reported out
Süper LigMatchweek 6THE MATCH CENTREErzurumspor FK vs Samsunspor match centre
Full time
1:0
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
M. Cardoso45′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Out of date · Calculated 20 Sep 13:12 UK.
Odds updated 20 Sep 13:01 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 9 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
Erzurumspor FKSamsunspor
0.770Expected goals · API-Football0.400
2Shots on target2
8Total Shots8
43%Ball Possession57%
3Corner Kicks5
7Fouls10
3Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
2Goalkeeper Saves1
405Total passes553
334Passes accurate481
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Erzurumspor FK 0 reported
No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.
Samsunspor 5 reported
F. KayaInjury
Reported out
A. SousaInactive
Reported out
E. TavsanInactive
Reported out
T. CoulibalyInactive
DoubtfulFetched 20 Sep, 10:22 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Erzurumspor FK
2/10Wins
0.8Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 7 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Erzurumspor FK’s resultsSamsunspor
3/10Wins
1.1Goals / game
1.8Conceded / game
Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At away venues, 5 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Samsunspor’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Erzurumspor FK
10 matchesResults2 wins · 5 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game0.8
Goals conceded per game1.5
Games with 3+ goals4 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Samsunspor
10 matchesResults3 wins · 2 draws · 5 losses
Goals scored per game1.1
Goals conceded per game1.8
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Çorum FKHome · Süper Lig1–5KocaelisporAway · Süper Lig0–1FenerbahçeHome · Süper Lig0–2RizesporAway · Süper Lig2–0GöztepeHome · Süper Lig3–3KasımpaşaAway · Friendlies Clubs0–3KVC WesterloAway · Friendlies Clubs2–1AEK Athens FCAway · Friendlies Clubs2–1RAAL La LouvièreAway · Friendlies Clubs0–0DunkerqueAway · Friendlies Clubs1–2
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Erzurumspor FK at home with Samsunspor away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 03:48 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Süper Lig · 2026/27 · all league matches
Erzurumspor FKSamsunspor
5Matches played5
4Points earned4
1Wins1
0.4Goals scored / match1.2
2.2Goals conceded / match2.2
1Clean sheets1
3Failed to score2
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Erzurumspor FK at home with Samsunspor away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
4 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Erzurumspor FK
0wins4MEETINGS
Samsunspor
2winsOct 2021 – Jan 2023 · Historical meetings. Squads and team strength have changed.
Scores shown with Erzurumspor FK first; venues vary.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Erzurumspor FK
Confirmed formation5-4-1Serkan Ozbalta
- 1
Ertuğrul TaşkıranG - 53
Orhan OvacıklıD - 4
Amar GerxhaliuD - 22
Mustafa YumluD - 18
Nihad MujakićD - 15
Guram GiorbelidzeD - 65
Martín RodríguezM - 42
Elisha OwusuM - 6
Brandon BaiyeM - 20
Miguel CardosoM - 10
Eren TozluF
Substitutes (10)
31 · Matija Orbanić
2 · Festy Ebosele
3 · Yakup Kırtay
23 · Cengizhan Bayrak
77 · Lawrence Agyekum
99 · Mustafa Fettahoglu
8 · Sefa Akgün
90 · Nariman Akhundzade
19 · Ibrahim Diabaté
9 · Gyrano Kerk
Samsunspor
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Thorsten Fink
- 1
Okan KocukG - 2
Josafat MendesD - 16
Strahinja ErakovićD - 34
Gabriele GuarinoD - 17
Logi TomassonD - 5
Celil YükselM - 4
Elliot WattM - 30
Saikuba JarjuM - 8
Samed OnurM - 11
Emre KılınçM - 18
Mohamed BayoF
Substitutes (9)
25 · Bilal Bayazit
13 · Efe Yiğit Üstün
22 · Yunus Emre Çift
3 · Igor Drapiński
23 · Enes Albak
29 · Haluk Mustafa Tan
20 · Yalçın Kayan
10 · Tanguy Coulibaly
42 · Antoine Sekongo
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Erzurumspor FK
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ertuğrul Taşkıran | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 34 | — |
| Orhan Ovacıklı | 82 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 36 | — |
| Amar Gerxhaliu | 90 | 7.5 | — | 0 | — | 52 | 2 |
| Mustafa Yumlu | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 32 | 1 |
| Nihad Mujakić | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 45 | 2 |
| Guram Giorbelidze | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 39 | 1 |
| Martín Rodríguez | 57 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 29 | — |
| Elisha Owusu | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 34 | — |
| Brandon Baiye | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 40 | 5 |
| Miguel Cardoso | 66 | 7.9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 1 |
| Eren Tozlu | 66 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 22 | 1 |
| Sefa Akgün | 33 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 13 | — |
| Ibrahim Diabaté | 24 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 2 | 4 | — |
| Gyrano Kerk | 24 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 6 | 1 |
| Festy Ebosele | 8 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 1 | — |
| Matija Orbanić | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yakup Kırtay | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cengizhan Bayrak | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lawrence Agyekum | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mustafa Fettahoglu | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nariman Akhundzade | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Samsunspor
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Okan Kocuk | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 25 | — |
| Josafat Mendes | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 36 | 2 |
| Strahinja Eraković | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 76 | 1 |
| Gabriele Guarino | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 79 | 2 |
| Logi Tomasson | 90 | 6.0 | — | 0 | 1 | 58 | — |
| Celil Yüksel | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 2 | 56 | — |
| Elliot Watt | 65 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 65 | — |
| Samed Onur | 79 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 2 | 62 | 1 |
| Saikuba Jarju | 45 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 9 | — |
| Mohamed Bayo | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 14 | — |
| Emre Kılınç | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 48 | — |
| Tanguy Coulibaly | 45 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 26 | 1 |
| Antoine Sekongo | 25 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 16 | — |
| Yalçın Kayan | 11 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 10 | — |
| Bilal Bayazit | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Efe Yiğit Üstün | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yunus Emre Çift | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Igor Drapiński | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Enes Albak | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Haluk Mustafa Tan | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Süper Lig table
Current standings · Süper Lig. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Amed | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 13 | WWDWL |
| 2 |  Galatasaray | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 13 | LWWWW |
| 3 |  Beşiktaş | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 12 | LWWWL |
| 4 |  Kocaelispor | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 12 | WLWWW |
| 5 |  Alanyaspor | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 11 | WDWLW |
| 6 |  Fenerbahçe | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 10 | WDLWW |
| 7 |  Trabzonspor | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 10 | WLWLW |
| 8 |  Kasımpaşa | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 10 | DWDDW |
| 9 |  Rizespor | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 10 | DWLWL |
| 10 |  Gaziantep FK | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 8 | LDWLW |
| 11 |  Çorum FK | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 7 | LWWLL |
| 12 |  Başakşehir | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 7 | WLLDL |
| 13 |  Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 7 | LLLDW |
| 14 | Erzurumspor FK | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 11 | -8 | 7 | WLWDL |
| 15 |  Konyaspor | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 4 | DWLLL |
| 16 | Samsunspor | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 4 | LLLLW |
| 17 |  Göztepe | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 3 | DDLLL |
| 18 |  Eyüpspor | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 16 | -14 | 3 | LLLWL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Erzurumspor FK | Draw | Samsunspor |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 2.60 | 2.90 | 2.70 |
| Bet365 | 2.55 | 3.10 | 2.75 |
| Marathonbet | 2.60 | 3.06 | 2.75 |
| Betfair | 2.60 | 3.00 | 2.80 |
| BetVictor | 2.55 | 3.20 | 2.70 |
Snapshot from 20 Sep 2026, 13:01 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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