Likeliest match result
Boreham Wood to win59.7% model estimate
Price not supplied
National LeagueMatchweek 13THE MATCH CENTRESutton Utd vs Boreham Wood match centre
Pre-match
19:45
UK time · Europe/LondonTHE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Kickoff Edge modelOur view of the game
A likely outcome and a good betting price are separate decisions.
No recommendation — prices need checking
Boreham Wood to win
Likelihood guide only: the strongest available selection at odds of at least 1.25, or the likeliest match result when prices are missing. It does not qualify as a value recommendation.
Model chance59.7%
Best stored price—Awaiting odds
Prices need refreshing or checking with the bookmaker before a betting decision. Value-filter price: 1.92 or better. No current price qualifies for a recommendation under this filter.
Goals forecast
Over 2.5 goals57.7% model estimate
Price not supplied
Both teams to score
Both teams to score — Yes55.1% model estimate
Price not supplied
Double chance
Boreham Wood or draw81.1% model estimate
Price not supplied
Projected goals
3.00 total · Sutton Utd 1.02 · Boreham Wood 1.98
Expected averages from the stored goal model, not a promised score.Most likely scorelines
1–1 10.0%1–2 10.0%0–1 9.8%
Home–away · individual scores remain uncertain.This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Available · Calculated 2 Oct 07:14 UK.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Reported absences can change the picture. Check confirmed lineups before kickoff. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Sutton Utd 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Boreham Wood 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
A SECOND MODEL VIEW
Pre-match onlyCompare the forecasts
Two separately generated forecasts. Agreement is not proof of accuracy; both may use overlapping football data.
Kickoff Edge
Our stored model estimate
Home18.9%
Draw21.4%
Away59.7%
API-Football
Provider model estimate
No valid forecast received yet.
Awaiting provider forecastProvider percentages are shown as supplied, including any 0% or 100% values; those are not guarantees. These are forecasts, not bookmaker prices or live win probabilities. No assumption is made that either model accounts for the injury report above.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Team-strength v3 fallback leans towards Boreham Wood (59.7%). The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Sutton Utd
3/10Wins
1.0Goals / game
1.6Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 5 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Sutton Utd’s resultsBoreham Wood
8/10Wins
2.3Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At away venues, 8 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Boreham Wood’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Confirmed lineups are not available on this page yet.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Sutton Utd
10 matchesResults3 wins · 3 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game1.0
Goals conceded per game1.6
Games with 3+ goals4 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
TamworthAway · National League0–2Forest GreenHome · National League3–3FC Halifax TownAway · National League1–1EastleighHome · National League2–1ScunthorpeHome · National League0–2Birmingham City U21Home · National League Cup1–1BarrowAway · National League0–3WealdstoneHome · National League0–2GatesheadAway · National League1–0HartlepoolHome · National League2–1
Boreham Wood
10 matchesResults8 wins · 2 draws · 0 losses
Goals scored per game2.3
Goals conceded per game1.0
Games with 3+ goals8 of 10
Both teams scored9 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Kidderminster HarriersHome · National League3–1Solihull MoorsAway · National League3–0Everton U21Home · National League Cup1–1Harrogate TownHome · National League4–1ScunthorpeAway · National League2–1EastleighAway · National League1–1Newcastle United U21Home · National League Cup2–1CarlisleHome · National League2–1WorthingAway · National League3–2Boston UnitedHome · National League2–1
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Sutton Utd at home with Boreham Wood away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 07:40 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
National League · 2026/27 · all league matches
Sutton UtdBoreham Wood
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Sutton Utd at home with Boreham Wood away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Awaiting lineupsLineups & formations
Official XIs are normally published around 20–60 minutes before kickoff. We check again automatically once that window opens.
Sutton Utd
Most-used league formationPendingNo formation data supplied
Starting XI not confirmed. The formation above is a season trend, not a predicted lineup.
Boreham Wood
Most-used league formationPendingNo formation data supplied
Starting XI not confirmed. The formation above is a season trend, not a predicted lineup.
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗National League table
Current standings · Conference. Both teams are highlighted.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 29 | 12 | 17 | 29 | WWWWD |
| 2 |  Harrogate Town | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 22 | WWLLW |
| 3 |  Southend | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 21 | DLWWD |
| 4 |  Altrincham | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 21 | WWWWL |
| 5 |  AFC Fylde | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 20 | LWLWW |
| 6 |  Yeovil Town | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 19 | DWWDL |
| 7 |  Aldershot Town | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 18 | LWLDW |
| 8 |  Worthing | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 18 | DWWWD |
| 9 |  Kidderminster Harriers | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 18 | LLDWW |
| 10 |  AFC Hornchurch | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 18 | WLWLL |
| 11 | Sutton Utd | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 17 | LDDWL |
| 12 |  Barrow | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 15 | WWWLD |
| 13 |  Forest Green | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 15 | DDLDW |
| 14 |  Eastleigh | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 15 | DLWLD |
| 15 |  FC Halifax Town | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 14 | DLDWW |
| 16 |  Carlisle | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 13 | WLLDD |
| 17 |  Wealdstone | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 12 | DWLLW |
| 18 |  Woking | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 12 | LWDDW |
| 19 |  Boston United | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 12 | DLWDL |
| 20 |  Tamworth | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 11 | WLWLL |
| 21 |  Scunthorpe | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 10 | LWLLW |
| 22 |  Hartlepool | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 9 | LLLLL |
| 23 |  Solihull Moors | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 28 | -15 | 7 | WLLWL |
| 24 |  Gateshead | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 25 | -19 | 4 | LLLLL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
PUT YOUR VIEW TO THE TEST
Open practice slip +Try it with virtual funds
Start with £1,000 virtual funds. Choose a single or combine different matches in an accumulator, then track confirmed results. No real money. Record an actual bet in your manual journal ↗
Football data. A clearer perspective.Back to matches →