Likeliest match result
Hessen Kassel to win47.8% model estimate
Price not supplied
Regionalliga - SudWestSudwest - 10THE MATCH CENTREHessen Kassel vs SSV Ulm 1846 match centre
Pre-match
13:00
UK time · Europe/LondonTHE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Kickoff Edge modelOur view of the game
A likely outcome and a good betting price are separate decisions.
No recommendation — prices need checking
Hessen Kassel to win
Likelihood guide only: the strongest available selection at odds of at least 1.25, or the likeliest match result when prices are missing. It does not qualify as a value recommendation.
Model chance47.8%
Best stored price—Awaiting odds
Prices need refreshing or checking with the bookmaker before a betting decision. Value-filter price: 2.46 or better. No current price qualifies for a recommendation under this filter.
Goals forecast
Over 2.5 goals62.4% model estimate
Price not supplied
Both teams to score
Both teams to score — Yes63.1% model estimate
Price not supplied
Double chance
Either team to win (no draw)77.2% model estimate
Price not supplied
Projected goals
3.22 total · Hessen Kassel 1.83 · SSV Ulm 1846 1.39
Expected averages from the stored goal model, not a promised score.Most likely scorelines
1–1 10.2%2–1 9.3%1–0 7.3%
Home–away · individual scores remain uncertain.View this saved decision and its original price →
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Available · Calculated 2 Oct 09:46 UK.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Reported absences can change the picture. Check confirmed lineups before kickoff. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Hessen Kassel 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
SSV Ulm 1846 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
A SECOND MODEL VIEW
Pre-match onlyCompare the forecasts
Two separately generated forecasts. Agreement is not proof of accuracy; both may use overlapping football data.
Kickoff Edge
Our stored model estimate
Hessen Kassel47.8%
Draw22.8%
SSV Ulm 184629.4%
API-Football
Provider model estimate
Provider forecast under review
Provider percentages are missing or invalid.
Provider team identities do not match this fixture.
Provider forecast is missing a current timestamp or is more than two hours old.
Provider competition sample for the home team is fewer than five matches or unavailable.
Provider competition sample for the away team is fewer than five matches or unavailable.
Awaiting provider forecastProvider percentages and advice are withheld when team identities, freshness, competition samples or large bookmaker disagreements fail our quality checks. Accepted percentages are shown as supplied; they are not guarantees. These are forecasts, not bookmaker prices or live win probabilities. No assumption is made that either model accounts for the injury report above.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Team-strength v3 fallback leans towards Hessen Kassel (47.8%). The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Hessen Kassel
3/10Wins
1.5Goals / game
2.2Conceded / game
Keep in view: 6 losses in that sample. At home, 5 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Hessen Kassel’s resultsSSV Ulm 1846
0/10Wins
1.1Goals / game
2.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 6 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect SSV Ulm 1846’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Confirmed lineups are not available on this page yet.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Hessen Kassel
10 matchesResults3 wins · 1 draws · 6 losses
Goals scored per game1.5
Goals conceded per game2.2
Games with 3+ goals8 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
FSV Mainz 05 IIHome · Regionalliga - SudWest1–2FC 08 HomburgAway · Regionalliga - SudWest2–2Kickers OffenbachHome · Regionalliga - SudWest2–1FSV FrankfurtAway · Regionalliga - SudWest0–2SV SandhausenHome · Regionalliga - SudWest5–2Eintracht TrierHome · Regionalliga - SudWest0–1TSV SteinbachAway · Regionalliga - SudWest1–2Freiburg IIAway · Regionalliga - SudWest1–5Eintracht Frankfurt IIHome · Regionalliga - SudWest3–0FC Schalke 04Home · Friendlies Clubs0–5
SSV Ulm 1846
10 matchesResults0 wins · 4 draws · 6 losses
Goals scored per game1.1
Goals conceded per game2.0
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Eintracht TrierHome · Regionalliga - SudWest0–1SV SandhausenAway · Regionalliga - SudWest2–2FSV FrankfurtHome · Regionalliga - SudWest1–2VfR AalenAway · Regionalliga - SudWest0–2SGV FreibergHome · Regionalliga - SudWest4–4FC Astoria WalldorfAway · Regionalliga - SudWest0–0Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.Home · Regionalliga - SudWest2–2Kickers OffenbachHome · Regionalliga - SudWest0–2Stuttgarter KickersAway · Regionalliga - SudWest2–4SSV Jahn RegensburgAway · Friendlies Clubs0–1
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Hessen Kassel at home with SSV Ulm 1846 away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 10:13 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Regionalliga - SudWest · 2026/27 · all league matches
Hessen KasselSSV Ulm 1846
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Hessen Kassel at home with SSV Ulm 1846 away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Awaiting lineupsLineups & formations
Official XIs are normally published around 20–60 minutes before kickoff. We check again automatically once that window opens.
Hessen Kassel
Most-used league formationPendingNo formation data supplied
Starting XI not confirmed. The formation above is a season trend, not a predicted lineup.
SSV Ulm 1846
Most-used league formationPendingNo formation data supplied
Starting XI not confirmed. The formation above is a season trend, not a predicted lineup.
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Regionalliga - SudWest table
Current standings · Regionalliga: Sudwest. Both teams are highlighted.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  SGV Freiberg | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 19 | DWWDD |
| 2 |  Kickers Offenbach | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 19 | LWLWD |
| 3 |  Stuttgarter Kickers | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 17 | DWWLL |
| 4 |  Eintracht Trier | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 16 | WLWDL |
| 5 |  VfR Aalen | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 15 | WLDWW |
| 6 |  VfR Mannheim | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 14 | WWDWD |
| 7 |  FC 08 Homburg | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 | LDWWD |
| 8 |  Freiburg II | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 13 | WLDWD |
| 9 |  FSV Frankfurt | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 12 | LWWDD |
| 10 |  TSV Steinbach | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 12 | WLWLL |
| 11 |  SV Sandhausen | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 12 | WDWDL |
| 12 |  Eintracht Frankfurt II | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 10 | WLWDL |
| 13 | Hessen Kassel | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 10 | LDWLW |
| 14 |  FSV Mainz 05 II | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 9 | WLLLW |
| 15 |  Kaiserslautern II | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 17 | -11 | 8 | WLLWL |
| 16 |  FC Astoria Walldorf | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 6 | LLLWD |
| 17 |  Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 5 | LLLLL |
| 18 | SSV Ulm 1846 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 4 | LDLLD |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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