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Merthyr Town vs Marine match centre

Merthyr Town badgeMerthyr TownHome · 13 in league
WWDDL
Momentum↘ Falling46/100OlderLatest
Full time
1:2
UK time · Europe/London
Marine badgeMarineAway · 16 in league
LLLWW
Momentum↗ Rising49/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
J. Evans67′
G. Newell24′
Scorer pending90′
Penydarren ParkSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Out of date · Calculated 26 Sep 14:59 UK.

Odds updated 26 Sep 13:00 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 9 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win1.83Our model 49.8%Market 49.2% Draw3.60Our model 26.0%Market 25.0% Away win3.50Our model 24.2%Market 25.7% Bet365 · Updated 26 Sep 13:00 UK · Older than 24 hours Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
Merthyr TownMarine

The score is available. Detailed match statistics have not been supplied yet.

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Merthyr Town 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Marine 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Merthyr Town

2/10Wins
1.0Goals / game
1.2Conceded / game

Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 5 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Merthyr Town’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Marine

4/10Wins
1.3Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game

Keep in view: 6 losses in that sample. At away venues, 4 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Marine’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Confirmed lineups are not available on this page yet.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

Merthyr Town

10 matches
Oldest newest
Results2 wins · 5 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.0
Goals conceded per game1.2
Games with 3+ goals4 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10

Past results, not predictions.

See results

Marine

10 matches
Oldest newest
Results4 wins · 0 draws · 6 losses
Goals scored per game1.3
Goals conceded per game1.3
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10

Past results, not predictions.

See results
About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Merthyr Town at home with Marine away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 04:56 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

National League - North · 2026/27 · all league matches

Merthyr TownMarine
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Merthyr Town at home with Marine away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

2 recorded meetings

Merthyr Town

1wins
0 draws

Marine

1wins

Aug 2025 – Apr 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.

Scores shown with Merthyr Town first; venues vary.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Awaiting lineups

Official XIs are normally published around 20–60 minutes before kickoff. We check again automatically once that window opens.

Merthyr Town

Most-used league formationPendingNo formation data supplied

Starting XI not confirmed. The formation above is a season trend, not a predicted lineup.

Marine

Most-used league formationPendingNo formation data supplied

Starting XI not confirmed. The formation above is a season trend, not a predicted lineup.

2026/27 STANDINGS

National League - North table

League centre ↗

Current standings · National League N/S: North. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Hereford107212251723
DWWWW
2Macclesfield10631136721
WDDLW
3Oxford City106221871120
DWLWW
4South Shields106221513220
LWLWW
5Hebburn Town105321616018
DWLDL
6Spalding United10523148617
LWWWD
7Chester10523139417
WLLDL
8King's Lynn Town105142015516
WWLWW
9Buxton105141818016
LWWLW
10Bedford Town105141414016
DLWWW
11Morecambe10424149514
DWLWW
12Chorley104241617-114
WLWLD
13Merthyr Town103431211113
LDWWL
14Scarborough Athletic103341512312
DDDLL
15Hednesford Town103341717012
WLWLD
16Marine104061212012
WWLLL
17Harborough Town103341012-212
LDLLW
18Worksop Town104061016-612
LWLWL
19Brackley Town103341119-812
WDLLW
20Southport102351320-79
DLWLL
21AFC Telford United10235815-79
LDWWL
22Darlington 1883102171221-97
DLLLW
23Spennymoor Town101451121-107
DDLLD
24Radcliffe10208920-116
LLWLL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerMerthyr TownDrawMarine
Marathonbet1.833.543.45
Betfair1.833.603.40
Pinnacle1.903.663.60
SBO1.903.103.12
William Hill1.913.403.50

Snapshot from 26 Sep 2026, 13:00 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

PUT YOUR VIEW TO THE TEST

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