Crewe
3/10Wins
1.1Goals / game
0.9Conceded / game
Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Crewe’s results
EFL TrophyGroup North - 2THE MATCH CENTRECrewe vs Aston Villa U21 match centre
Full time
4:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Luke Offord31′
Adrien thibaut40′
Jack Lankester48′
Jack Lankester88′
max jenner85′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
Experimental fallback — not a recommended bet. This model has not passed the data and predictive-performance checks required for recommendations. Its goal projections and scorelines are withheld. Any likelihood guide shown here uses bookmaker prices.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Experimental — not eligible for recommendations · Calculated 22 Sep 18:36 UK.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
CreweAston Villa U21
—Expected goals · API-Football—
8Shots on target5
14Total Shots13
47%Ball Possession53%
10Corner Kicks4
27Fouls12
2Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards0
4Goalkeeper Saves5
384Total passes432
322Passes accurate367
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Crewe 0 reported
No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.
Aston Villa U21 0 reported
No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.
Fetched 22 Sep, 17:20 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Aston Villa U21
3/10Wins
2.1Goals / game
2.3Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 7 available matches.
Inspect Aston Villa U21’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Crewe
10 matchesResults3 wins · 6 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game1.1
Goals conceded per game0.9
Games with 3+ goals3 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Aston Villa U21
10 matchesResults3 wins · 3 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game2.1
Goals conceded per game2.3
Games with 3+ goals9 of 10
Both teams scored8 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Middlesbrough U21Home · Premier League 2 Division One2–2Real Sociedad IIHome · Premier League International Cup5–1Fulham U21Away · Premier League 2 Division One3–3Brondby U21Home · Premier League International Cup0–4Crystal Palace U21Home · Premier League 2 Division One0–2Brighton U21Home · Premier League 2 Division One2–1WiganAway · EFL Trophy2–3TamworthAway · Friendlies Clubs2–1Manchester City U21Home · Premier League 2 Division One2–3Southampton U21Away · Premier League 2 Division One3–3
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Crewe at home with Aston Villa U21 away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 08:43 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
EFL Trophy · 2026/27 · all league matches
CreweAston Villa U21
0Matches played1
0Points earned0
0Wins0
0.0Goals scored / match2.0
0.0Goals conceded / match3.0
0Clean sheets0
0Failed to score0
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Crewe at home with Aston Villa U21 away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Crewe
Confirmed formation4-4-2Lee Bell
- 13
I. LawlorG - 30
Stan DanceyD - 6
L. OffordD - 4
Kyle UreD - 20
Calum AgiusM - 19
O. LuntM - 32
L. MooreM - 7
J. LankesterM - 23
C. McNeillF - 29
A. ThibautF
Substitutes (7)
34 · Lucas Swann
27 · Patrick Mlynarski
14 · J. Gibson
36 · Joel Ewusi
38 · Ryan Chadwick
1 · T. Booth
2 · L. Billington
Aston Villa U21
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Gombau
- 42
J. WrightG - 80
Woody BurgessD - 66
L. RouthD - 71
Theodore CarrollD - 70
R. FortesD - 73
M. JennerM - 63
A. LynskeyM - 77
K. QuinnM - 68
T. MulleyM - 88Oliver BindleyM
- 84Markie MeadeF
Substitutes (7)
78 · T. Bloomfield
87 · Daniel Adediran
65 · Sam Lewis
76 · Vinnie Hayward
51 · Lennon Moss
52 · Vincely Mudame
98 · Lennon Melmuish
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Crewe
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Lawlor | 90 | 7.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 54 | 0 |
| L. Billington | 45 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 34 | 1 |
| T. Booth | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ryan Chadwick | 30 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 0 |
| Joel Ewusi | 30 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 |
| J. Gibson | 23 | 6.8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0 |
| Stan Dancey | 90 | 6.7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 48 | 1 |
| L. Offord | 45 | 7.7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 32 | 1 |
| Tom Graves | 90 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 58 | 1 |
| Kyle Ure | 60 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 3 |
| Calum Agius | 90 | 7.7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 39 | 2 |
| O. Lunt | 34 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 |
| L. Moore | 90 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 2 |
| J. Lankester | 90 | 8.9 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 0 |
| C. McNeill | 67 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| A. Thibaut | 60 | 7.9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| Lucas Swann | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Patrick Mlynarski | 56 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 0 |
Aston Villa U21
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vincely Mudame | 27 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 0 |
| Lennon Moss | 26 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 0 |
| Lennon Melmuish | 27 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 0 |
| Sam Lewis | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Vinnie Hayward | 27 | 5.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 0 |
| T. Bloomfield | 27 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 0 |
| Daniel Adediran | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| J. Wright | 90 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 40 | 0 |
| Woody Burgess | 63 | 5.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 42 | 4 |
| L. Routh | 63 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 40 | 1 |
| Theodore Carroll | 63 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 50 | 1 |
| R. Fortes | 63 | 5.8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 1 |
| M. Jenner | 90 | 7.2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 42 | 1 |
| A. Lynskey | 90 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 0 |
| K. Quinn | 90 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 38 | 3 |
| T. Mulley | 64 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 0 |
| Oliver Bindley | 90 | 5.7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 1 |
| Markie Meade | 90 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 0 |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗EFL Trophy table
Current standings. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
Standings are not available for this competition and season.
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Crewe | Draw | Aston Villa U21 |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.53 | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| Bet365 | 1.55 | 4.33 | 4.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.47 | 4.40 | 4.95 |
| Betfair | 1.50 | 4.33 | 4.40 |
| BetVictor | 1.44 | 4.60 | 5.50 |
Snapshot from 22 Sep 2026, 19:00 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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