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Serie A WomenMatchweek 2THE MATCH CENTRE

Fiorentina W vs Sassuolo W match centre

Fiorentina W badgeFiorentina WHome · 4 in league
WLWLL
Momentum↘ Falling34/100OlderLatest
Full time
2:0
UK time · Europe/London
Sassuolo W badgeSassuolo WAway · 9 in league
WWWLL
Momentum↘ Falling51/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
G. Bergsvand33′
S. Bredgaard40′
Curva Fiesole - Viola Park · Bagno a RipoliSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Bookmaker market

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

Likeliest match result

Fiorentina W to win
60.8% market implied

Stored odds 1.53 · Pinnacle

Goals forecast

Over 2.5 goals
55.1% market implied

Stored odds 1.74 · 1xBet

Both teams to score

Both teams to score — Yes
52.0% market implied

Stored odds 1.80 · Bet365

Double chance

Fiorentina W or draw
83.0% market implied

Stored odds 1.15 · Betano

Projected team goals and scorelines are unavailable until a current, consistent Kickoff Edge goal model passes review. The goals market above is a separate bookmaker view.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated 3 Oct 13:01 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 8 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win1.48Market chance 60.3%From stored odds Draw3.80Market chance 23.5%From stored odds Away win5.50Market chance 16.2%From stored odds Bet365 · Updated 3 Oct 13:01 UK Chances are estimates for 90 minutes. Stored prices can change; likelihood alone does not establish value.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
Fiorentina WSassuolo W

The score is available. Detailed match statistics have not been supplied yet.

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Fiorentina W 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Sassuolo W 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Fiorentina W

4/10Wins
1.4Goals / game
1.7Conceded / game

Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At home, 5 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Fiorentina W’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Sassuolo W

4/10Wins
1.1Goals / game
1.8Conceded / game

Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 9 available matches.

Inspect Sassuolo W’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Confirmed lineups are not available on this page yet.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Fiorentina W at home with Sassuolo W away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 3 Oct, 17:15 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Serie A Women · 2026/27 · all league matches

Fiorentina WSassuolo W
0Matches played0
0Points earned0
0Wins0
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
0Clean sheets0
0Failed to score0

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Fiorentina W at home with Sassuolo W away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Awaiting lineups

Official XIs are normally published around 20–60 minutes before kickoff. We check again automatically once that window opens.

Fiorentina W

Most-used league formationPendingNo formation data supplied

Starting XI not confirmed. The formation above is a season trend, not a predicted lineup.

Sassuolo W

Most-used league formationPendingNo formation data supplied

Starting XI not confirmed. The formation above is a season trend, not a predicted lineup.

2026/27 STANDINGS

Serie A Women table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Serie A Women. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Roma W00000000
2Inter Milano W00000000
3Juventus W00000000
4Fiorentina W00000000
5Lazio W00000000
6AC Milan W00000000
7Napoli W00000000
8Como W00000000
9Sassuolo W00000000
10Ternana W00000000
11Parma W00000000
12Como 1907 W00000000
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerFiorentina WDrawSassuolo W
Marathonbet1.473.985.25
Betfair1.444.005.50
Pinnacle1.534.295.22
William Hill1.444.005.00
Bet3651.483.805.50

Snapshot from 3 Oct 2026, 13:01 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

PUT YOUR VIEW TO THE TEST

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