Carrarese
3/10Wins
1.0Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game
Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 9 available matches.
Inspect Carrarese’s results
Serie BMatchweek 1THE MATCH CENTRECarrarese vs Mantova match centre
Full time
1:2
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
P. Pinelli80′
F. Ruocco22′
R. Ilie61′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
CarrareseMantova
0.860Expected goals · API-Football1.170
2Shots on target4
10Total Shots12
48%Ball Possession52%
2Corner Kicks3
19Fouls17
1Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
3Goalkeeper Saves1
430Total passes465
333Passes accurate377
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Carrarese 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Mantova 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Mantova
7/10Wins
2.6Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 4 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Mantova’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Carrarese
10 matchesResults3 wins · 2 draws · 5 losses
Goals scored per game1.0
Goals conceded per game1.3
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored3 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
Mantova
10 matchesResults7 wins · 0 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game2.6
Goals conceded per game1.3
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored3 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Carrarese at home with Mantova away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 06:03 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Serie B · 2026/27 · all league matches
CarrareseMantova
5Matches played5
1Points earned11
0Wins3
0.4Goals scored / match2.0
1.2Goals conceded / match1.0
0Clean sheets1
3Failed to score0
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Carrarese at home with Mantova away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Carrarese
Confirmed formation3-5-2Gabriele Cioffi
- 12
G. GarofaniG - 13
F. RuggeriD - 6
F. OlianaD - 41
L. RomaniD - 7
N. BelloniM - 77
G. ParlantiM - 8
Y. KhafiM - 33
F. RealeM - 73
J. RouhiM - 9
F. AbiusoF - 11
M. CisseF
Substitutes (10)
19 · V. Fiorillo
22 · M. Bencaster
78 · T. Guercio
56 · N. Romagnoli
66 · P. Pinelli
18 · N. Schiavi
71 · G. Baroncelli
32 · M. Finotto
91 · G. Marconi
25 · F. Liberati
Mantova
Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Francesco Modesto
- 22
F. BardiG - 5
B. TomasevicD - 29
S. CellaD - 27
A. CastelliniD - 41
J. SilvaM - 21
S. TrimboliM - 25
L. IgnacchitiM - 50
F. Benaissa-YahiaM - 8
R. IlieF - 19
F. RuoccoF - 9
E. GliozziF
Substitutes (12)
1 · L. Gemello
12 · M. Gasparini
13 · A. Meroni
6 · J. Longonda
10 · D. Wieser
20 · F. Paoletti
18 · S. Keita
71 · F. Chinetti
11 · I. Cajazzo
99 · V. Vlahovic
30 · D. Bragantini
33 · C. Marai
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Carrarese
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giovanni Garofani | 90 | 5.6 | — | 0 | — | 29 | — |
| Fabio Ruggeri | 90 | 7.5 | — | 0 | — | 55 | 4 |
| Filippo Oliana | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 64 | 2 |
| Lorenzo Romani | 84 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 58 | 1 |
| Niccolò Belloni | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 33 | 1 |
| Gabriele Parlanti | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 37 | 5 |
| Yanis Khafi | 59 | 6.0 | — | 0 | — | 21 | 1 |
| Filippo Reale | 84 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 22 | 2 |
| Jonas Rouhi | 75 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 33 | 2 |
| Fabio Abiuso | 59 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 2 | 17 | 1 |
| Moustapha Cissé | 90 | 6.3 | — | 1 | 3 | 19 | — |
| Tommaso Guercio | 31 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 14 | 1 |
| Giacomo Marconi | 31 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 1 | 8 | — |
| Pietro Pinelli | 15 | 7.7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| Nicolas Schiavi | 13 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 12 | — |
| Mattia Finotto | 13 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Vincenzo Fiorillo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mattia Bencaster | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Niccolò Romagnoli | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Filippo Liberati | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Giulio Baroncelli | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Mantova
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Francesco Bardi | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 29 | — |
| Bodin Tomašević | 45 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 34 | 1 |
| Stefano Cella | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 51 | 1 |
| Alessio Castellini | 90 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | 63 | 2 |
| Jonathan Silva | 57 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 22 | 1 |
| Simone Trimboli | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 52 | 3 |
| Lorenzo Ignacchiti | 90 | 7.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 43 | 2 |
| Fahem Benaissa-Yahia | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 1 | 31 | 3 |
| Rareș Ilie | 67 | 7.3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 1 |
| Francesco Ruocco | 67 | 7.9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 2 |
| Ettore Gliozzi | 90 | 6.5 | — | 1 | 2 | 21 | 1 |
| Andrea Meroni | 44 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 28 | 1 |
| David Wieser | 33 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 18 | 1 |
| Federico Chinetti | 23 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 6 | — |
| Davide Bragantini | 23 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 13 | — |
| Flavio Paoletti | 1 | — | — | 0 | — | — | — |
| Luca Gemello | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Manuel Gasparini | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cristian Marai | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jean Pierre Longonda | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sambaly Keïta | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ismael Cajazzo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Vanja Vlahović | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Serie B table
Current standings · Serie B. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palermo | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 13 | WDWWW |
| 2 |  Sudtirol | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 11 | WDWDW |
| 3 | Mantova | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 11 | DWDWW |
| 4 |  Modena | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 10 | WDLWW |
| 5 |  Ascoli | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 10 | WLWDW |
| 6 |  Padova | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 7 | LWLDW |
| 7 |  Benevento | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 7 | WWLDL |
| 8 |  Hellas Verona | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 7 | WLWDL |
| 9 |  Avellino | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 7 | LDWWL |
| 10 |  Cesena | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 7 | DDDWD |
| 11 |  Pisa | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 7 | DLWWL |
| 12 |  Arezzo | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 6 | LWLLW |
| 13 |  Empoli | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 6 | LLWLW |
| 14 |  Virtus Entella | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 5 | DWDLL |
| 15 |  Cremonese | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 5 | DDWLL |
| 16 |  Vicenza Virtus | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 5 | LDDLW |
| 17 |  Sampdoria | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 4 | WLLLD |
| 18 |  Juve Stabia | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 3 | DDLWL |
| 19 |  Catanzaro | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 3 | LWLLL |
| 20 | Carrarese | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 1 | LLLDL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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