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Serie BMatchweek 3THE MATCH CENTRE

Modena vs Avellino match centre

Modena badgeModenaHome · 4 in league
WDLWW
Momentum↗ Rising69/100OlderLatest
Full time
0:1
UK time · Europe/London
Avellino badgeAvellinoAway · 9 in league
LDLLW
Momentum↗ Rising31/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
M. Besaggio8′
Stadio Alberto Braglia · ModenaSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
ModenaAvellino
12Corner Kicks2
17Fouls12
3Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
2Goalkeeper Saves10
495Total passes316
453Passes accurate242

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Modena 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Avellino 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Modena

5/10Wins
1.5Goals / game
0.8Conceded / game

Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 5 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Modena’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Avellino

4/10Wins
1.7Goals / game
1.7Conceded / game

Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Avellino’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Modena at home with Avellino away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 02:16 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Serie B · 2026/27 · all league matches

ModenaAvellino
5Matches played—
10Points earned—
3Wins—
1.6Goals scored / match—
0.8Goals conceded / match—
1Clean sheets—
1Failed to score—

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Modena at home with Avellino away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Modena

Confirmed formation4-3-3Daniele Galloppa
  1. 1L. ChichizolaG
  2. 77D. TonoliD
  3. 6S. NadorD
  4. 20B. Nieling
  5. 7F. ZampanoD
  6. 42A. BiancoM
  7. 16G. BrugmanM
  8. 8S. SantoroM
  9. 72G. OlzerF
  10. 70G. AmbrosinoF
  11. 10G. CasoF
Substitutes (12)

12 · A. Maran

22 · L. Consiglio

28 · D. Adorni

23 · F. Folino

34 · D. Ronco

27 · P. Azzi

17 · K. Bozhanaj

26 · A. Imputato

32 · W. Acquah

73 · P. Arnaboldi

29 · L. Bacchin

9 · D. Montevago

Avellino

Confirmed formation3-5-2Alessandro Nesta
  1. 50T. MartinelliG
  2. 4A. IzzoD
  3. 44L. SimicD
  4. 56P. EnriciD
  5. 2F. MissoriM
  6. 8L. Di MaggioM
  7. 20M. PalumboM
  8. 39M. BesaggioM
  9. 27B. MoruzziM
  10. 10R. RussoF
  11. 99A. FavilliF
Substitutes (12)

1 · A. Iannarilli

29 · T. Cancellotti

3 · M. Sala

24 · D. Sounas

30 · E. Adamo

23 · M. Venturi

16 · G. Faticanti

18 · T. Berenbruch

14 · T. Biasci

7 · L. Pandolfi

77 · S. Di Paolo

9 · W. Cheddira

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Modena

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Leandro Chichizola906.3—0—15—
Daniel Tonoli906.3—01432
Steven Nador867.7—0—573
Bryant Nieling907.3—03593
Francesco Zampano456.3—03261
Alessandro Bianco907.5—02551
Gastón Brugman637.9—01592
Simone Santoro867.2—05612
Giacomo Olzer906.6—01262
Giuseppe Ambrosino906.7—0723—
Giuseppe Caso778.2—0332—
Paulo Azzi456.7—0118—
Luca Bacchin276.6—0—13—
Daniele Montevago136.3—03—1
Francesco Folino136.7—0—4—
Kleis Bozhanaj136.6—0—4—
Andrea Maran———————
Leonardo Consiglio———————
Diego Ronco———————
Davide Adorni———————
Pietro Arnaboldi———————
Wisdom Acquah———————
Antonio Imputato———————

Avellino

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Tommaso Martinelli909.3—0—23—
Armando Izzo907.2—0—451
Lorenco Šimić456.9—0—201
Patrick Enrici907.2—0—263
Filippo Missori456.7—0—12—
Luca Di Maggio776.9—0—292
Martin Palumbo907.2—01472
Michele Besaggio657.710116—
Brando Moruzzi906.6—02243
Raffaele Russo906.9—0—142
Andrea Favilli196.3—0—1—
Walid Cheddira716.7—0115—
Tommaso Cancellotti456.9—0—133
Michael Venturi457.2—0—211
Dimitrios Sounas256.3—0—61
Thomas Berenbruch136.5—0—4—
Antony Iannarilli———————
Sebastiano Di Paolo———————
Giacomo Faticanti———————
Emanuele Adamo———————
Marco Sala———————
Luca Pandolfi———————
Tommaso Biasci———————
2026/27 STANDINGS

Serie B table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Serie B. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Palermo5410105513
WDWWW
2Sudtirol532093611
WDWDW
3Mantova5320105511
DWDWW
4Modena531184410
WDLWW
5Ascoli531174310
WLWDW
6Padova521256-17
LWLDW
7Benevento52126517
WWLDL
8Hellas Verona521210737
WLWDL
9Avellino52127617
LDWWL
10Cesena51407617
DDDWD
11Pisa52128807
DLWWL
12Arezzo5203613-76
LWLLW
13Empoli520346-26
LLWLW
14Virtus Entella51227615
DWDLL
15Cremonese512257-25
DDWLL
16Vicenza Virtus5122710-35
LDDLW
17Sampdoria511359-44
WLLLD
18Juve Stabia512247-33
DDLWL
19Catanzaro510459-43
LWLLL
20Carrarese501426-41
LLLDL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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