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Serie BMatchweek 5THE MATCH CENTRE

Sampdoria vs Catanzaro match centre

Sampdoria badgeSampdoriaHome · 17 in league
LDLLL
Momentum↓ Low6/100OlderLatest
Full time
2:1
UK time · Europe/London
Catanzaro badgeCatanzaroAway · 19 in league
DLLLW
Momentum↗ Rising30/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
Lorenzo Insigne56′
Tjas Begic85′
Stefan Gartenmann45+2′ (og)
Luigi Ferraris · GenoaSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Out of date · Calculated 19 Sep 12:58 UK.

Odds updated 19 Sep 12:28 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 6 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win2.00Estimated chance 38.8%Pre-match estimate Draw3.40Estimated chance 27.3%Pre-match estimate Away win3.70Estimated chance 33.9%Pre-match estimate Bet365 · Updated 19 Sep 12:28 UK · Older than 24 hours Chances are estimates for 90 minutes. Stored prices can change; likelihood alone does not establish value.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
SampdoriaCatanzaro
4Corner Kicks3
16Fouls7
2Yellow Cards3
1Red Cards0
1Goalkeeper Saves4
315Total passes420
265Passes accurate360

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Sampdoria 0 reported

No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.

Catanzaro 0 reported

No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.

Fetched 18 Sep, 23:32 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Sampdoria

2/10Wins
0.8Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game

Keep in view: 6 losses in that sample. At home, 4 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Sampdoria’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Catanzaro

4/10Wins
1.4Goals / game
1.4Conceded / game

Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Catanzaro’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Sampdoria at home with Catanzaro away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 20:43 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Serie B · 2026/27 · all league matches

SampdoriaCatanzaro
4Matches played5
1Points earned3
0Wins1
0.8Goals scored / match1.0
2.0Goals conceded / match1.8
0Clean sheets1
1Failed to score1

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Sampdoria at home with Catanzaro away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

4 recorded meetings

Sampdoria

0wins
4 draws

Catanzaro

0wins

Nov 2024 – Jan 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.

Scores shown with Sampdoria first; venues vary.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Sampdoria

Confirmed formation4-3-2-1B. Corradi
  1. 1P. VindahlG
  2. 29A. Di PardoD
  3. 3S. GartenmannD
  4. 15F. Delli CarriD
  5. 7M. CicconiD
  6. 6L. HendersonM
  7. 45A. MakoumbouM
  8. 28O. AbildgaardM
  9. 16Y. VerschaerenM
  10. 10L. InsigneM
  11. 9T. LauritsenF
Substitutes (10)

12 · Andrey Krastev

43 · K. Mbabu

13 · L. Ravanelli

20 · D. Sinani

99 · G. Tutino

96 · S. Massolo

14 · Yann Karamoh

25 · A. Ferrari

94 · S. Esposito

11 · T. Begić

Catanzaro

Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Giorgio Gorgone
  1. 22M. PigliacelliG
  2. 24M. RuggeroD
  3. 4Matias AntoniniD
  4. 3M. ImperialeD
  5. 93M. DorvalM
  6. 10J. PetriccioneM
  7. 98N. MostiM
  8. 30G. AlesiM
  9. 20S. PafundiM
  10. 9P. IemmelloM
  11. 19N. KoffiF
Substitutes (12)

7 · N. Buso

27 · A. Candela

21 · F. Cassa

29 · F. Di Francesco

80 · F. Reita

26 · B. Verrengia

28 · F. Tchaouna

31 · E. Pecorino

1 · C. Marietta

14 · S. Giovane

18 · A. Garnica

62 · R. Frosinini

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Sampdoria

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
T. Begić207.810141
S. Esposito356.6000161
A. Ferrari00.000000
Yann Karamoh00.000000
S. Massolo00.000000
P. Vindahl906.6000300
A. Di Pardo906.8000271
S. Gartenmann905.4000330
F. Delli Carri906.8000352
M. Cicconi906.4001290
L. Henderson796.2003171
A. Makoumbou557.2001311
Y. Verschaeren706.5001203
O. Abildgaard646.1004170
T. Lauritsen797.7012240
L. Insigne708.1104321
G. Tutino116.600021
D. Sinani206.700050
L. Ravanelli00.000000
Andrey Krastev00.000000
K. Mbabu115.600020

Catanzaro

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
M. Pigliacelli906.8000350
M. Ruggero636.9000261
Matias Antonini906.6000650
M. Imperiale906.7000390
G. Alesi906.3000382
N. Mosti706.5002492
J. Petriccione906.6000691
M. Dorval636.3000222
P. Iemmello906.5002301
N. Buso00.000000
A. Candela276.4000142
F. Cassa00.000000
F. Di Francesco66.100160
F. Reita00.000000
B. Verrengia00.000000
F. Tchaouna00.000000
E. Pecorino206.200231
C. Marietta00.000000
S. Giovane205.9001160
A. Garnica00.000000
R. Frosinini276.100090
S. Pafundi846.4001290
N. Koffi705.800180
2026/27 STANDINGS

Serie B table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Serie B. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Palermo5410105513
WDWWW
2Sudtirol532093611
WDWDW
3Mantova5320105511
DWDWW
4Modena531184410
WDLWW
5Ascoli531174310
WLWDW
6Padova521256-17
LWLDW
7Benevento52126517
WWLDL
8Hellas Verona521210737
WLWDL
9Avellino52127617
LDWWL
10Cesena51407617
DDDWD
11Pisa52128807
DLWWL
12Arezzo5203613-76
LWLLW
13Empoli520346-26
LLWLW
14Virtus Entella51227615
DWDLL
15Cremonese512257-25
DDWLL
16Vicenza Virtus5122710-35
LDDLW
17Sampdoria511359-44
WLLLD
18Juve Stabia512247-33
DDLWL
19Catanzaro510459-43
LWLLL
20Carrarese501426-41
LLLDL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerSampdoriaDrawCatanzaro
William Hill2.053.253.40
Bet3652.003.403.70
Marathonbet1.993.383.62
BetVictor2.003.303.40
Pinnacle2.063.453.85

Snapshot from 19 Sep 2026, 12:28 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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