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Premyer LiqaMatchweek 4THE MATCH CENTRE

Neftchi Baku vs Safa Baku match centre

Neftchi Baku badgeNeftchi BakuHome · 1 in league
LWWWL
Momentum→ Steady60/100OlderLatest
Full time
4:1
UK time · Europe/London
Safa Baku badgeSafa BakuAway · 10 in league
LLWLL
Momentum↘ Falling20/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
R. Abbasov35′
A. Skribek64′
A. Skribek66′
Breno Almeida79′ (pen)
M. Musayev48′
Palms Sports Arena · BakuSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
Neftchi BakuSafa Baku

The score is available. Detailed match statistics have not been supplied yet.

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Neftchi Baku 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Safa Baku 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Neftchi Baku

5/10Wins
1.6Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game

Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At home, 5 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Neftchi Baku’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Safa Baku

4/10Wins
0.8Goals / game
0.6Conceded / game

Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 9 available matches.

Inspect Safa Baku’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Neftchi Baku at home with Safa Baku away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 04:31 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Premyer Liqa · 2026/27 · all league matches

Neftchi BakuSafa Baku
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Neftchi Baku at home with Safa Baku away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Neftchi Baku

Confirmed formationPendingYuriy Vernydub
  1. 1E. Balayev
  2. 8E. Mahmudov
  3. 17M. Khachayev
  4. 3R. Abbasov
  5. 77F. Sacko
  6. 18I. Mathew
  7. 97B. Sambou
  8. 55A. Gravillon
  9. 29L. Tupta
  10. 33Breno Almeida
  11. 11A. Skribek
Substitutes (12)

93 · R. Cafarov

91 · N. Azizov

4 · E. Camalov

7 · E. Safarov

6 · S. D'Almeida

24 · M. Seck

5 · Igor Ribeiro

10 · F. Vargas

22 · D. Jubitana

20 · Gustavo Klismahn

27 · D. Savic

88 · V. Sevelj

Safa Baku

Confirmed formationPending
  1. 1N. Mehbaliyev
  2. 28M. Musayev
  3. 83N. Quliyev
  4. 6F. Yusifli
  5. 18B. Dansoko
  6. 4M. Jarjue
  7. 17M. Guel
  8. 11A. Dragu
  9. 9Luis Felipe
  10. 22O. Diaw
  11. 34C. Mamengi
Substitutes (12)

99 · M. Huseynov

96 · A. Alizada

3 · T. Quliyev

42 · E. Cafarov

55 · R. Huseynli

5 · A. Agcabayov

21 · I. Zulfugarli

23 · N. Aliyev

39 · E. Babazada

10 · D. Mertens

8 · V. Pop

7 · T. Fuller

2026/27 STANDINGS

Premyer Liqa table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Premyer Liqasi. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Neftchi Baku65011851315
WWWLW
2Sabah FA55001411315
WWWWW
3Qarabag541094513
WDWWW
4Turan632164211
WDWLD
5Zira631278-110
LDLWW
6Şamaxı FK62318629
WDWDD
7Kapaz521247-37
DWLWL
8Qabala611427-54
LLWDL
9Imisli FK6114611-54
LLLWL
10Safa Baku6105211-93
LLLLW
11Sumqayıt502348-42
DDLLL
12Araz6024513-82
LDLLL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

PUT YOUR VIEW TO THE TEST

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