AEK Larnaca
5/10Wins
1.8Goals / game
1.4Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 5 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect AEK Larnaca’s results
1. DivisionMatchweek 3THE MATCH CENTREAEK Larnaca vs Pafos match centre
Full time
0:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
V. Dragomir62′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
AEK LarnacaPafos
The score is available. Detailed match statistics have not been supplied yet.
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
AEK Larnaca 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Pafos 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Pafos
3/10Wins
1.6Goals / game
1.2Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 4 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Pafos’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
AEK Larnaca
10 matchesResults5 wins · 1 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game1.8
Goals conceded per game1.4
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Nea SalamisAway · 1. Division4–1Apoel NicosiaHome · 1. Division3–1Omonia AradippouHome · Friendlies Clubs0–1Beitar JerusalemAway · UEFA Europa Conference League3–2Beitar JerusalemHome · UEFA Europa Conference League0–1Apollon LimassolAway · Friendlies Clubs0–0AjaxAway · Friendlies Clubs0–1PAOKAway · Friendlies Clubs2–3Helmond SportAway · Friendlies Clubs2–1ArisAway · 1. Division4–3
Pafos
10 matchesResults3 wins · 4 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.6
Goals conceded per game1.2
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored4 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
OlympiakosHome · 1. Division0–0Omonia NicosiaAway · Super Cup1–0KarmiotissaAway · 1. Division3–0Dinamo TiranaHome · UEFA Europa Conference League2–2Dinamo TiranaAway · UEFA Europa Conference League1–1Red Bull SalzburgHome · UEFA Europa League3–3Red Bull SalzburgAway · UEFA Europa League0–1HNK Hajduk SplitHome · UEFA Europa League4–0HNK Hajduk SplitAway · UEFA Europa League0–2Slovan BratislavaAway · Friendlies Clubs2–3
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare AEK Larnaca at home with Pafos away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:51 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
1. Division · 2026/27 · all league matches
AEK LarnacaPafos
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares AEK Larnaca at home with Pafos away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
AEK Larnaca
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Ruben Selles
- 92
Alberto PaleariG - 21
Jorge MiramónM - 15
Hrvoje MiličevićD - 3
Mike Van der HoornD - 17
Kostas PileasD - 6
Ivan Chavdarov PankovM - 7
Gus LedesM - 14
Amor LayouniM - 20
Jan RepasM - 9
Đorđe IvanovićM - 19
Atanas TricăF
Substitutes (12)
5 · Brian Oliván
10 · Yerson Chacón
28 · Kerim Mrabti
33 · Nicolas Andereggen
25 · Chambos Kyriakou
51 · Andreas Paraskevas
99 · Dimitris Dimitriou
2 · Petros Ioannou
22 · Godswill Ekpolo
23 · Sven Köhler
44 · Zacharias Adoni
29 · Giorgos Naoum
Pafos
Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Ricardo Sa Pinto
- 99
Radosław MajeckiG - 5
David GoldarD - 4
David LuizD - 14
Nikolas IoannouD - 7
BrunoD - 26
Ivan ŠunjićM - 88
PêpêM - 12
Ken SemaM - 13
Nicolas Moumie NgamaleuM - 8
Domingos QuinaM - 18
LelêF
Substitutes (12)
30 · Vlad Dragomir
20 · Biel
2 · Yoram Zague
6 · Guga
33 · Anderson Silva
71 · Michalis Papastylianou
82 · Petros Petrou
3 · Samy Mmaee
61 · Melinos Kais
23 · Jonatás Noro
60 · Christos Efzona
17 · Afonso Patrao
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗1. Division table
Current standings · 1-division. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AEK Larnaca | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 9 | WLWW |
| 2 |  AEL | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 9 | WWLW |
| 3 |  Omonia Nicosia | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 8 | WDWD |
| 4 | Pafos | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7 | LWDW |
| 5 |  Apollon Limassol | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 6 | DDWD |
| 6 |  Omonia Aradippou | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 6 | DDWD |
| 7 |  Omonia 29is Maiou | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 5 | LDDW |
| 8 |  Aris | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 5 | DWLD |
| 9 |  Apoel Nicosia | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 4 | DLWL |
| 10 |  Olympiakos | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 4 | DDDD |
| 11 |  Nea Salamis | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 4 | WLLD |
| 12 |  Karmiotissa | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 3 | DDDL |
| 13 |  Anorthosis | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 3 | LWLL |
| 14 |  Krasava Ypsonas | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 10 | -8 | 0 | LLLL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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