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1. DivisionMatchweek 4THE MATCH CENTRE

Aris vs Karmiotissa match centre

Aris badgeArisHome · 8 in league
LDLW
Momentum↗ Rising38/100OlderLatest
Full time
0:0
UK time · Europe/London
Karmiotissa badgeKarmiotissaAway · 12 in league
WLDD
Momentum→ Steady38/100OlderLatest
Alphamega Stadium · LimassolSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Out of date · Calculated 20 Sep 16:52 UK.

Odds updated 20 Sep 15:31 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 9 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win1.42Our model 47.1%Market 65.1% Draw4.75Our model 23.8%Market 19.5% Away win6.00Our model 29.1%Market 15.4% Bet365 · Updated 20 Sep 15:31 UK · Older than 24 hours Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
ArisKarmiotissa

The score is available. Detailed match statistics have not been supplied yet.

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Aris 0 reported

No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.

Karmiotissa 0 reported

No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.

Fetched 20 Sep, 14:30 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Aris

2/10Wins
1.3Goals / game
2.0Conceded / game

Keep in view: 7 losses in that sample. At home, 2 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Aris’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Karmiotissa

5/10Wins
2.0Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game

Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At away venues, 4 wins from 9 available matches.

Inspect Karmiotissa’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Aris at home with Karmiotissa away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 01:59 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

1. Division · 2026/27 · all league matches

ArisKarmiotissa
3Matches played3
4Points earned2
1Wins0
1.3Goals scored / match1.0
2.0Goals conceded / match2.0
1Clean sheets0
0Failed to score1

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Aris at home with Karmiotissa away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

5 recorded meetings

Aris

2wins
2 draws

Karmiotissa

1wins

Jan 2023 – Dec 2024 · Past results, not a forecast.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Aris

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Artem Radkov
  1. 91Mislav ZadroG
  2. 24Gedeon KaluluD
  3. 20Steeve YagoD
  4. 27Juraj BadeljD
  5. 3Lazar MarašD
  6. 6Alex Opoku SarfoM
  7. 21Daniil GalyataM
  8. 29Dennis Bakke GaustadM
  9. 30Gustavo PajeM
  10. 70Chahid El AllachiM
  11. 11Rody Junior EffagheF
Substitutes (12)

7 · Anderson Correia

99 · Werton

1 · Vaná

46 · Georgios Dimitriou

17 · Miłosz Matysik

19 · Mamadou Sane

18 · Bence Szakos

47 · Andreas Dimitriou

22 · Veljko Nikolić

88 · Collins Phares Fi Akamba

16 · Oriyomi Lebi

78 · Denis Ovsyannikov

Karmiotissa

Confirmed formation4-3-2-1Alexandros Garpozis
  1. 1Nikos GiannakopoulosG
  2. 22Rubén GarcíaD
  3. 4Sadio DembéléD
  4. 8Curtis YebliM
  5. 6Christos WheelerD
  6. 26Xhuljo TabakuM
  7. 10Alastair ReynoldsM
  8. 21Petros PsychasM
  9. 20Marios KokkinoftasM
  10. 77Panagiotis TachtsidisM
  11. 9Patrick LuanF
Substitutes (12)

11 · Iakovos Savvidis

7 · Mateja Bajunovic

28 · Malcolm Elhmidi

18 · Andreas Violaris

99 · Dimitrios Priniotakis

44 · Jad Smaira

97 · Angelos Argyriou

27 · Manolis Pavlis

23 · Alexandre Kutateladze

57 · Artemis Spanos

14 · Nikolas Chatzivarnava

19 · Stelios Panagiotou

2026/27 STANDINGS

1. Division table

League centre ↗

Current standings · 1-division. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1AEK Larnaca43019459
WLWW
2AEL430167-19
WWLW
3Omonia Nicosia42208268
WDWD
4Pafos42114227
LWDW
5Apollon Limassol41307526
DDWD
6Omonia Aradippou41304316
DDWD
7Omonia 29is Maiou41219725
LDDW
8Aris412146-25
DWLD
9Apoel Nicosia411210734
DLWL
10Olympiakos40407704
DDDD
11Nea Salamis411289-14
WLLD
12Karmiotissa403136-33
DDDL
13Anorthosis410339-63
LWLL
14Krasava Ypsonas4004210-80
LLLL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerArisDrawKarmiotissa
William Hill1.364.606.50
Bet3651.424.756.00
Marathonbet1.344.907.40
Betfair1.304.757.00
BetVictor1.364.607.00

Snapshot from 20 Sep 2026, 15:31 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

PUT YOUR VIEW TO THE TEST

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