Chelsea W
8/10Wins
2.5Goals / game
0.8Conceded / game
Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At home, 7 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Chelsea W’s results
FA WSLMatchweek 3THE MATCH CENTREChelsea W vs Birmingham City W match centre
Full time
2:0
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
A. Potter8′
M. Malard71′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
Experimental fallback — not a recommended bet. This model has not passed the data and predictive-performance checks required for recommendations. Its goal projections and scorelines are withheld. Any likelihood guide shown here uses bookmaker prices.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Experimental — not eligible for recommendations · Calculated 19 Sep 12:26 UK.
Odds updated 19 Sep 08:52 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 3 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
Chelsea WBirmingham City W
The score is available. Detailed match statistics have not been supplied yet.
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Chelsea W 0 reported
No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.
Birmingham City W 0 reported
No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.
Fetched 18 Sep, 22:18 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Birmingham City W
6/10Wins
1.8Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 5 wins from 7 available matches.
Inspect Birmingham City W’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Chelsea W
10 matchesResults8 wins · 2 draws · 0 losses
Goals scored per game2.5
Goals conceded per game0.8
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Manchester United WAway · FA WSL5–0Aston Villa WHome · FA WSL1–1Real Sociedad WAway · UEFA Champions League Women1–0Real Sociedad WHome · UEFA Champions League Women5–2Manchester United WHome · FA WSL1–0Manchester City WHome · FA Women's Cup2–2Leicester City WFCAway · FA WSL3–1Everton WAway · FA WSL4–1Tottenham Hotspur WHome · FA Women's Cup2–1Arsenal WHome · UEFA Champions League Women1–0
Birmingham City W
10 matchesResults6 wins · 1 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.8
Goals conceded per game1.0
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored3 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Brighton WHome · FA WSL2–2Manchester City WAway · FA WSL1–3Charlton Athletic WAway · Women's Championship2–0Ipswich Town WHome · Women's Championship0–3Manchester City WHome · FA Women's Cup0–1Sunderland WHome · Women's Championship1–0Bristol City WAway · Women's Championship1–0Sheffield United WHome · Women's Championship2–1Southampton WAway · Women's Championship1–0Chatham Town WHome · FA Women's Cup8–0
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Chelsea W at home with Birmingham City W away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 01:59 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
FA WSL · 2026/27 · all league matches
Chelsea WBirmingham City W
2Matches played2
4Points earned1
1Wins0
3.0Goals scored / match1.5
0.5Goals conceded / match2.5
1Clean sheets0
0Failed to score0
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Chelsea W at home with Birmingham City W away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
4 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Chelsea W
4wins4MEETINGS
Birmingham City W
0winsSep 2021 – May 2022 · Historical meetings. Squads and team strength have changed.
Scores shown with Chelsea W first; venues vary.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Chelsea W
Confirmed formationPendingSonia Bompastor
- 24
H. Hampton - 22
L. Bronze - 26
K. Buchanan - 5
V. Buurman - 2
E. Carpenter - 21
K. Walsh - 32
A. Potter - 6
S. Nusken - 12
A. Thompson - 19
W. Kaptein - 11
S. Baltimore
Substitutes (9)
1 · L. Peng
30 · V. Rudz
4 · N. Girma
14 · N. Bjorn
17 · N. Las
23 · M. Hamano
16 · G. Dragoni
15 · K. McCabe
9 · M. Malard
Birmingham City W
Confirmed formationPendingAmy Merricks
- 23
S. Baggaley - 3
M. Levasseur - 21
M. Turner - 30
N. Herron - 18
R. McKenna - 8
L. Naalsund - 26
A. Miyagawa - 16
L. Crosthwaite - 7
Lee Geum-Min - 22
O. Hurtre - 10
W. Leidhammar
Substitutes (9)
1 · L. Thomas
2 · M. Harris
15 · R. Holloway
4 · J. Rastocle
6 · S. Cooke
14 · S. Amano
19 · C. Cornet
27 · V. Sarri
20 · C. Effa Effa
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗FA WSL table
Current standings · Super League Women. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City W | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 9 | WWW |
| 2 |  Tottenham Hotspur W | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 9 | 7 | WDW |
| 3 | Chelsea W | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 7 | WWD |
| 4 |  London City Lionesses W | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 6 | WLW |
| 5 |  Everton W | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | WWL |
| 6 |  Arsenal W | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | DDW |
| 7 |  Liverpool W | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 4 | LDW |
| 8 |  Crystal Palace W | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 4 | LDW |
| 9 |  West Ham W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3 | LWL |
| 10 |  Brighton W | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | DDL |
| 11 |  Aston Villa W | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 2 | DLD |
| 12 | Birmingham City W | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 1 | LDL |
| 13 |  Manchester United W | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 1 | DLL |
| 14 |  Charlton Athletic W | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 9 | -8 | 0 | LLL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Chelsea W | Draw | Birmingham City W |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.06 | 13.00 | 19.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.02 | 10.75 | 21.00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.06 | 12.59 | 23.37 |
Snapshot from 19 Sep 2026, 08:52 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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