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League CupRound of 128THE MATCH CENTRE

Watford vs Crawley Town match centre

Watford badgeWatfordHome
LLDWL
Momentum↗ Rising29/100OlderLatest
Full time
1:0
UK time · Europe/London
Crawley Town badgeCrawley TownAway
LWLLW
Momentum→ Steady43/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
M. Bola90′
Vicarage Road · WatfordSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
WatfordCrawley Town
12Corner Kicks1
11Fouls13
2Yellow Cards3
—Red Cards—
3Goalkeeper Saves10
461Total passes292
391Passes accurate223

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Watford 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Crawley Town 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Watford

1/10Wins
0.8Goals / game
2.2Conceded / game

Keep in view: 7 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Watford’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Crawley Town

3/10Wins
1.0Goals / game
1.2Conceded / game

Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Crawley Town’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Watford at home with Crawley Town away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 08:21 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

League Cup · 2026/27 · all league matches

WatfordCrawley Town
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Watford at home with Crawley Town away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Watford

Confirmed formationPending
  1. 1F. RavagliaG
  2. 23O. H. TraoreD
  3. 6M. PollockD
  4. 4K. KebenD
  5. 16M. BolaD
  6. 8E. BoveM
  7. 5H. KyprianouM
  8. 14K. BaahM
  9. 17I. BravoM
  10. 7O. MaammaM
  11. 9L. KjerrumgaardF
Substitutes (9)

26 · D. Bachmann

22 · M. Payero

39 · E. Kayembe

20 · M. Doumbia

33 · J. Zemura

10 · I. Louza

53 · J. Clarridge

11 · R. Vata

21 · A. Nabizada

Crawley Town

Confirmed formationPending
  1. 1V. MannoneG
  2. 2K. GordonD
  3. 24A. OdimayoD
  4. 5C. BarkerD
  5. 22A. AdeyemoD
  6. 20J. ArthursM
  7. 25K. KrasniqiM
  8. 7M. EbioweiM
  9. 8L. WatsonM
  10. 10S. Duke-McKennaM
  11. 14G. Di BiaseF
Substitutes (9)

13 · N. Michalski

16 · J. Russell

28 · N. Tinsdale

33 · O. Mrisho

9 · D. Orsi-Dadomo

17 · O. Kamara

4 · P. Arganese-McDermott

11 · O. Aderoju

56 · J. Robertson

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Watford

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Federico Ravaglia1027.6———28—
Omar Haktab Traore1027.2———34—
Matthew Pollock1027.7——1551
Kévin Keben Biakolo1027.3———662
Marc Bola1028.91—3503
Edoardo Bove686.2——1321
Hector Kyprianou1027.6——2513
Kwadwo Baah456.5———17—
Iker Bravo696.9——326—
Othmane Maamma777.9——234—
Luca Kjerrumgaard686.3——4111
Amin Nabizada577.2——1162
Edo Kayembe347.0——122—
Mamadou Doumbia346.7——26—
Martín Payero336.9——162
Rocco Vata256.9——272
Daniel Bachmann———————
James Clarridge———————
Jordan Zemura———————
Imrân Louza———————

Crawley Town

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Vito Mannone1029.0———42—
Kellan Gordon766.5——2141
Akin Odimayo767.3——1294
Charlie Barker1027.9——1453
Ade Adeyemo768.2——1147
Jude Arthurs1027.2———367
Klaudio Krasniqi1026.6———361
Malcolm Ebiowei646.2———11—
Louie Watson1026.2———13—
Stephen Duke-McKenna1026.6——1171
Gianmarco Di Biase566.9———1—
Pemi Aderoju466.7———6—
Osman Kamara386.3———31
Pele Arganese-McDermott266.5———101
Johnny Russell266.6———53
Omari Mrisho266.2———101
Nicholas Michalski———————
Jude Robertson———————
Nathan Tinsdale———————
Danilo Orsi-Dadomo———————
2026/27 STANDINGS

League Cup table

League centre ↗

Current standings. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

Standings are not available for this competition and season.

THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

PUT YOUR VIEW TO THE TEST

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