Gamba Osaka
3/10Wins
1.6Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Gamba Osaka’s results
AFC Champions League EliteLeague Phase - 1THE MATCH CENTREGamba Osaka vs Công An Nhân Dân match centre
Full time
4:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
T. Usami29′
Y. Toshida58′
T. Usami67′
K. Sumi90+3′
B. Perea79′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
Experimental fallback — not a recommended bet. This model has not passed the data and predictive-performance checks required for recommendations. Its goal projections and scorelines are withheld. Any likelihood guide shown here uses bookmaker prices.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Experimental — not eligible for recommendations · Calculated 15 Sep 11:48 UK. The model differs from the margin-adjusted match-winner market by at least 30 percentage points on an outcome, so its probabilities are held for review. This check flags disagreement; it does not establish which forecast is right.
Odds updated 15 Sep 09:44 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 9 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
Gamba OsakaCông An Nhân Dân
1.590Expected goals · API-Football1.460
6Shots on target7
12Total Shots15
53%Ball Possession47%
1Corner Kicks3
14Fouls8
0Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
6Goalkeeper Saves3
489Total passes431
403Passes accurate341
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Gamba Osaka 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Công An Nhân Dân 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Công An Nhân Dân
8/10Wins
2.0Goals / game
0.5Conceded / game
Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At away venues, 6 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Công An Nhân Dân’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Gamba Osaka
10 matchesResults3 wins · 4 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.6
Goals conceded per game1.3
Games with 3+ goals4 of 10
Both teams scored4 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
FC TokyoHome · J1 League0–2JEF United ChibaAway · J1 League0–2V-varen NagasakiAway · J1 League2–2Sanfrecce HiroshimaHome · J1 League0–0Biwako ShigaHome · Emperor Cup2–0Nagoya GrampusAway · J1 League1–3Mito HollyhockAway · J1 League1–1Gangwon FCAway · AFC Champions League Elite0–0UrawaHome · J1 League4–3KanazawaAway · Friendlies Clubs6–0
Công An Nhân Dân
10 matchesResults8 wins · 1 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game2.0
Goals conceded per game0.5
Games with 3+ goals3 of 10
Both teams scored3 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
ViettelAway · V.League 11–0Hồng Lĩnh Hà TĩnhHome · V.League 12–0Ho Chi MinhHome · Super Cup5–0Adelaide UnitedAway · AFC Champions League Elite2–0ViettelAway · V.League 10–1Binh DuongHome · V.League 12–1Hồng LÄ©nh Hà TÄ©nhAway · V.League 11–1Thanh HóaHome · V.League 12–0Nam DinhHome · V.League 13–2Hai PhongAway · V.League 12–0
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Gamba Osaka at home with Công An Nhân Dân away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 03:51 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
AFC Champions League Elite · 2026/27 · all league matches
Gamba OsakaCông An Nhân Dân
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Gamba Osaka at home with Công An Nhân Dân away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Gamba Osaka
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Tomokazu Myojin
- 22
J. IchimoriG - 15
T. KishimotoD - 4
S. NakataniD - 2
S. FukuokaD - 21
R. HatsuseD - 13
S. AbeM - 27
R. MitoM - 17
R. YamashitaM - 7
T. UsamiM - 8
R. MeshinoM - 41
Y. ToshidaF
Substitutes (12)
10 · S. Kurata
11 · I. Jebali
16 · T. Suzuki
18 · R. Araki
19 · G. Ikegaya
20 · E. Adams
23 · D. Hummet
37 · N. Nakatsumi
39 · K. Sumi
47 · S. Nakano
67 · S. Sasaki
78 · Juanpe
Công An Nhân Dân
Confirmed formation3-4-3Alexandre Polking
- 1
F. NguyenG - 55
F. PutrosD - 68
Bui Hoang Viet AnhD - 5
Doan Van HauD - 8
D. HenenM - 6
S. MaukM - 14
D. SabaterM - 7
J. PendantM - 19
Nguyen Quang HaiF - 90
B. PereaF - 72
Alan GrafiteF
Substitutes (11)
4 · N. T. Phan
9 · Nguyen Dinh Bac
11 · Le Pham Thanh Long
12 · Hoang Van Toan
15 · Bui Xuan Thinh
18 · Dinh Thanh Binh
23 · Vu Thanh Vinh
26 · Ha Van Phuong
30 · Y. E. Nie
38 · L. Adou
88 · Le Van Do
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗AFC Champions League Elite table
Current standings · East Region. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kashima | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 2 | Gamba Osaka | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | WW |
| 3 |  SHANGHAI SIPG | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 4 |  Beijing Guoan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 5 |  Vissel Kobe | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 6 |  Jeonbuk Motors | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 7 |  Daejeon Citizen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 8 |  Johor Darul Takzim FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 9 |  Buriram United | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 10 |  Kashiwa Reysol | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 11 |  Port FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 12 |  Kyoto Sanga | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 13 |  Ratchaburi | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 14 |  Pohang Steelers | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 15 | Công An Nhân Dân | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | LW |
| 16 |  Newcastle Jets | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 0 | L |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Gamba Osaka | Draw | Công An Nhân Dân |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.44 | 4.33 | 6.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.42 | 4.50 | 6.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.41 | 4.60 | 6.75 |
| Betfair | 1.36 | 4.60 | 6.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.40 | 4.75 | 6.50 |
Snapshot from 15 Sep 2026, 09:44 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
PUT YOUR VIEW TO THE TEST
Open practice slip +Try it with virtual funds
Start with £1,000 virtual funds. Choose a single or combine different matches in an accumulator, then track confirmed results. No real money. Record an actual bet in your manual journal ↗
Football data. A clearer perspective.Back to matches →