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Beijing Guoan vs Pohang Steelers match centre

Beijing Guoan badgeBeijing GuoanHome · 4 in league
WDDWD
Momentum→ Steady58/100OlderLatest
Full time
3:1
UK time · Europe/London
Pohang Steelers badgePohang SteelersAway · 14 in league
WDLDD
Momentum→ Steady36/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
Chadrac Akolo2′
Zhang Xizhe12′
Jeremy Dudziak46′
Jakob Tranziska6′ (pen)
Beijing Workers' Stadium · BeijingSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

Experimental fallback — not a recommended bet. This model has not passed the data and predictive-performance checks required for recommendations. Its goal projections and scorelines are withheld. Any likelihood guide shown here uses bookmaker prices.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Experimental — not eligible for recommendations · Calculated 15 Sep 11:48 UK.

Odds updated 15 Sep 13:00 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 9 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win1.48Our model ExperimentalMarket 61.6% Draw4.33Our model ExperimentalMarket 21.1% Away win5.25Our model ExperimentalMarket 17.4% Bet365 · Updated 15 Sep 13:00 UK · Older than 24 hours Experimental fallback: excluded from recommendations until its data and predictive performance are verified.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
Beijing GuoanPohang Steelers
2Corner Kicks3
13Fouls17
2Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards0
2Goalkeeper Saves3
482Total passes489
403Passes accurate413

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Beijing Guoan 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Pohang Steelers 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Beijing Guoan

6/10Wins
2.4Goals / game
1.1Conceded / game

Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At home, 6 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Beijing Guoan’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Pohang Steelers

3/10Wins
0.9Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game

Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 4 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Pohang Steelers’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Beijing Guoan at home with Pohang Steelers away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 08:21 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

AFC Champions League Elite · 2026/27 · all league matches

Beijing GuoanPohang Steelers
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Beijing Guoan at home with Pohang Steelers away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Beijing Guoan

Confirmed formation4-4-2Nick Montgomery
  1. 34Hou SenG
  2. 21Tze-Nam YueD
  3. 27Gang WangD
  4. 5Guilherme RamosD
  5. 47Deng JiefuD
  6. 28Jeremy DudziakM
  7. 23DawhanM
  8. 7Sai Erjini'aoM
  9. 10Zhang XizheM
  10. 20Béni NkololoF
  11. 77Chadrac AkoloF
Substitutes (12)

31 · Shaoziyang Liu

24 · Abdugheni Abduhamit

25 · Uroš Spajić

4 · Li Lei

30 · Shuangjie Fan

6 · Chi Zhongguo

17 · Yang Liyu

18 · Wang Yu

41 · Cheng Xi

50 · Zhang Haoran

43 · Xia Xiaoyu

29 · Fabio Abreu

Pohang Steelers

Confirmed formation5-4-1Tae-Ha Park
  1. 1Pyeong-guk YunG
  2. 14Chang-woo LeeD
  3. 5Jin Si-WooD
  4. 33Jo Sung-wookD
  5. 36Ho-jin KimD
  6. 3Ye-Sung KimD
  7. 37Han-min JungM
  8. 31Kento NishiyaM
  9. 8Seung-ho KimM
  10. 9An Jae-joonM
  11. 10Jakob TranziskaF
Substitutes (12)

29 · Sung-min Hong

17 · Kwang-hun Shin

20 · Park Chan-Yong

4 · Min-kwang Jeon

77 · Wanderson

22 · Kim Gwang-won

16 · Dong-jin Kim

70 · Hwang Seo-woong

18 · Sang-hyeok Cho

25 · Jorge Teixeira

11 · Juninho Rocha

7 · Ki-jong Won

2026/27 STANDINGS

AFC Champions League Elite table

League centre ↗

Current standings · East Region. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Kashima11007163
W
2Gamba Osaka11004133
WW
3SHANGHAI SIPG11006423
W
4Beijing Guoan11003123
W
5Vissel Kobe11002113
W
6Jeonbuk Motors11002113
W
7Daejeon Citizen11001013
W
8Johor Darul Takzim FC10101101
D
9Buriram United10101101
D
10Kashiwa Reysol100112-10
L
11Port FC100112-10
L
12Kyoto Sanga100101-10
L
13Ratchaburi100146-20
L
14Pohang Steelers100113-20
L
15Công An Nhân Dân100114-30
LW
16Newcastle Jets100117-60
L
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerBeijing GuoanDrawPohang Steelers
William Hill1.444.206.00
Bet3651.484.335.25
Marathonbet1.484.405.80
Betfair1.404.206.00
BetVictor1.454.336.50

Snapshot from 15 Sep 2026, 13:00 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

PUT YOUR VIEW TO THE TEST

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