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Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Gharafa match centre

Al-Hilal Saudi FC badgeAl-Hilal Saudi FCHome · 4 in league
WWWLW
Momentum↘ Falling77/100OlderLatest
Full time
2:1
UK time · Europe/London
Al-Gharafa badgeAl-GharafaAway · 12 in league
WLLLD
Momentum↓ Low23/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
Rúben Neves45+3′ (pen)
Sergej Milinković-Savić73′
Scorer details awaited
Kingdom Arena · RiyadhSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

Experimental fallback — not a recommended bet. This model has not passed the data and predictive-performance checks required for recommendations. Its goal projections and scorelines are withheld. Any likelihood guide shown here uses bookmaker prices.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Experimental — not eligible for recommendations · Calculated 15 Sep 17:12 UK.

Odds updated 15 Sep 19:00 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 9 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win1.04Our model ExperimentalMarket 90.9% Draw15.00Our model ExperimentalMarket 6.3% Away win34.00Our model ExperimentalMarket 2.8% Bet365 · Updated 15 Sep 19:00 UK · Older than 24 hours Experimental fallback: excluded from recommendations until its data and predictive performance are verified.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
Al-Hilal Saudi FCAl-Gharafa
14Corner Kicks2
11Fouls9
0Yellow Cards2
1Red Cards1
2Goalkeeper Saves5
549Total passes243
493Passes accurate195

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Al-Hilal Saudi FC 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Al-Gharafa 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Al-Gharafa

3/10Wins
1.4Goals / game
1.6Conceded / game

Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 0 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Al-Gharafa’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Al-Hilal Saudi FC at home with Al-Gharafa away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 01:59 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

AFC Champions League Elite · 2026/27 · all league matches

Al-Hilal Saudi FCAl-Gharafa
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Al-Hilal Saudi FC at home with Al-Gharafa away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

2 recorded meetings

Al-Hilal Saudi FC

2wins
0 draws

Al-Gharafa

0wins

Dec 2024 – Nov 2025 · Past results, not a forecast.

Scores shown with Al-Hilal Saudi FC first; venues vary.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Al-Hilal Saudi FC

Confirmed formation4-3-3S. Inzaghi
  1. 37Y. BounouG
  2. 2Mohammed Mater Mohsin MahzariD
  3. 3K. KoulibalyD
  4. 4Yusuf AkçiçekD
  5. 6Nasser Al DawsariD
  6. 22S. Milinković-SavićM
  7. 8Rúben NevesM
  8. 70Saïmon BouabréM
  9. 7Gabriel MartinelliF
  10. 75M. MeïtéF
  11. 38C. SummervilleF
Substitutes (11)

93 · Abdullah Al Anazi

87 · Hassan Tambakti

27 · Sultan Mandash

28 · Mohamed Kanno

96 · Suhayb Al Zaid

77 · Nawaf Al Habashi

24 · Moteb Al Harbi

18 · Murad Al Hawsawi

33 · Mohammed Al Owais

73 · Mohamed Al-Sarnukh

17 · Mohammed Al Yami

Al-Gharafa

Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Pedro Martins
  1. 31A. KoneG
  2. 18Ayoub Al OuiD
  3. 20Jang Hyun-SooD
  4. 4S. SanoD
  5. 2Abdulrahman Faiz Al RashidiM
  6. 29F. DíazM
  7. 13F. SassiM
  8. 23Saifeldeen Hassan FadlallaM
  9. 10I. BennacerM
  10. 96A. OunasM
  11. 9F. MagriF
Substitutes (11)

6 · Dame Traoré

90 · A. Hassan

26 · Rayyan Al Ali

7 · F. Coman

34 · M. Gamal

27 · M. Holgate

97 · A. Nasar Mohamed

1 · Khalifa Ababacar

49 · R. Faragalla

22 · Abdirashid Saeed Hassan

11 · Amro Abdelfatah Ali Surag

2026/27 STANDINGS

AFC Champions League Elite table

League centre ↗

Current standings · West Region. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Al Ain11004043
W
2Esteghlal FC11003033
W
3Al-Qadisiyah FC11002113
W
4Al-Hilal Saudi FC11002113
W
5Shabab Al Ahli Dubai11001013
W
6Neftchi11001013
W
7Al-Ittihad FC10101101
DW
8Al Shamal10101101
D
9Pakhtakor10101101
DW
10Al-Ahli Jeddah10101101
D
11Al-Wasl FC100112-10
L
12Al-Gharafa100112-10
L
13Al Quwa Al Jawiya100101-10
L
14Tractor Sazi100101-10
L
15Al Sadd100103-30
L
16Al-Nassr100104-40
L
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerAl-Hilal Saudi FCDrawAl-Gharafa
William Hill1.0415.0071.00
Bet3651.0415.0034.00
Marathonbet1.0213.5046.00
Betfair1.0314.0023.00
BetVictor1.0413.0029.00

Snapshot from 15 Sep 2026, 19:00 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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