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NEC vs URA match centre

NEC badgeNECHome · 2 in league
LLWWD
Momentum↗ Rising51/100OlderLatest
Full time
4:1
UK time · Europe/London
URA badgeURAAway · 13 in league
DDWWL
Momentum→ Steady53/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
J. Jarieko14′
R. Basangwa42′
E. Lubwama44′
R. Basangwa49′
I. Mugulusi2′
MTN Omondi StadiumSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Out of date · Calculated 15 Sep 12:50 UK.

Odds updated 15 Sep 13:00 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 8 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win1.83Estimated chance 48.0%Pre-match estimate Draw3.00Estimated chance 31.3%Pre-match estimate Away win4.20Estimated chance 20.7%Pre-match estimate Bet365 · Updated 15 Sep 13:00 UK · Older than 24 hours Chances are estimates for 90 minutes. Stored prices can change; likelihood alone does not establish value.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
NECURA

The score is available. Detailed match statistics have not been supplied yet.

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

NEC 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

URA 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

NEC

5/10Wins
0.9Goals / game
0.7Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 5 wins from 9 available matches.

Inspect NEC’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

URA

2/10Wins
1.1Goals / game
0.9Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect URA’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Confirmed lineups are not available on this page yet.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare NEC at home with URA away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 10:04 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Premier League · 2026/27 · all league matches

NECURA
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares NEC at home with URA away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

4 recorded meetings

NEC

2wins
2 draws

URA

0wins

Dec 2024 – Apr 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.

Scores shown with NEC first; venues vary.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Awaiting lineups

Official XIs are normally published around 20–60 minutes before kickoff. We check again automatically once that window opens.

NEC

Most-used league formationPendingNo formation data supplied

Starting XI not confirmed. The formation above is a season trend, not a predicted lineup.

URA

Most-used league formationPendingNo formation data supplied

Starting XI not confirmed. The formation above is a season trend, not a predicted lineup.

2026/27 STANDINGS

Premier League table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Regular Season. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1BUL4400113812
WWWW
2NEC431092710
WDWW
3SC Villa431071610
WWWD
4Blacks Power43015329
LWWW
5Police42113127
WDLW
6Entebbe UPPC42113217
DLWW
7Lugazi420246-26
LWLW
8UPDF41212205
WDLD
9Express411234-14
DLWL
10KCCA411214-34
WDLL
11Vipers21013123
WL
12Maroons410356-13
LLWL
13URA310236-33
LLW
14Kitara20202202
DD
15Mbarara City302101-12
DDL
16Kataka301215-41
LLD
17Kigezi HomeBoyz301215-41
LDL
18Ntugasaze4004211-90
LLLL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerNECDrawURA
William Hill2.002.803.60
Bet3651.833.004.20
Marathonbet1.942.883.86
Betfair1.913.003.90
BetVictor1.802.753.60

Snapshot from 15 Sep 2026, 13:00 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

PUT YOUR VIEW TO THE TEST

Try it with virtual funds

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Start with £1,000 virtual funds. Choose a single or combine different matches in an accumulator, then track confirmed results. No real money. Record an actual bet in your manual journal ↗

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