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Flamengo vs Independiente del Valle match centre

Flamengo badgeFlamengoHome · 1 in league
LWWWW
Momentum↗ Rising86/100OlderLatest
Full time
1:1
UK time · Europe/London
Independiente del Valle badgeIndependiente del ValleAway
DLWLW
Momentum→ Steady50/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
Giorgian de Arrascaeta83′
Djorkaeff Reascos31′
Estádio do Maracanã · Rio de JaneiroSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Out of date · Calculated 17 Sep 21:42 UK.

Odds updated 18 Sep 01:05 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 9 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win1.27Our model 58.9%Market 74.8% Draw6.50Our model 23.6%Market 14.6% Away win9.00Our model 17.5%Market 10.6% Bet365 · Updated 18 Sep 01:05 UK · Older than 24 hours Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
FlamengoIndependiente del Valle
5Corner Kicks3
13Fouls3
3Yellow Cards1
1Red Cards0
2Goalkeeper Saves2
479Total passes418
411Passes accurate339

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Flamengo 0 reported

No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.

Independiente del Valle 0 reported

No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.

Fetched 18 Sep, 01:02 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Flamengo

8/10Wins
2.1Goals / game
0.6Conceded / game

Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At home, 8 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Flamengo’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Flamengo at home with Independiente del Valle away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 06:47 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

CONMEBOL Libertadores · 2026/27 · all league matches

FlamengoIndependiente del Valle
8Matches played9
20Points earned19
6Wins6
2.0Goals scored / match1.7
0.5Goals conceded / match1.0
4Clean sheets3
0Failed to score3

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Flamengo at home with Independiente del Valle away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

4 recorded meetings

Flamengo

3wins
0 draws

Independiente del Valle

1wins

Oct 2020 – Sep 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.

Scores shown with Flamengo first; venues vary.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Flamengo

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Leonardo Jardim
  1. 1A. RossiG
  2. 22Emerson RoyalD
  3. 3Léo OrtizD
  4. 4Léo PereiraD
  5. 6Ayrton LucasD
  6. 5E. PulgarM
  7. 21JorginhoM
  8. 15J. CarrascalM
  9. 20Lucas PaquetáM
  10. 16Samuel LinoM
  11. 27Bruno HenriqueF
Substitutes (12)

30 · J. Freitas

9 · Pedro

26 · Alex Sandro

19 · G. Plata

2 · G. Varela

44 · Vitão

42 · Andrew

13 · Danilo

7 · Luiz Araújo

10 · G. de Arrascaeta

18 · N. de la Cruz

8 · Saúl

Independiente del Valle

Confirmed formation4-1-4-1Joaquín Papa
  1. 1A. QuintanaG
  2. 13Daykol Alejandro Romero PadillaD
  3. 14M. CarabajalD
  4. 5R. SchunkeD
  5. 19L. LoorD
  6. 6J. AlcívarM
  7. 11M. PerellóM
  8. 28H. QuintanaM
  9. 10J. SornozaM
  10. 31Emerson Ivan Pata RodríguezM
  11. 99D. ReascoF
Substitutes (12)

15 · G. Cortéz

4 · J. Espinoza

18 · Steven Daniel Góngora Palacios

32 · J. Méndez

8 · Y. Ochoa

70 · M. Peralta

56 · E. Quintero

17 · A. Rodríguez

33 · Andy René Velasco García

23 · Juan Viacava

52 · Y. Vásquez

16 · R. Briones

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Flamengo

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Pedro00.000000
Saúl206.300000
N. de la Cruz00.000000
G. de Arrascaeta318.010191
Luiz Araújo00.000000
Danilo00.000000
Andrew00.000000
Vitão00.000000
G. Varela10.000000
G. Plata316.600092
Alex Sandro00.000000
J. Freitas00.000000
A. Rossi906.8010200
Emerson Royal906.8000371
Léo Ortiz906.5001611
Léo Pereira906.9001741
Ayrton Lucas907.0001542
E. Pulgar906.4002531
Jorginho656.2000601
J. Carrascal596.3000240
Lucas Paquetá596.4000294
Samuel Lino896.7002434
Bruno Henrique706.300281

Independiente del Valle

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
R. Briones76.200060
G. Cortéz00.000000
J. Espinoza00.000000
Steven Daniel Góngora Palacios16.500030
J. Méndez00.000000
Y. Ochoa00.000000
M. Peralta00.000000
E. Quintero00.000000
A. Rodríguez00.000000
Andy René Velasco García00.000000
Juan Viacava00.000000
Y. Vásquez156.800130
A. Quintana906.6000220
Daykol Alejandro Romero Padilla906.4000420
M. Carabajal906.5002641
R. Schunke906.9000732
L. Loor906.2000370
J. Alcívar906.3000453
M. Perelló835.9000214
H. Quintana906.4000261
J. Sornoza906.6001520
Emerson Ivan Pata Rodríguez896.4003223
D. Reasco757.710190
2026/27 STANDINGS

CONMEBOL Libertadores table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Group A. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Flamengo65101421216
WWDWW
2Estudiantes L.P.62316519
WLDDW
3Independiente Medellin6213611-57
LWWLD
4Cusco6015412-81
LLDLL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerFlamengoDrawIndependiente del Valle
William Hill1.295.009.00
Bet3651.276.509.00
Marathonbet1.255.6510.25
Betfair1.225.5011.00
BetVictor1.256.0011.50

Snapshot from 18 Sep 2026, 01:05 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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