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League CupRound of 32THE MATCH CENTRE

Everton vs Wolves match centre

Everton badgeEvertonHome
WWDDD
Momentum↘ Falling54/100OlderLatest
Full time
1:0
UK time · Europe/London
Wolves badgeWolvesAway
WWLDW
Momentum→ Steady65/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
Charly Alcaraz80′
Hill Dickinson Stadium · LiverpoolSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

Experimental fallback — not a recommended bet. This model has not passed the data and predictive-performance checks required for recommendations. Its goal projections and scorelines are withheld. Any likelihood guide shown here uses bookmaker prices.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Experimental — not eligible for recommendations · Calculated 16 Sep 19:22 UK.

Odds updated 16 Sep 19:00 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 9 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win1.45Market chance 65.4%From stored odds Draw4.75Market chance 20.0%From stored odds Away win6.50Market chance 14.6%From stored odds Bet365 · Updated 16 Sep 19:00 UK · Older than 24 hours Market chances use stored odds adjusted for bookmaker margin. A reliable statistical estimate is not available for this match; open the match for form and team context.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
EvertonWolves
6Corner Kicks2
13Fouls13
1Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards0
2Goalkeeper Saves5
625Total passes369
568Passes accurate309

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Everton 0 reported

No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.

Wolves 0 reported

No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.

Fetched 16 Sep, 18:34 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Everton

4/10Wins
1.6Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Everton’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Wolves

7/10Wins
2.4Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game

Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At away venues, 5 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Wolves’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Everton at home with Wolves away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 09:02 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

League Cup · 2026/27 · all league matches

EvertonWolves
1Matches played2
3Points earned6
1Wins2
4.0Goals scored / match2.5
0.0Goals conceded / match0.0
1Clean sheets2
0Failed to score0

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Everton at home with Wolves away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

4 recorded meetings

Everton

1wins
2 draws

Wolves

1wins

Mar 2025 – Jan 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.

Scores shown with Everton first; venues vary.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Everton

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1D. Moyes
  1. 1J. PickfordG
  2. 2A. Maitland-NilesD
  3. 15J. O'BrienD
  4. 5M. KeaneD
  5. 16V. MykolenkoD
  6. 30H. HackneyM
  7. 37J. GarnerM
  8. 20T. DiblingM
  9. 8K. Dewsbury-HallM
  10. 10J. GrealishM
  11. 11T. BarryF
Substitutes (9)

24 · C. Alcaraz

4 · J. Branthwaite

19 · Tyrique George

58 · B. Graham

22 · B. Johnson

31 · T. King

6 · J. Tarkowski

12 · M. Travers

76 · Malik Olayiwola

Wolves

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1César Peixoto
  1. 13João VirgíniaG
  2. 38J. TchatchouaD
  3. 24Toti GomesD
  4. 37L. KrejčíD
  5. 33G. KonanD
  6. 12B. TraoréM
  7. 8J. JamesM
  8. 20T. DoyleM
  9. 14S. NeaveM
  10. 23T. ChirewaM
  11. 9R. JiménezF
Substitutes (9)

3 · Hugo Bueno

34 · N. Djiga

36 · M. Mane

5 · M. Munetsi

26 · J. Ruddy

11 · B. Traoré

2 · K. Trippier

27 · J. Bellegarde

10 · A. Armstrong

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Everton

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
T. Barry586.4002130
J. Pickford906.9000440
M. Travers00.000000
J. Tarkowski00.000000
T. King00.000000
B. Johnson326.600120
B. Graham00.000000
Tyrique George136.500060
J. Branthwaite00.000000
C. Alcaraz137.7101130
V. Mykolenko906.5001461
A. Maitland-Niles906.8000521
M. Keane907.0002760
H. Hackney777.1002542
J. Grealish776.6002490
J. Garner907.2001751
T. Dibling907.7011503
K. Dewsbury-Hall906.9001612
J. O'Brien907.0002911
Malik Olayiwola00.000000

Wolves

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
B. Traoré906.3000371
A. Armstrong526.7001141
J. Bellegarde276.3000101
Hugo Bueno00.000000
N. Djiga456.7000250
M. Mane00.000000
M. Munetsi00.000000
J. Ruddy00.000000
B. Traoré166.200060
K. Trippier166.400070
Toti Gomes907.1000471
J. Tchatchoua746.5001222
S. Neave905.9001161
L. Krejčí456.8000261
G. Konan907.0000383
R. Jiménez386.0001111
J. James636.1000191
T. Doyle906.2001390
T. Chirewa746.6001270
João Virgínia906.8000330
2026/27 STANDINGS

League Cup table

League centre ↗

Current standings. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

Standings are not available for this competition and season.

THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerEvertonDrawWolves
William Hill1.404.506.50
Bet3651.454.756.50
Marathonbet1.434.807.20
Betfair1.404.756.50
BetVictor1.405.007.00

Snapshot from 16 Sep 2026, 19:00 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

PUT YOUR VIEW TO THE TEST

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