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League CupRound of 32THE MATCH CENTRE

Ipswich vs Arsenal match centre

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Momentum→ Steady57/100OlderLatest
Full time
2:4
UK time · Europe/London
Arsenal badgeArsenalAway
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Momentum↑ Strong100/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
Anis·Mehmeti62′
Max Dowman7′
Noni Madueke16′
Max Dowman47′
Mikel Merino58′
Portman Road · IpswichSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

Experimental fallback — not a recommended bet. This model has not passed the data and predictive-performance checks required for recommendations. Its goal projections and scorelines are withheld. Any likelihood guide shown here uses bookmaker prices.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Experimental — not eligible for recommendations · Calculated 15 Sep 19:58 UK.

Odds updated 15 Sep 19:00 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 9 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win12.00Our model ExperimentalMarket 7.8% Draw5.50Our model ExperimentalMarket 17.1% Away win1.25Our model ExperimentalMarket 75.1% Bet365 · Updated 15 Sep 19:00 UK · Older than 24 hours Experimental fallback: excluded from recommendations until its data and predictive performance are verified.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
IpswichArsenal
3Corner Kicks2
11Fouls12
2Yellow Cards0
0Red Cards0
2Goalkeeper Saves1
385Total passes569
327Passes accurate508

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Ipswich 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Arsenal 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Ipswich

7/10Wins
2.0Goals / game
1.6Conceded / game

Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 6 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Ipswich’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Arsenal

7/10Wins
2.0Goals / game
0.9Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 7 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Arsenal’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Ipswich at home with Arsenal away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 04:45 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

League Cup · 2026/27 · all league matches

IpswichArsenal
1Matches played0
3Points earned0
1Wins0
3.0Goals scored / match—
1.0Goals conceded / match—
0Clean sheets0
0Failed to score0

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Ipswich at home with Arsenal away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

2 recorded meetings

Ipswich

0wins
0 draws

Arsenal

2wins

Dec 2024 – Apr 2025 · Past results, not a forecast.

Scores shown with Ipswich first; venues vary.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Ipswich

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1G. O'Neil
  1. 28C. WaltonG
  2. 2D. FurlongD
  3. 4C. KipréD
  4. 24J. GreavesD
  5. 42A. OuattaraD
  6. 12FlorentinoM
  7. 33A. MehmetiM
  8. 20K. McAteerM
  9. 32M. NúñezM
  10. 11J. PhilogeneM
  11. 9Z. FlemmingF
Substitutes (9)

1 · A. Palmer

26 · D. O'Shea

38 · D. Maeda

23 · S. Lukić

10 · J. Enciso

8 · S. Egeli

3 · L. Davis

47 · J. Clarke

29 · C. Akpom

Arsenal

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Mikel Arteta
  1. 13KepaG
  2. 36Martín ZubimendiD
  3. 89M. SalmonD
  4. 6Gabriel MagalhãesD
  5. 49M. Lewis-SkellyD
  6. 39Bruno GuimarãesM
  7. 23Mikel MerinoM
  8. 20N. MaduekeM
  9. 56M. DowmanM
  10. 10E. EzeM
  11. 14V. GyökeresF
Substitutes (9)

15 · E. Konsa

30 · I. Meslier

7 · B. Saka

8 · M. Ødegaard

33 · R. Calafiori

29 · K. Havertz

44 · I. Ibrahim

45 · T. Julienne

17 · C. Tzolis

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Arsenal

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
M. Salmon906.5000652
C. Tzolis146.700260
B. Saka00.000000
M. Ødegaard146.0000240
I. Meslier00.000000
E. Konsa456.3000231
T. Julienne266.1000201
I. Ibrahim56.000080
K. Havertz00.000000
R. Calafiori00.000000
Martín Zubimendi857.0010614
Mikel Merino907.8101530
N. Madueke768.2103300
M. Lewis-Skelly906.1000771
V. Gyökeres906.4001130
E. Eze767.0011310
M. Dowman908.9203253
Bruno Guimarães646.2001704
Kepa905.9000280
Gabriel Magalhães456.5000500

Ipswich

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Z. Flemming616.4001144
Florentino816.1002324
D. Furlong906.1000310
J. Greaves906.5001543
C. Kipré906.5001512
K. McAteer696.0000202
A. Mehmeti907.8102275
M. Núñez906.4000452
A. Ouattara686.2000301
A. Palmer00.000000
D. O'Shea00.000000
D. Maeda00.000000
S. Lukić95.800060
J. Enciso00.000000
S. Egeli216.300092
L. Davis225.8010100
J. Clarke296.8010151
C. Akpom297.210140
J. Philogene615.2000220
C. Walton905.7000300
2026/27 STANDINGS

League Cup table

League centre ↗

Current standings. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

Standings are not available for this competition and season.

THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerIpswichDrawArsenal
William Hill8.505.001.29
Bet36512.005.501.25
Marathonbet10.255.701.32
Betfair9.505.501.25
BetVictor11.006.001.25

Snapshot from 15 Sep 2026, 19:00 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

PUT YOUR VIEW TO THE TEST

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