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Mamelodi Sundowns vs Al-Ahli Jeddah match centre

Mamelodi Sundowns badgeMamelodi SundownsHome
WWWWD
Momentum↘ Falling83/100OlderLatest
Full time
2:1
UK time · Europe/London
Al-Ahli Jeddah badgeAl-Ahli JeddahAway
LWLWD
Momentum↗ Rising48/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
N. Santos17′
N. Santos80′
R. Williams19′ (og)
Loftus Versfeld Stadium · Tshwane/PretoriaSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

Experimental fallback — not a recommended bet. This model has not passed the data and predictive-performance checks required for recommendations. Its goal projections and scorelines are withheld. Any likelihood guide shown here uses bookmaker prices.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Experimental — not eligible for recommendations · Calculated 19 Sep 13:38 UK.

Odds updated 18 Sep 20:58 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 7 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win3.00Our model ExperimentalMarket 29.8% Draw3.50Our model ExperimentalMarket 25.5% Away win2.00Our model ExperimentalMarket 44.7% Bet365 · Updated 18 Sep 20:58 UK · Older than 24 hours Experimental fallback: excluded from recommendations until its data and predictive performance are verified.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
Mamelodi SundownsAl-Ahli Jeddah
7Corner Kicks1
18Fouls14
3Yellow Cards3
—Red Cards—
3Goalkeeper Saves4
508Total passes236
451Passes accurate177

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Mamelodi Sundowns 0 reported

No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.

Al-Ahli Jeddah 0 reported

No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.

Fetched 18 Sep, 20:58 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Al-Ahli Jeddah

6/10Wins
2.0Goals / game
1.2Conceded / game

Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 4 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Al-Ahli Jeddah’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Mamelodi Sundowns at home with Al-Ahli Jeddah away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 07:39 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

FIFA Intercontinental Cup · 2026/27 · all league matches

Mamelodi SundownsAl-Ahli Jeddah
0Matches played1
0Points earned3
0Wins1
—Goals scored / match1.0
—Goals conceded / match0.0
0Clean sheets1
0Failed to score0

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Mamelodi Sundowns at home with Al-Ahli Jeddah away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Mamelodi Sundowns

Confirmed formation4-1-4-1Miguel Cardoso
  1. 30R. WilliamsG
  2. 22T. MatuludiD
  3. 20G. KekanaD
  4. 3K. NdamaneD
  5. 6A. ModibaD
  6. 4T. MokoenaM
  7. 27T. MorenaM
  8. 10N. SantosM
  9. 11M. AllendeM
  10. 17T. MatthewsM
  11. 12B. LeonF
Substitutes (12)

31 · R. Goss

40 · M. Mvala

42 · M. Khoza

23 · F. Basadien

33 · C. Mailula

38 · S. Ndlovu

18 · T. Zwane

19 · T. Cele

15 · B. J. Aubaas

13 · I. Rayners

9 · Arthur Sales

29 · A. van Wyk

Al-Ahli Jeddah

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Marino Pusic
  1. 16E. MendyG
  2. 15S. BaattiaD
  3. 28M. DemiralD
  4. 3IbanezD
  5. 2Z. Al HawsawiD
  6. 6V. AtanganaM
  7. 30Z. Al JohaniM
  8. 7TrincaoM
  9. 8E. SpertsyanM
  10. 9F. Al BuraikanM
  11. 17I. ToneyF
Substitutes (12)

1 · A. Al Sanbi

5 · M. Sulaiman

31 · S. Balobaid

46 · R. Hamidou

66 · N. Masoud

19 · A. Bondarenko

47 · S. Abu Al Shamat

4 · I. Diaby

11 · M. Al Mutairi

29 · M. Abdulrahman

13 · Galeno

20 · Matheus Goncalves

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Mamelodi Sundowns

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Ronwen Williams907.000—42—
Tholo Thabang Matuludi857.3011592
Grant Kekana596.500—42—
Khulumani Ndamane906.200253—
Aubrey Modiba906.900—53—
Teboho Mokoena907.201188—
Thapelo Morena906.900—341
Nuno Santos859.2202431
Marcelo Allende906.900—69—
Tashreeq Matthews846.7001245
Brayan Léon Muñiz906.300213—
Malibongwe Khoza317.200—21—
Arthur Sales66.300—2—
Bathusi Aubaas56.300—1—
Siyanda Ndlovu56.300———
Fawaaz Basadien1—00—2—

Al-Ahli Jeddah

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Edouard Mendy906.300—22—
Saeed Baattia797.000—184
Merih Demiral906.500—231
Roger Ibañez906.5002381
Zakaria Hawsawi855.900—252
Valentin Atangana Edoa906.700—233
Ziyad Aljohani856.500116—
Francisco Trincão796.3002122
Eduard Spertsyan907.000—252
Firas Al-Buraikan906.000119—
Ivan Toney907.500—18—
Mohammed Abdulrahman116.200—51
Matheus Gonçalves116.600—7—
Artem Bondarenko56.700—3—
Wenderson Galeno56.900—41
Saleh Abu Al-Shamat1—00———
2026/27 STANDINGS

FIFA Intercontinental Cup table

League centre ↗

Current standings. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

Standings are not available for this competition and season.

THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerMamelodi SundownsDrawAl-Ahli Jeddah
William Hill2.903.302.05
Bet3653.003.502.00
Marathonbet3.143.682.06
BetVictor3.103.502.05
Pinnacle3.193.682.13

Snapshot from 18 Sep 2026, 20:58 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

PUT YOUR VIEW TO THE TEST

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