M. AndersenKnee Injury
Reported out
UEFA Europa LeagueLeague Stage - 1THE MATCH CENTREArarat-Armenia vs Sparta Praha match centre
Full time
1:4
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
B. R. Wilson Valdez55′
T. Guddal20′
T. Guddal22′
J. Mercado53′
P. Vydra71′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Under review · Calculated 16 Sep 17:35 UK. The model differs from the margin-adjusted match-winner market by at least 30 percentage points on an outcome, so its probabilities are held for review. This check flags disagreement; it does not establish which forecast is right.
Odds updated 16 Sep 13:43 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 9 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
Ararat-ArmeniaSparta Praha
1.930Expected goals · API-Football2.280
2Shots on target8
13Total Shots23
42%Ball Possession58%
2Corner Kicks13
15Fouls17
2Yellow Cards0
—Red Cards—
3Goalkeeper Saves1
344Total passes454
285Passes accurate407
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Ararat-Armenia 0 reported
No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.
Sparta Praha 8 reported
E. CobbautGroin Injury
Reported out
K. HoeverHip Injury
Reported out
S. MannsverkKnee Injury
Reported out
J. MartinecHealth problems
Reported out
O. PenxaKnee Injury
Reported out
A. SevinskyRed Card
Reported out
E. UchennaGroin Injury
Reported outFetched 16 Sep, 13:06 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Ararat-Armenia
6/10Wins
1.4Goals / game
0.8Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 7 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Ararat-Armenia’s resultsSparta Praha
6/10Wins
2.1Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Sparta Praha’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Ararat-Armenia
10 matchesResults6 wins · 2 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.4
Goals conceded per game0.8
Games with 3+ goals4 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
SyunikHome · Premier League3–0AraratAway · Premier League1–0Pyunik YerevanAway · Premier League1–2Universitatea CraiovaHome · UEFA Europa League1–0SardarapatHome · Premier League1–1Universitatea CraiovaAway · UEFA Europa League1–1VanHome · Premier League2–0CeljeAway · UEFA Champions League0–2FC UrartuHome · Premier League2–1CeljeHome · UEFA Champions League2–1
Sparta Praha
10 matchesResults6 wins · 0 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game2.1
Goals conceded per game1.3
Games with 3+ goals8 of 10
Both teams scored4 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
FK JablonecHome · Czech Liga2–0Viktoria ŽižkovAway · Cup5–0Hradec KrálovéAway · Czech Liga1–2Slavia PrahaHome · Czech Liga0–3ArtisAway · Czech Liga4–0TepliceHome · Czech Liga4–1LyonAway · UEFA Champions League0–3Mlada BoleslavAway · Czech Liga0–2LyonHome · UEFA Champions League2–1ZlinHome · Czech Liga3–1
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Ararat-Armenia at home with Sparta Praha away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 01:48 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
UEFA Europa League · 2026/27 · all league matches
Ararat-ArmeniaSparta Praha
2Matches played0
4Points earned0
1Wins0
1.0Goals scored / match—
0.5Goals conceded / match—
1Clean sheets0
0Failed to score0
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Ararat-Armenia at home with Sparta Praha away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
2 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Ararat-Armenia
0wins2MEETINGS
Sparta Praha
2winsAug 2025 – Aug 2025 · Past results, not a forecast.
Scores shown with Ararat-Armenia first; venues vary.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Ararat-Armenia
Confirmed formation4-3-3Tulipa
- 98
João BravimG - 3
Junior JulioD - 47
Alexandros MalisD - 43
Bruno WilsonD - 16
Edgar GrigoryanD - 2
Hugo OliveiraM - 19
Karen MuradyanM - 70
Bernardo DiasM - 77
Artur SerobyanF - 91
Sandro LimaF - 11
Zidane BanjaquiF
Substitutes (11)
1 · Arman Nersesyan
5 · Luís Felipe
14 · Bruno Pereira
7 · Zhirayr Shaghoyan
8 · Juan Balanta
10 · Armen Ambartsumyan
17 · Maxence Carlier
20 · Alwyn Tera
95 · Carlos França
9 · Arayik Eloyan
25 · Alioune Ndour
Sparta Praha
Confirmed formation4-3-3Brian Priske
- 44
Jakub SurovčíkG - 2
Martin SuchomelD - 22
Loïc Mbe SohD - 6
Tobias Kvalvagnes GuddalD - 11
Matěj RynešD - 10
Adam KarabecM - 28
Roman MacekM - 38
Hugo SochurekM - 17
John MercadoF - 14
Jonatan Braut BrunesF - 7
Josimar AlcócerF
Substitutes (12)
47 · Krisztián Hegyi
54 · Lukas Franc
15 · Viktor Vitályos
30 · Jaroslav Zelený
3 · Pavel Kadeřábek
5 · Santiago Eneme
18 · Andy Irving
21 · Joao Grimaldo
26 · Patrik Vydra
31 · Matěj Jurásek
27 · Ebrima Singhateh
29 · Matyáš Vojta
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗UEFA Europa League table
Current standings · UEFA Europa League. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Juventus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 2 |  Crystal Palace | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 3 | Sparta Praha | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 4 |  Beşiktaş | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 5 |  Union St. Gilloise | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 6 |  Ferencvarosi TC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 7 |  Benfica | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 8 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 9 |  OFI | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 10 |  Bournemouth | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 11 |  Lyon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 12 |  Torreense | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 13 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 14 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 15 |  Sunderland | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 16 |  Omonia Nicosia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 17 |  Sturm Graz | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 18 |  Rennes | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 19 |  Dinamo Zagreb | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 20 |  Hapoel Beer Sheva | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 21 |  Jagiellonia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 22 |  Real Sociedad | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 23 |  Anderlecht | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 24 |  Lillestrom | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 25 |  Celta Vigo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 26 |  AZ Alkmaar | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 27 |  Levski Sofia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 28 |  Celtic | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 29 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 30 |  AC Milan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 31 |  Celje | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 32 |  Marseille | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | L |
| 33 | Ararat-Armenia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | L |
| 34 |  Plzen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 | L |
| 35 |  Lech Poznan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 | L |
| 36 |  NEC Nijmegen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 | L |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Ararat-Armenia | Draw | Sparta Praha |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 4.80 | 3.80 | 1.67 |
| Bet365 | 4.75 | 4.20 | 1.65 |
| Marathonbet | 4.95 | 4.10 | 1.67 |
| Betfair | 5.00 | 4.00 | 1.65 |
| BetVictor | 4.80 | 4.00 | 1.65 |
Snapshot from 16 Sep 2026, 13:43 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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