E. Ben SeghirThigh Injury
Reported out
UEFA Europa LeagueLeague Stage - 1THE MATCH CENTREBayer Leverkusen vs Celje match centre
Full time
2:0
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
S. Seslar15′ (og)
F. Medina74′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Under review · Calculated 16 Sep 19:54 UK. The model differs from the margin-adjusted match-winner market by at least 30 percentage points on an outcome, so its probabilities are held for review. This check flags disagreement; it does not establish which forecast is right.
Odds updated 16 Sep 19:00 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 9 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
Bayer LeverkusenCelje
1.930Expected goals · API-Football0.900
8Shots on target3
17Total Shots5
56%Ball Possession44%
6Corner Kicks2
15Fouls10
—Yellow Cards—
—Red Cards—
3Goalkeeper Saves7
607Total passes493
535Passes accurate434
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Bayer Leverkusen 9 reported
V. BonifaceOff the roster
Reported out
M. CulbreathInjury
Reported out
G. DoueInactive
Reported out
K. EichhornIllness
Reported out
J. HofmannOff the roster
Reported out
T. OermannOff the roster
Reported out
N. TellaInjury
Reported out
I. MazaIllness
Doubtful
Celje 4 reported
A. KotnikRed Card
Reported out
J. PisekKnee Injury
Reported out
M. KvesicInactive
DoubtfulA. TutyskinasInactive
DoubtfulFetched 16 Sep, 18:38 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Bayer Leverkusen
7/10Wins
2.7Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 6 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Bayer Leverkusen’s resultsCelje
4/10Wins
1.3Goals / game
1.2Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 5 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Celje’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Bayer Leverkusen
10 matchesResults7 wins · 1 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game2.7
Goals conceded per game1.0
Games with 3+ goals10 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
FC AugsburgAway · Bundesliga2–2Union BerlinHome · Bundesliga4–0SV ElversbergAway · Bundesliga2–3SV WehenAway · DFB Pokal4–0NewcastleAway · Friendlies Clubs2–1Nottingham ForestAway · Friendlies Clubs1–2SevillaHome · Friendlies Clubs2–1Rot-Weiß EssenHome · Friendlies Clubs3–0GenkHome · Friendlies Clubs4–0Kickers OffenbachAway · Friendlies Clubs3–1
Celje
10 matchesResults4 wins · 2 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game1.3
Goals conceded per game1.2
Games with 3+ goals4 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
BravoAway · 1. SNL1–2KoperHome · 1. SNL0–1AluminijAway · 1. SNL2–0Brinje-GrosupljeAway · 1. SNL1–4Slovan BratislavaHome · UEFA Champions League1–1Slovan BratislavaAway · UEFA Champions League1–1NaftaAway · 1. SNL3–1Ararat-ArmeniaHome · UEFA Champions League2–0Olimpija LjubljanaHome · 1. SNL1–0Ararat-ArmeniaAway · UEFA Champions League1–2
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Bayer Leverkusen at home with Celje away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 04:32 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
UEFA Europa League · 2026/27 · all league matches
Bayer LeverkusenCelje
0Matches played0
0Points earned0
0Wins0
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
0Clean sheets0
0Failed to score0
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Bayer Leverkusen at home with Celje away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Bayer Leverkusen
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Carles Martinez
- 1
Mark FlekkenG - 17
Lucas VázquezD - 5
Loïc BadéD - 12
Edmond TapsobaD - 2
Facundo MedinaD - 8
Robert AndrichM - 24
Aleix GarcíaM - 19
Moussa DiabyM - 10
Malik TillmanM - 11
Martin TerrierM - 14
Patrik SchickF
Substitutes (8)
28 · Janis Blaswich
36 · Niklas Lomb
3 · Miguel Gutiérrez
4 · Jarell Quansah
6 · Ezequiel Fernández
9 · Afonso Moreira
29 · Eliesse Ben Seghir
35 · Christian Kofane
Celje
Confirmed formation3-5-2Vitor Campelos
- 1
Žan-Luk LebanG - 2
Pijus ŠirvysD - 44
Łukasz BejgerD - 6
Artemijus TutyškinasD - 11
Milot AvdyliM - 19
Mark ZabukovnikM - 10
Svit SešlarM - 14
Luka TičićM - 7
Benjamin VerbičM - 91
Yaya DukulyF - 47
Armandas KučysF
Substitutes (11)
12 · Luka Kolar
23 · Žiga Frelih
20 · Alpha Diounkou
33 · Leonardo Koutris
4 · Darko Hrka
8 · Mario Kvesić
13 · Papa Daniel
25 · Veton Tusha
77 · Matic Ivanšek
9 · Blaž Kramer
31 · Dejan Suhovrsnik
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗UEFA Europa League table
Current standings · UEFA Europa League. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Juventus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 2 |  Crystal Palace | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 3 |  Sparta Praha | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 4 |  Beşiktaş | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 5 |  Union St. Gilloise | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 6 |  Ferencvarosi TC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 7 |  Benfica | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 8 | Bayer Leverkusen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 9 |  OFI | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 10 |  Bournemouth | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 11 |  Lyon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 12 |  Torreense | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 13 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 14 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 15 |  Sunderland | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 16 |  Omonia Nicosia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 17 |  Sturm Graz | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 18 |  Rennes | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 19 |  Dinamo Zagreb | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 20 |  Hapoel Beer Sheva | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 21 |  Jagiellonia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 22 |  Real Sociedad | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 23 |  Anderlecht | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 24 |  Lillestrom | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 25 |  Celta Vigo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 26 |  AZ Alkmaar | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 27 |  Levski Sofia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 28 |  Celtic | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 29 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 30 |  AC Milan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 31 | Celje | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 32 |  Marseille | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | L |
| 33 |  Ararat-Armenia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | L |
| 34 |  Plzen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 | L |
| 35 |  Lech Poznan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 | L |
| 36 |  NEC Nijmegen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 | L |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Celje |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.05 | 13.00 | 41.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.04 | 15.00 | 34.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.05 | 14.75 | 41.00 |
| Betfair | 1.04 | 17.00 | 41.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.04 | 13.00 | 31.00 |
Snapshot from 16 Sep 2026, 19:00 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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