C. DoucoureOff the roster
Reported out
UEFA Europa LeagueLeague Stage - 1THE MATCH CENTRECrystal Palace vs Lech Poznan match centre
Full time
4:0
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Yeremy Pino10′
Chris Richards27′
Jörgen Strand Larsen34′ (pen)
Eddie Nketiah89′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Under review · Calculated 17 Sep 15:40 UK. The model differs from the margin-adjusted match-winner market by at least 30 percentage points on an outcome, so its probabilities are held for review. This check flags disagreement; it does not establish which forecast is right.
Odds updated 17 Sep 19:00 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 9 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
Crystal PalaceLech Poznan
—Expected goals · API-Football—
6Shots on target6
15Total Shots17
52%Ball Possession48%
6Corner Kicks5
11Fouls7
0Yellow Cards0
0Red Cards1
6Goalkeeper Saves2
526Total passes485
460Passes accurate407
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Crystal Palace 8 reported
Z. GozoOff the roster
Reported out
E. GuessandOff the roster
Reported out
D. HendersonFoot Injury
Reported out
J. LermaOff the roster
Reported out
J. MatetaHamstring Injury
Reported out
R. MatthewsOff the roster
Reported out
C. RiadKnee Injury
Reported out
Lech Poznan 4 reported
A. DouglasAnkle Injury
Reported out
A. GholizadehKnee Injury
Reported out
D. HakansInactive
Reported out
A. KozubalInjury
Reported outFetched 17 Sep, 08:38 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Crystal Palace
4/10Wins
1.4Goals / game
1.9Conceded / game
Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At home, 5 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Crystal Palace’s resultsLech Poznan
8/10Wins
2.7Goals / game
0.8Conceded / game
Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At away venues, 7 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Lech Poznan’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Crystal Palace
10 matchesResults4 wins · 1 draws · 5 losses
Goals scored per game1.4
Goals conceded per game1.9
Games with 3+ goals8 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
IpswichHome · Premier League2–3MiddlesbroughHome · League Cup3–0FulhamAway · Premier League3–2Manchester CityHome · Premier League1–4EvertonAway · Premier League0–2SC FreiburgAway · Friendlies Clubs0–3FulhamAway · Friendlies Clubs2–1Al UlaHome · Como Cup3–1FamalicaoAway · Como Cup0–0LensHome · Como Cup0–3
Lech Poznan
10 matchesResults8 wins · 1 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game2.7
Goals conceded per game0.8
Games with 3+ goals8 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Gornik ZabrzeAway · Ekstraklasa1–2Raków CzęstochowaHome · Ekstraklasa1–0JagielloniaHome · Ekstraklasa2–1Widzew ŁódźAway · Ekstraklasa3–2FC ThunAway · UEFA Europa League2–2FC ThunHome · UEFA Europa League7–0KI KlaksvikAway · UEFA Europa League5–0Piast GliwiceHome · Ekstraklasa3–0KI KlaksvikHome · UEFA Europa League1–0Wieczysta KrakówAway · Ekstraklasa2–1
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Crystal Palace at home with Lech Poznan away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:52 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
UEFA Europa League · 2026/27 · all league matches
Crystal PalaceLech Poznan
0Matches played4
0Points earned10
0Wins3
—Goals scored / match3.8
—Goals conceded / match0.5
0Clean sheets3
0Failed to score0
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Crystal Palace at home with Lech Poznan away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Crystal Palace
Confirmed formation3-4-3P. Sage
- 44
W. BenítezG - 26
C. RichardsD - 5
A. DisasiD - 21
H. AhanorD - 25
A. KhalailiM - 23
Q. TimberM - 20
A. WhartonM - 3
T. MitchellM - 18
D. KamadaF - 22
J. Strand LarsenF - 10
Yeremy PinoF
Substitutes (11)
43 · S. Williams
6 · J. Canvot
33 · B. Chilwell
31 · R. Matthews
11 · D. McNeil
30 · Óscar Mingueza
9 · E. Nketiah
24 · D. Osorio
7 · I. Sarr
17 · T. Tomiyasu
81 · Lucca Benetton
Lech Poznan
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1N. Frederiksen
- 1
M. LisG - 2
Joel PereiraD - 27
W. MońkaD - 59
T. YegbeD - 15
M. GurgulD - 22
R. MurawskiM - 21
Pablo RodríguezM - 10
P. WålemarkM - 17
A. SayyadmaneshM - 77
L. PalmaM - 9
M. IshakF
Substitutes (10)
72 · M. Skrzypczak
31 · Wiktor Obremski
4 · João Moutinho
33 · M. Pruchniewski
24 · F. Jagiełło
11 · D. Håkans
20 · R. Gumny
14 · L. Bengtsson
7 · Y. Agnero
56 · W. Szymczak
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗UEFA Europa League table
Current standings · UEFA Europa League. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Juventus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 2 | Crystal Palace | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 3 |  Sparta Praha | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 4 |  Beşiktaş | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 5 |  Union St. Gilloise | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 6 |  Ferencvarosi TC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 7 |  Benfica | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 8 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 9 |  OFI | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 10 |  Bournemouth | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 11 |  Lyon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 12 |  Torreense | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 13 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 14 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 15 |  Sunderland | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 16 |  Omonia Nicosia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 17 |  Sturm Graz | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 18 |  Rennes | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 19 |  Dinamo Zagreb | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 20 |  Hapoel Beer Sheva | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 21 |  Jagiellonia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 22 |  Real Sociedad | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 23 |  Anderlecht | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 24 |  Lillestrom | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 25 |  Celta Vigo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 26 |  AZ Alkmaar | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 27 |  Levski Sofia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 28 |  Celtic | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 29 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 30 |  AC Milan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 31 |  Celje | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 32 |  Marseille | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | L |
| 33 |  Ararat-Armenia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | L |
| 34 |  Plzen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 | L |
| 35 | Lech Poznan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 | L |
| 36 |  NEC Nijmegen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 | L |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Crystal Palace | Draw | Lech Poznan |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.33 | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.33 | 5.50 | 8.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.35 | 5.40 | 8.30 |
| Betfair | 1.33 | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.30 | 5.50 | 8.50 |
Snapshot from 17 Sep 2026, 19:00 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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