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SJK vs Mariehamn match centre

SJK badgeSJKHome · 10 in league
LLDDD
Momentum↗ Rising23/100OlderLatest
Full time
2:1
UK time · Europe/London
Mariehamn badgeMariehamnAway · 12 in league
WWWLW
Momentum↘ Falling77/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
Kelwin Souza do Nascimento64′
Aapo Boström87′
Arvid Bergvik36′
OmaSP Stadion · SeinajokiSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Out of date · Calculated 18 Sep 15:45 UK.

Odds updated 18 Sep 13:08 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 9 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win1.75Estimated chance 49.2%Pre-match estimate Draw3.60Estimated chance 26.8%Pre-match estimate Away win4.10Estimated chance 24.0%Pre-match estimate Bet365 · Updated 18 Sep 13:08 UK · Older than 24 hours Chances are estimates for 90 minutes. Stored prices can change; likelihood alone does not establish value.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
SJKMariehamn
5Corner Kicks4
15Fouls12
4Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards1
2Goalkeeper Saves1
473Total passes314
400Passes accurate239

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

SJK 0 reported

No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.

Mariehamn 0 reported

No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.

Fetched 18 Sep, 12:36 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

SJK

1/10Wins
0.8Goals / game
1.2Conceded / game

Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect SJK’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Mariehamn

4/10Wins
1.3Goals / game
1.6Conceded / game

Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Mariehamn’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare SJK at home with Mariehamn away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 11:29 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Veikkausliiga · 2026/27 · all league matches

SJKMariehamn
24Matches played24
21Points earned17
4Wins4
1.1Goals scored / match0.8
1.5Goals conceded / match1.9
5Clean sheets3
9Failed to score12

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares SJK at home with Mariehamn away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

4 recorded meetings

SJK

3wins
0 draws

Mariehamn

1wins

Apr 2025 – Aug 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.

Scores shown with SJK first; venues vary.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

SJK

Confirmed formation3-4-3J. Wiss
  1. 1R. PaunioG
  2. 4Kelvin PiresD
  3. 2Facundo CostantiniD
  4. 5O. VäistöD
  5. 23A. WilsonM
  6. 31E. OnuohaM
  7. 48A. TraoreM
  8. 15E. MömmöM
  9. 22L. VesterbackaF
  10. 7KelwinF
  11. 19E. MastokangasF
Substitutes (9)

8 · A. Boström

51 · A. Cisse

26 · J. Moisio

9 · J. Streng

42 · Araújo

49 · E. Udom

28 · K. Nwanege

27 · A. Vellios

35 · J. Viitala

Mariehamn

Confirmed formation4-4-2R. Björknesjö
  1. 1K. LundG
  2. 27L. RichtnérD
  3. 2N. NurmiD
  4. 53F. GyamfiD
  5. 31Samson NgulubeD
  6. 23V. WidlundM
  7. 11J. SvedbergM
  8. 20E. PatutM
  9. 18A. StroudM
  10. 19T. JakobsenF
  11. 14Arvid BergvikF
Substitutes (7)

3 · A. Soiniemi

5 · T. Koivisto

64 · M. Hyvönen

16 · A. Huttunen

17 · Rasmus Holmberg

12 · O. Heino

43 · L. Andersson

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

SJK

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
J. Viitala136.100060
A. Vellios00.000000
J. Streng276.3000100
J. Moisio00.000000
A. Cisse456.700060
A. Boström458.1101271
L. Vesterbacka456.3000202
O. Väistö906.8001600
A. Traore636.2000275
Kelvin Pires906.8002710
E. Onuoha906.6002291
E. Mömmö907.7010521
E. Mastokangas456.7000151
Kelwin907.4103130
R. Paunio777.0000320
A. Wilson636.4001112
Araújo276.5010212
E. Udom00.000000
K. Nwanege00.000000
Facundo Costantini907.2002780

Mariehamn

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
A. Stroud715.600180
L. Richtnér905.9003311
E. Patut906.2001341
N. Nurmi906.4000382
Samson Ngulube905.7002261
T. Jakobsen906.3002143
F. Gyamfi806.2001512
Arvid Bergvik827.8101222
K. Lund905.7000280
A. Soiniemi125.900000
T. Koivisto86.100030
M. Hyvönen196.100010
A. Huttunen785.6001221
Rasmus Holmberg00.000000
O. Heino00.000000
L. Andersson00.000000
V. Widlund906.4000372
2026/27 STANDINGS

Veikkausliiga table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Veikkausliiga. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1KuPS22127338231543
WDDLL
2Inter Turku22119229161342
WWLWD
3HJK Helsinki2211473627937
DDWWL
4Gnistan2210663629736
DWDDW
5AC Oulu2210482525034
LLLDW
6VPS229672922733
LLWLW
7Lahti229582619732
DLWWW
8Turku PS228772823531
LLDDD
9Ilves2274113437-325
WWWLL
10SJK2247112533-819
WDDDL
11FF Jaro2236131844-2615
DDLLL
12Mariehamn2235141743-2614
LWLWW
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerSJKDrawMariehamn
William Hill1.753.604.00
Bet3651.753.604.10
Marathonbet1.743.744.30
Betfair1.703.704.10
BetVictor1.733.704.10

Snapshot from 18 Sep 2026, 13:08 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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