Boston River
4/10Wins
1.1Goals / game
1.1Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 5 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Boston River’s results
Primera DivisiónClausura - 7THE MATCH CENTREBoston River vs Progreso match centre
Full time
1:2
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
N. Siri71′
F. Martinez9′ (og)
N. Lopez90′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Out of date · Calculated 19 Sep 15:32 UK.
Odds updated 19 Sep 13:41 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 6 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
Boston RiverProgreso
The score is available. Detailed match statistics have not been supplied yet.
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Boston River 0 reported
No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.
Progreso 0 reported
No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.
Fetched 18 Sep, 22:08 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Progreso
3/10Wins
0.5Goals / game
1.2Conceded / game
Keep in view: 7 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Progreso’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Boston River
10 matchesResults4 wins · 3 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.1
Goals conceded per game1.1
Games with 3+ goals4 of 10
Both teams scored4 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Racing MontevideoAway · Primera División2–3ColónHome · Copa Uruguay2–0Liverpool MontevideoAway · Primera División0–1Liverpool MontevideoAway · Copa Uruguay1–0CerroHome · Primera División1–1Albion FCAway · Primera División3–2DanubioHome · Primera División0–0Club NacionalAway · Primera División2–1PenarolAway · Primera División0–3Central EspanolHome · Primera División0–0
Progreso
10 matchesResults3 wins · 0 draws · 7 losses
Goals scored per game0.5
Goals conceded per game1.2
Games with 3+ goals2 of 10
Both teams scored2 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Club NacionalHome · Copa Uruguay0–1CerroHome · Primera División1–3Albion FCAway · Primera División1–0Albion FCAway · Copa Uruguay1–2DanubioHome · Primera División1–0CA River PlateHome · Copa Uruguay0–2Club NacionalAway · Primera División0–1Deportivo MaldonadoHome · Primera División0–2Central EspanolAway · Primera División0–1Deportivo MaldonadoHome · Primera División1–0
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Boston River at home with Progreso away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:02 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Primera División · 2026/27 · all league matches
Boston RiverProgreso
28Matches played28
30Points earned22
8Wins6
0.9Goals scored / match0.8
1.3Goals conceded / match1.5
5Clean sheets4
13Failed to score13
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Boston River at home with Progreso away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
4 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Boston River
2wins4MEETINGS
Progreso
2winsJun 2025 – Mar 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.
Scores shown with Boston River first; venues vary.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Boston River
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Ignacio Ithurralde Saez
- 1
Bruno AntúnezG - 31
Juan AcostaD - 30
Martín GonzálezD - 4
Ignacio FernandezD - 22
Fredy MartínezD - 15
Lautaro VazquezM - 17
Marco OronáM - 16
Leandro SuhrM - 6
Rodrigo SaraviaM - 13
Facundo Agustin Aristegui LemosF - 27
Nicolás SiriF
Substitutes (10)
10 · Agustín Amado
43 · Facundo Valdéz
20 · Felipe Avenatti
11 · Gastón Ramírez
8 · Leonardo Suárez
12 · Juan Ignacio González
24 · Jairo O'Neil
25 · Agustín Aguirre
3 · Marco Mancebo
9 · Francisco Bonfiglio
Progreso
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Tabare Silva
- 1
Renzo BacchiaG - 16
Gianfranco TrasanteD - 15
Mauro MartínD - 6
Marco SaraviaD - 40
Ayrton CougoD - 5
Agustin PinheiroM - 25
Ramiro CristobalM - 17
Facundo de LeónM - 10
Nahuel LópezM - 7
Agustín OcampoM - 14
Lucas Viana GaunaF
Substitutes (10)
8 · Maximiliano Juambeltz
24 · Emiliano Álvarez
11 · Nahuel Acosta
9 · Jonathan Dos Santos
4 · Lorenzo Couture
12 · Lautaro Fernández
3 · Federico García
13 · Hernan Carroso
22 · Juan Pablo Oliva
30 · Agustín Codagnone
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Primera División table
Current standings · Primera: Tabla Anual. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Penarol | 28 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 46 | 23 | 23 | 55 | WWWLD |
| 2 |  Atletico Torque | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 51 | 32 | 19 | 53 | WWWWW |
| 3 |  Racing Montevideo | 29 | 14 | 11 | 4 | 35 | 22 | 13 | 53 | DWLWD |
| 4 |  Deportivo Maldonado | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 44 | 27 | 17 | 52 | WLWLD |
| 5 |  Club Nacional | 29 | 14 | 4 | 11 | 43 | 38 | 5 | 46 | WDDWW |
| 6 |  Wanderers | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 44 | DDLWL |
| 7 |  Liverpool Montevideo | 29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 43 | DLWDW |
| 8 |  Central Espanol | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 31 | 37 | -6 | 38 | LDDLL |
| 9 |  Juventud | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 35 | WDDWW |
| 10 |  Albion FC | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 34 | LLLLL |
| 11 |  Cerro Largo | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 28 | 32 | -4 | 33 | LDLDD |
| 12 |  Defensor Sporting | 29 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 32 | LWDLD |
| 13 |  Cerro | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 23 | 43 | -20 | 32 | LWWDL |
| 14 | Boston River | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 30 | LLLDW |
| 15 |  Danubio | 29 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 24 | 38 | -14 | 26 | DDLLD |
| 16 | Progreso | 29 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 23 | 42 | -19 | 25 | WLWWL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Boston River | Draw | Progreso |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.95 | 3.25 | 3.75 |
| Bet365 | 1.85 | 3.20 | 3.90 |
| Marathonbet | 1.84 | 3.22 | 3.78 |
| BetVictor | 1.93 | 3.30 | 3.90 |
| Pinnacle | 1.94 | 3.44 | 4.09 |
Snapshot from 19 Sep 2026, 13:41 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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