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Deportivo Maldonado vs Cerro Largo match centre

Deportivo Maldonado badgeDeportivo MaldonadoHome · 4 in league
WWWL
Momentum↘ Falling69/100OlderLatest
Full time
2:0
UK time · Europe/London
Cerro Largo badgeCerro LargoAway · 11 in league
DLDD
Momentum↓ Low25/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
R. Cesar12′
C. Bolzan89′
Estadio Domingo Burgueno Miguel · MaldonadoSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Out of date · Calculated 19 Sep 22:18 UK.

Odds updated 19 Sep 21:36 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 9 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win1.62Our model 44.0%Market 55.6% Draw3.30Our model 32.2%Market 27.3% Away win5.25Our model 23.8%Market 17.1% Bet365 · Updated 19 Sep 21:36 UK · Older than 24 hours Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
Deportivo MaldonadoCerro Largo

The score is available. Detailed match statistics have not been supplied yet.

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Deportivo Maldonado 0 reported

No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.

Cerro Largo 0 reported

No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.

Fetched 19 Sep, 19:58 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Cerro Largo

1/10Wins
0.8Goals / game
1.2Conceded / game

Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Cerro Largo’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Deportivo Maldonado at home with Cerro Largo away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 02:05 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Primera División · 2026/27 · all league matches

Deportivo MaldonadoCerro Largo
28Matches played28
49Points earned33
14Wins8
1.5Goals scored / match1.0
1.0Goals conceded / match1.1
11Clean sheets8
6Failed to score10

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Deportivo Maldonado at home with Cerro Largo away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

5 recorded meetings

Deportivo Maldonado

0wins
1 draw

Cerro Largo

4wins

Jun 2023 – Mar 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Deportivo Maldonado

Confirmed formation4-3-1-2Joaquin Boghossian
  1. 25Diego SegoviaG
  2. 4Juan Martin GinzoD
  3. 2Nicolás FuicaD
  4. 19Facundo TealdeD
  5. 22Juan RamosD
  6. 28Santiago CartagenaM
  7. 8Maximiliano GonzálezM
  8. 17Santiago RamírezM
  9. 7Gonzalo LarrazabalM
  10. 16Renato CésarF
  11. 14Christian TabóF
Substitutes (10)

1 · Adriano Freitas

32 · Hernán Petrik

31 · Franco Marino

42 · Joaquín Fernández

5 · Lucas Núñez

23 · Adrián Vila

18 · Camilo Mayada

27 · Gonzalo Sosa

30 · Lautaro Ibáñez Benítez

9 · Cayetano Bolzan

Cerro Largo

Confirmed formation4-3-3Danielo Nunez
  1. 12Pedro GonzalezG
  2. 17Alexander HernandezD
  3. 28Nicolás RamosD
  4. 3Alexis PiegasD
  5. 20Santiago FrancaD
  6. 8Mario GarcíaM
  7. 15Sebastián AssisM
  8. 5Santiago MarcelM
  9. 37Alexis SegoviaM
  10. 11Alfonso de LucaF
  11. 10Axel PandianiM
Substitutes (10)

24 · Lukas González

27 · Facundo Alvez

16 · Facundo Acosta Moreno

22 · Nicolas Bertochi

7 · Gustavo Viera

29 · Brian Lozano

21 · Santiago Brun

18 · Diego Daguerre

9 · Lucas Emiliano Píriz Rodríguez

23 · Andres Cordoba

2026/27 STANDINGS

Primera División table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Primera: Tabla Anual. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Penarol28175646232355
WWWLD
2Atletico Torque28165751321953
WWWWW
3Racing Montevideo291411435221353
DWLWD
4Deportivo Maldonado29157744271752
WLWLD
5Club Nacional29144114338546
WDDWW
6Wanderers2912893635144
DDLWL
7Liverpool Montevideo291110837271043
DLWDW
8Central Espanol29108113137-638
LDDLL
9Juventud2998123539-435
WDDWW
10Albion FC2997133738-134
LLLLL
11Cerro Largo2989122832-433
LDLDD
12Defensor Sporting29711112533-832
LWDLD
13Cerro2995152343-2032
LWWDL
14Boston River2986152840-1230
LLLDW
15Danubio29414112438-1426
DDLLD
16Progreso2974182342-1925
WLWWL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerDeportivo MaldonadoDrawCerro Largo
William Hill1.673.504.80
Bet3651.623.305.25
Marathonbet1.623.484.70
Betfair1.653.504.75
BetVictor1.673.605.00

Snapshot from 19 Sep 2026, 21:36 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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