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Danubio vs Wanderers match centre

Danubio badgeDanubioHome · 15 in league
LLLD
Momentum↓ Low10/100OlderLatest
Full time
1:1
UK time · Europe/London
Wanderers badgeWanderersAway · 6 in league
DLLD
Momentum↓ Low17/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
M. Ferreira83′
L. Cosentino54′
Jardines Del Hipódromo · MontevideoSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Out of date · Calculated 20 Sep 16:52 UK.

Odds updated 20 Sep 13:32 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 9 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win2.15Our model 33.7%Market 42.3% Draw3.10Our model 30.4%Market 29.3% Away win3.20Our model 36.0%Market 28.4% Bet365 · Updated 20 Sep 13:32 UK · Older than 24 hours Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
DanubioWanderers

The score is available. Detailed match statistics have not been supplied yet.

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Danubio 0 reported

No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.

Wanderers 0 reported

No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.

Fetched 20 Sep, 14:16 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Danubio

1/10Wins
0.6Goals / game
1.4Conceded / game

Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At home, 2 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Danubio’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Wanderers

3/10Wins
1.2Goals / game
1.9Conceded / game

Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Wanderers’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Danubio at home with Wanderers away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 02:30 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Primera División · 2026/27 · all league matches

DanubioWanderers
28Matches played29
25Points earned43
4Wins12
0.8Goals scored / match1.2
1.3Goals conceded / match1.3
7Clean sheets11
13Failed to score6

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Danubio at home with Wanderers away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

4 recorded meetings

Danubio

1wins
2 draws

Wanderers

1wins

Mar 2025 – Jun 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Danubio

Confirmed formation3-5-2Gustavo Matosas
  1. 1Mauro GoicoecheaG
  2. 4Mateo RinaldiD
  3. 19Mauro BrasilD
  4. 6Leandro SosaD
  5. 18Facundo BalattiD
  6. 10Mateo PeraltaM
  7. 5Juan MillánM
  8. 8Sebastián RodríguezM
  9. 31Tomás CavanaghD
  10. 11John KleberF
  11. 30Sebastián FernándezF
Substitutes (10)

20 · Maicol Ferreira

7 · Enzo Cabrera

80 · Cristhian Tizón

16 · Iván Rossi

32 · Kevin Martínez

29 · Martín Jourdan

28 · Luis Femia

38 · Joaquín Trasante

27 · Ivo Costantino

77 · Bautista Tomatis

Wanderers

Confirmed formation3-5-2Mathias Corujo
  1. 33Agustín BuffaG
  2. 21Santiago BenítezD
  3. 13Fabricio FormilianoD
  4. 2Nicolás CabralD
  5. 31Nahuel FurtadoD
  6. 16José AlbertiM
  7. 5Nicolás QueirozM
  8. 10Luciano CosentinoM
  9. 6Leandro ZazpeD
  10. 30Facundo LabandeiraF
  11. 24Joaquín ZeballosF
Substitutes (10)

25 · Gonzalo Freitas

11 · Jonás Luna

12 · José Rio

15 · Darlin Mencía

14 · Mateo Acosta

17 · Alan Garcia

26 · Renzo Sánchez

28 · Tomas Hernandez

7 · Rodrigo Rivero

9 · Santiago Ormeño

2026/27 STANDINGS

Primera División table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Primera: Tabla Anual. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Penarol28175646232355
WWWLD
2Atletico Torque28165751321953
WWWWW
3Racing Montevideo291411435221353
DWLWD
4Deportivo Maldonado29157744271752
WLWLD
5Club Nacional29144114338546
WDDWW
6Wanderers2912893635144
DDLWL
7Liverpool Montevideo291110837271043
DLWDW
8Central Espanol29108113137-638
LDDLL
9Juventud2998123539-435
WDDWW
10Albion FC2997133738-134
LLLLL
11Cerro Largo2989122832-433
LDLDD
12Defensor Sporting29711112533-832
LWDLD
13Cerro2995152343-2032
LWWDL
14Boston River2986152840-1230
LLLDW
15Danubio29414112438-1426
DDLLD
16Progreso2974182342-1925
WLWWL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerDanubioDrawWanderers
William Hill2.203.003.20
Bet3652.153.103.20
Marathonbet2.123.063.12
Betfair2.153.103.10
BetVictor2.203.133.25

Snapshot from 20 Sep 2026, 13:32 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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