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Club Nacional vs Defensor Sporting match centre

Club Nacional badgeClub NacionalHome · 5 in league
WDDW
Momentum→ Steady67/100OlderLatest
Full time
3:2
UK time · Europe/London
Defensor Sporting badgeDefensor SportingAway · 12 in league
LDDW
Momentum↗ Rising47/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
M. Gomez89′ (pen)
M. Gomez90+2′
F. Calvo90+4′
G. Barrios27′
N. Medina72′
Gran Parque Central · MontevideoSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Out of date · Calculated 20 Sep 20:26 UK.

Odds updated 20 Sep 19:00 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 9 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win1.65Our model 49.4%Market 55.4% Draw3.60Our model 27.9%Market 25.4% Away win4.75Our model 22.7%Market 19.2% Bet365 · Updated 20 Sep 19:00 UK · Older than 24 hours Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
Club NacionalDefensor Sporting

The score is available. Detailed match statistics have not been supplied yet.

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Club Nacional 0 reported

No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.

Defensor Sporting 0 reported

No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.

Fetched 20 Sep, 10:52 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Club Nacional

5/10Wins
1.2Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Club Nacional’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Defensor Sporting

1/10Wins
0.7Goals / game
1.4Conceded / game

Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 0 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Defensor Sporting’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Club Nacional at home with Defensor Sporting away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 02:56 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Primera División · 2026/27 · all league matches

Club NacionalDefensor Sporting
28Matches played28
43Points earned32
13Wins7
1.4Goals scored / match0.8
1.3Goals conceded / match1.1
8Clean sheets7
5Failed to score9

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Club Nacional at home with Defensor Sporting away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

5 recorded meetings

Club Nacional

1wins
3 draws

Defensor Sporting

1wins

Sep 2024 – Mar 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Club Nacional

Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Jorge Bava
  1. 1Luis MejíaG
  2. 37Luciano RodríguezD
  3. 5Francisco CalvoD
  4. 32Tomás VieraD
  5. 15Gastón MartirenaD
  6. 23Lucas RodríguezM
  7. 6Luciano BoggioM
  8. 21Camilo CándidoD
  9. 20Rubén BottaF
  10. 29Tiziano CorreaF
  11. 11Maximiliano SilveraF
Substitutes (10)

22 · Alexis Martín Arias

7 · Nicolás Rodríguez

10 · Agustín Dos Santos

56 · Juan García

39 · Luciano González

14 · Alejandro Martínez

31 · Rodrigo Martínez

8 · Santiago Silva

36 · Bruno Zuculini

9 · Maximiliano Gómez

Defensor Sporting

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Mauricio Larriera
  1. 12Kevin DawsonG
  2. 4Geanfranco RodríguezD
  3. 3Guillermo De los SantosD
  4. 2Edgar ElizaldeD
  5. 15Axel FrugoneD
  6. 24Lucas De los SantosM
  7. 5Germán BarriosM
  8. 11Lucas AgazziD
  9. 8Nicolás WunschM
  10. 22Alan TorteroloM
  11. 26Brian MontenegroF
Substitutes (10)

1 · Lucas Machado

25 · Diego Abella

20 · Mateo Caballero

10 · Xavier Biscayzacu

30 · Erico Cuello Gutiérrez

7 · Nicolás Medina

29 · Tomás Pozzo

55 · Martín Rabuñal

19 · Juan Díaz

21 · Nicolás Scotti

2026/27 STANDINGS

Primera División table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Primera: Tabla Anual. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Penarol28175646232355
WWWLD
2Atletico Torque28165751321953
WWWWW
3Racing Montevideo291411435221353
DWLWD
4Deportivo Maldonado29157744271752
WLWLD
5Club Nacional29144114338546
WDDWW
6Wanderers2912893635144
DDLWL
7Liverpool Montevideo291110837271043
DLWDW
8Central Espanol29108113137-638
LDDLL
9Juventud2998123539-435
WDDWW
10Albion FC2997133738-134
LLLLL
11Cerro Largo2989122832-433
LDLDD
12Defensor Sporting29711112533-832
LWDLD
13Cerro2995152343-2032
LWWDL
14Boston River2986152840-1230
LLLDW
15Danubio29414112438-1426
DDLLD
16Progreso2974182342-1925
WLWWL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerClub NacionalDrawDefensor Sporting
William Hill1.623.605.00
Bet3651.653.604.75
Marathonbet1.593.554.80
Betfair1.623.604.75
BetVictor1.623.705.25

Snapshot from 20 Sep 2026, 19:00 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

PUT YOUR VIEW TO THE TEST

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