Club Nacional
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Club Nacional’s resultsPre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Our model: Out of date · Calculated 20 Sep 20:26 UK.
Odds updated 20 Sep 19:00 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 9 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
Statistics and key moments from this match.
The score is available. Detailed match statistics have not been supplied yet.
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.
No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.
Fetched 20 Sep, 10:52 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Club Nacional’s resultsKeep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 0 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Defensor Sporting’s resultsHistorical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Past results, not predictions.
Past results, not predictions.
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Club Nacional at home with Defensor Sporting away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:56 UK.
Primera División · 2026/27 · all league matches
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Club Nacional at home with Defensor Sporting away. Small samples can be misleading.


Sep 2024 – Mar 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
22 · Alexis Martín Arias
7 · Nicolás Rodríguez
10 · Agustín Dos Santos
56 · Juan García
39 · Luciano González
14 · Alejandro Martínez
31 · Rodrigo Martínez
8 · Santiago Silva
36 · Bruno Zuculini
9 · Maximiliano Gómez
1 · Lucas Machado
25 · Diego Abella
20 · Mateo Caballero
10 · Xavier Biscayzacu
30 · Erico Cuello Gutiérrez
7 · Nicolás Medina
29 · Tomás Pozzo
55 · Martín Rabuñal
19 · Juan Díaz
21 · Nicolás Scotti
Current standings · Primera: Tabla Anual. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 28 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 46 | 23 | 23 | 55 | WWWLD | |
| 2 | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 51 | 32 | 19 | 53 | WWWWW | |
| 3 | 29 | 14 | 11 | 4 | 35 | 22 | 13 | 53 | DWLWD | |
| 4 | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 44 | 27 | 17 | 52 | WLWLD | |
| 5 | 29 | 14 | 4 | 11 | 43 | 38 | 5 | 46 | WDDWW | |
| 6 | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 44 | DDLWL | |
| 7 | 29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 43 | DLWDW | |
| 8 | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 31 | 37 | -6 | 38 | LDDLL | |
| 9 | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 35 | WDDWW | |
| 10 | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 34 | LLLLL | |
| 11 | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 28 | 32 | -4 | 33 | LDLDD | |
| 12 | 29 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 32 | LWDLD | |
| 13 | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 23 | 43 | -20 | 32 | LWWDL | |
| 14 | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 30 | LLLDW | |
| 15 | 29 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 24 | 38 | -14 | 26 | DDLLD | |
| 16 | 29 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 23 | 42 | -19 | 25 | WLWWL |
| Bookmaker | Club Nacional | Draw | Defensor Sporting |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.62 | 3.60 | 5.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.65 | 3.60 | 4.75 |
| Marathonbet | 1.59 | 3.55 | 4.80 |
| Betfair | 1.62 | 3.60 | 4.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.62 | 3.70 | 5.25 |
Snapshot from 20 Sep 2026, 19:00 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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