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St. Lucia vs Bermuda match centre

St. Lucia badgeSt. LuciaHome
LLLL
Momentum↓ Low0/100OlderLatest
Full time
5:2
UK time · Europe/London
Bermuda badgeBermudaAway
DLLL
Momentum↓ Low6/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
Keegan Caull15′
Keegan Caull18′
Keegan Caull35′
Shevon Byron53′
kurt frederick68′
Ajani·Burchall45+1′
Riley robinson70′
Darren Sammy National Cricket Stadium · Gros IsletSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win2.90Our model PendingMarket 30.6% Draw3.40Our model PendingMarket 26.1% Away win2.05Our model PendingMarket 43.3% Bet365 · Updated 29 Sep 01:00 UK · Older than 24 hours Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
St. LuciaBermuda
3Corner Kicks8
14Fouls5
2Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards0
9Goalkeeper Saves2
321Total passes415
263Passes accurate364

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

St. Lucia 0 reported

No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.

Bermuda 0 reported

No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.

Fetched 28 Sep, 21:29 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

St. Lucia

0/4Wins
0.5Goals / game
3.5Conceded / game

Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. No matching venue sample is available.

Inspect St. Lucia’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Bermuda

0/7Wins
0.4Goals / game
3.3Conceded / game

Keep in view: 6 losses in that sample. At away venues, 0 wins from 4 available matches.

Inspect Bermuda’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Confirmed lineups are not available on this page yet.
  • At least one team has fewer than five usable recent results.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

Bermuda

7 matches
Oldest newest
Results0 wins · 1 draws · 6 losses
Goals scored per game0.4
Goals conceded per game3.3
Games with 3+ goals6 of 7
Both teams scored2 of 7

Past results, not predictions.

See results
About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare St. Lucia at home with Bermuda away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 01:12 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

CONCACAF Nations League · 2025/26 · all league matches

St. LuciaBermuda
1Matches played1
0Points earned0
0Wins0
0.0Goals scored / match1.0
2.0Goals conceded / match2.0
0Clean sheets0
1Failed to score0

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares St. Lucia at home with Bermuda away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Awaiting lineups

Official XIs are normally published around 20–60 minutes before kickoff. We check again automatically once that window opens.

St. Lucia

Most-used league formation4-1-4-11 matches this season

Starting XI not confirmed. The formation above is a season trend, not a predicted lineup.

Bermuda

Most-used league formation4-4-21 matches this season

Starting XI not confirmed. The formation above is a season trend, not a predicted lineup.

2025/26 STANDINGS

CONCACAF Nations League table

League centre ↗

Current standings. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

Standings are not available for this competition and season.

THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerSt. LuciaDrawBermuda
Marathonbet3.123.342.14
Betfair2.903.402.00
Pinnacle3.163.362.16
SBO2.753.212.10
William Hill3.103.252.15

Snapshot from 29 Sep 2026, 01:00 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

PUT YOUR VIEW TO THE TEST

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