Likeliest match result
Montserrat to win81.7% market implied
Stored odds 1.15 · William Hill
CONCACAF Nations LeagueLeague C - 1THE MATCH CENTREBritish Virgin Islands vs Montserrat match centre
Full time
0:2
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
brandon barzey11′
joel mars43′ (og)
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Bookmaker marketOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
Pre-match research only
Over 2.5 goals
Likelihood guide only: the strongest available selection at odds of at least 1.25, or the likeliest match result when prices are missing. It does not qualify as a value recommendation.
Market-implied chance64.6%
Best stored price1.46Marathonbet
Prices need refreshing or checking with the bookmaker before a betting decision. A market-based lean does not establish a profitable edge.
Break-even at this price: 68.5%.
Goals forecast
Over 2.5 goals64.6% market implied
Stored odds 1.46 · Marathonbet
Both teams to score
Both teams to score — No61.7% market implied
Stored odds 1.55 · William Hill
Double chance
Montserrat or draw94.2% market implied
Stored odds 1.06 · BetVictor
Projected team goals and scorelines are unavailable until a current, consistent Kickoff Edge goal model passes review. The goals market above is a separate bookmaker view.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated 1 Oct 19:00 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 9 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
British Virgin IslandsMontserrat
—Expected goals · API-Football—
1Shots on target4
3Total Shots11
37%Ball Possession63%
1Corner Kicks3
18Fouls20
2Yellow Cards0
0Red Cards0
3Goalkeeper Saves1
175Total passes290
94Passes accurate204
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
British Virgin Islands 0 reported
No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.
Montserrat 0 reported
No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.
Fetched 1 Oct, 15:56 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
British Virgin Islands
4/9Wins
1.8Goals / game
1.8Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 2 wins from 3 available matches.
Inspect British Virgin Islands’s resultsMontserrat
2/2Wins
2.5Goals / game
0.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 1 available matches.
Inspect Montserrat’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Confirmed lineups are not available on this page yet.
- At least one team has fewer than five usable recent results.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
British Virgin Islands
9 matchesResults4 wins · 1 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game1.8
Goals conceded per game1.8
Games with 3+ goals7 of 9
Both teams scored3 of 9
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Turks and Caicos IslandsHome · CONCACAF Nations League0–3MontserratAway · CONCACAF Nations League0–3BonaireHome · Friendlies2–0GibraltarAway · Friendlies0–4AnguillaHome · CONCACAF Series4–0Cayman IslandsAway · CONCACAF Series1–1BahamasAway · CONCACAF Series6–0Cayman IslandsAway · CONCACAF Series2–1GrenadaAway · Friendlies1–4
Montserrat
2 matchesResults2 wins · 0 draws · 0 losses
Goals scored per game2.5
Goals conceded per game0.0
Games with 3+ goals1 of 2
Both teams scored0 of 2
Only a few results are available.
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare British Virgin Islands at home with Montserrat away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 1 Oct, 23:33 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
CONCACAF Nations League · 2025/26 · all league matches
British Virgin IslandsMontserrat
2Matches played2
0Points earned6
0Wins2
0.0Goals scored / match2.5
3.0Goals conceded / match0.0
0Clean sheets2
2Failed to score0
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares British Virgin Islands at home with Montserrat away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
2 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
British Virgin Islands
0wins2MEETINGS
Montserrat
2winsSep 2012 – Sep 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.
TEAM SELECTION
Awaiting lineupsLineups & formations
Official XIs are normally published around 20–60 minutes before kickoff. We check again automatically once that window opens.
British Virgin Islands
Most-used league formation4-2-3-12 matches this season
Starting XI not confirmed. The formation above is a season trend, not a predicted lineup.
Montserrat
Most-used league formation4-4-22 matches this season
Starting XI not confirmed. The formation above is a season trend, not a predicted lineup.
2025/26 STANDINGS
League centre ↗CONCACAF Nations League table
Current standings. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
Standings are not available for this competition and season.
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | British Virgin Islands | Draw | Montserrat |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marathonbet | 19.50 | 7.20 | 1.12 |
| Betfair | 17.00 | 8.00 | 1.08 |
| Pinnacle | 15.76 | 7.28 | 1.11 |
| SBO | 11.56 | 6.38 | 1.12 |
| William Hill | 19.00 | 7.00 | 1.15 |
Snapshot from 1 Oct 2026, 19:00 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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