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Nacional BMatchweek 5THE MATCH CENTRE

Primero Mayo vs CD Guadalajara match centre

Primero Mayo badgePrimero MayoHome · 1 in league
WWWLW
Momentum↘ Falling77/100OlderLatest
Awaiting score update
—
UK time · Europe/London
CD Guadalajara badgeCD GuadalajaraAway · 4 in league
LDLDL
Momentum↓ Low13/100OlderLatest
Venue to be confirmedSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Match winner · 90 minutes Home win—Market chance —See match research Draw—Market chance —See match research Away win—Market chance —See match research No stored odds · open the match for form and team context Chances are estimates for 90 minutes. Stored prices can change; likelihood alone does not establish value.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Reported absences can change the picture. Check confirmed lineups before kickoff. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Primero Mayo 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

CD Guadalajara 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

A SECOND MODEL VIEW

Compare the forecasts

Pre-match only

Two separately generated forecasts. Agreement is not proof of accuracy; both may use overlapping football data.

Kickoff Edge

Our stored model estimate

No valid forecast received yet.

See the match forecast for model details.

API-Football

Provider model estimate

Provider forecast under review

Provider percentages are missing or invalid.

Provider team identities do not match this fixture.

Provider forecast is missing a current timestamp or is more than two hours old.

Provider competition sample for the home team is fewer than five matches or unavailable.

Provider competition sample for the away team is fewer than five matches or unavailable.

Awaiting provider forecast

Provider percentages and advice are withheld when team identities, freshness, competition samples or large bookmaker disagreements fail our quality checks. Accepted percentages are shown as supplied; they are not guarantees. These are forecasts, not bookmaker prices or live win probabilities. No assumption is made that either model accounts for the injury report above.

FROM OUR STORED RESULTS

Kickoff Edge history fallback

Experimental research

The provider forecast failed our quality checks and a verified primary forecast is unavailable. This separate estimate uses Primero Mayo’s 6 and CD Guadalajara’s 5 prior completed games across competitions.

Primero Mayo40.8%
Draw24.7%
CD Guadalajara34.6%

Up to 20 stored results per team in the previous year; 180-day decay; five-match prior at 1.35 goals; joint Poisson score model. No opponent-strength, lineup or xG adjustment; not calibrated or eligible for tips. The bookmaker comparison is a quality check; odds do not enter this model. Inspect the recorded results.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Primero Mayo

4/6Wins
1.7Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 2 wins from 2 available matches.

Inspect Primero Mayo’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

CD Guadalajara

1/5Wins
1.2Goals / game
1.4Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 0 wins from 2 available matches.

Inspect CD Guadalajara’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Confirmed lineups are not available on this page yet.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

Primero Mayo

6 matches
Oldest newest
Results4 wins · 0 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.7
Goals conceded per game1.5
Games with 3+ goals4 of 6
Both teams scored3 of 6

Past results, not predictions.

See results
About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Primero Mayo at home with CD Guadalajara away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 09:22 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Nacional B · 2026/27 · all league matches

Primero MayoCD Guadalajara
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Primero Mayo at home with CD Guadalajara away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

3 recorded meetings

Primero Mayo

3wins
0 draws

CD Guadalajara

0wins

Aug 2025 – Sep 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.

Scores shown with Primero Mayo first; venues vary.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Awaiting lineups

Official XIs are normally published around 20–60 minutes before kickoff. We check again automatically once that window opens.

Primero Mayo

Most-used league formationPendingNo formation data supplied

Starting XI not confirmed. The formation above is a season trend, not a predicted lineup.

CD Guadalajara

Most-used league formationPendingNo formation data supplied

Starting XI not confirmed. The formation above is a season trend, not a predicted lineup.

2026/27 STANDINGS

Nacional B table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Nacional B. Both teams are highlighted.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1EM Huanuni5320114711
WWDWD
2Deportivo FATIC5311135810
WWLWD
3Atletico Sucre520313856
LLWLW
4Libertad FC5014020-201
LLDLL
126 de Febrero5401126612
WWWLW
2Hiska Nacional52121013-37
LDWWL
3Chaco52031314-16
WLLWL
4Ingenieros5113911-24
LDLLW
1Independiente CBBA540186212
WLWWW
2Mineros Potosi53111961310
WWWLD
3Wilstermann Cooperativa5212131127
LWLWD
4Atletico Juniors5005522-170
LLLLL
1Virginia541092713
WWWWD
2Municipal Tiquipaya53111431110
WWWLD
3San Martin de Yacuiba520327-56
LLLWW
4Universitario Beni5005215-130
LLLLL
1CD IN San Juan FC5311114710
LWWDW
2Deportivo Tigres52219458
WWDDL
3Club Universitario512248-45
LLDDW
4Universitario Tarija5113513-84
WLLDL
1Primero Mayo5401108212
WLWWW
2Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz52218628
WDWDL
3Unión Tarija52037616
LWLLW
4CD Guadalajara502349-52
LDLDL
1Wilstermann Cooperativa5212131127
LWLWD
2Atletico Sucre520313856
LLWLW
3Unión Tarija52037616
LWLLW
4Chaco52031314-16
WLLWL
5San Martin de Yacuiba520327-56
LLLWW
6Club Universitario512248-45
LLDDW
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

PUT YOUR VIEW TO THE TEST

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