Likeliest match result
Worksop Town to win62.6% model estimate
Stored odds 1.78 · Betano
FA Cup3rd Round QualifyingTHE MATCH CENTREWorksop Town vs United of Manchester match centre
Pre-match
15:00
UK time · Europe/LondonTHE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Kickoff Edge modelOur view of the game
A likely outcome and a good betting price are separate decisions.
Qualifying value candidate
Over 2.5 goals
This is the highest-probability selection among the prices that pass our conservative value filter.
Model chance78.3%
Best stored price1.44Bet365
Value-filter price: 1.44 or better. The stored price passes; confirm it is still available.
Break-even at this price: 69.4%. Estimated model return: +12.8% per unit staked, before model error.
Track this single in practice → Review the latest price before recording a virtual pick.
Goals forecast
Over 2.5 goals78.3% model estimate
Stored odds 1.44 · Bet365
Both teams to score
Both teams to score — Yes72.0% model estimate
Stored odds 1.44 · Marathonbet
Double chance
Either team to win (no draw)82.5% model estimate
Stored odds 1.22 · Betano
Projected goals
4.15 total · Worksop Town 2.66 · United of Manchester 1.49
Expected averages from the stored goal model, not a promised score.Most likely scorelines
2–1 8.3%3–1 7.4%1–1 6.2%
Home–away · individual scores remain uncertain.View this saved decision and its original price →
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Available · Calculated 2 Oct 02:28 UK.
Odds updated 2 Oct 01:15 UK · Within the price-age checks. Match-winner reference: 6 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Reported absences can change the picture. Check confirmed lineups before kickoff. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Worksop Town 0 reported
No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.
United of Manchester 0 reported
No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.
Fetched 1 Oct, 23:58 UK. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
A SECOND MODEL VIEW
Pre-match onlyCompare the forecasts
Two separately generated forecasts. Agreement is not proof of accuracy; both may use overlapping football data.
Kickoff Edge
Our stored model estimate
Home62.6%
Draw17.5%
Away19.9%
API-Football
Provider model estimate
Home10.0%
Draw45.0%
Away45.0%
Combo Winner : United of Manchester and +3.5 goals
Fetched 2 Oct, 02:02 UKProvider percentages are shown as supplied, including any 0% or 100% values; those are not guarantees. These are forecasts, not bookmaker prices or live win probabilities. No assumption is made that either model accounts for the injury report above.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Kickoff Edge · division adjusted (National League - North vs Non League Premier - Northern) leans towards Worksop Town (62.6%). The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Worksop Town
3/10Wins
1.3Goals / game
1.8Conceded / game
Keep in view: 6 losses in that sample. At home, 7 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Worksop Town’s resultsUnited of Manchester
3/10Wins
2.0Goals / game
1.9Conceded / game
Keep in view: 6 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect United of Manchester’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Confirmed lineups are not available on this page yet.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Worksop Town
10 matchesResults3 wins · 1 draws · 6 losses
Goals scored per game1.3
Goals conceded per game1.8
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
ChesterAway · National League - North1–4AFC Telford UnitedHome · FA Cup5–2AFC Telford UnitedAway · FA Cup2–2SouthportHome · National League - North2–0Bedford TownHome · National League - North1–2MarineAway · National League - North1–0Oxford CityHome · National League - North0–1Spalding UnitedAway · National League - North1–3HerefordHome · National League - North0–3Hebburn TownAway · National League - North0–1
United of Manchester
10 matchesResults3 wins · 1 draws · 6 losses
Goals scored per game2.0
Goals conceded per game1.9
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Hyde UnitedAway · FA Trophy0–2Ossett UnitedHome · FA Cup4–1Warrington TownHome · Non League Premier - Northern4–1Garforth TownAway · FA Cup5–1AvroHome · Non League Premier - Northern3–4Redcar AthleticAway · Non League Premier - Northern2–3Bamber BridgeAway · Non League Premier - Northern1–1WorkingtonHome · Non League Premier - Northern1–2Hyde UnitedAway · Non League Premier - Northern0–1Gainsborough TrinityHome · Non League Premier - Northern0–3
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Worksop Town at home with United of Manchester away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:54 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
FA Cup · 2026/27 · all league matches
Worksop TownUnited of Manchester
2Matches played2
4Points earned6
1Wins2
3.5Goals scored / match4.5
2.0Goals conceded / match1.0
0Clean sheets0
0Failed to score0
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Worksop Town at home with United of Manchester away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Awaiting lineupsLineups & formations
Official XIs are normally published around 20–60 minutes before kickoff. We check again automatically once that window opens.
Worksop Town
Most-used league formationPendingNo formation data supplied
Starting XI not confirmed. The formation above is a season trend, not a predicted lineup.
United of Manchester
Most-used league formationPendingNo formation data supplied
Starting XI not confirmed. The formation above is a season trend, not a predicted lineup.
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗FA Cup table
Current standings. Both teams are highlighted.
Standings are not available for this competition and season.
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Worksop Town | Draw | United of Manchester |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marathonbet | 1.70 | 3.86 | 3.68 |
| Betfair | 1.67 | 4.00 | 3.80 |
| Bet365 | 1.73 | 3.75 | 3.70 |
| 1xBet | 1.77 | 4.51 | 3.80 |
| Betano | 1.78 | 3.85 | 3.70 |
Snapshot from 2 Oct 2026, 01:15 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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