Likeliest match result
Kariobangi Sharks to win34.5% market implied
Stored odds 2.90 · Bet365
FKF Premier LeagueFinalTHE MATCH CENTREMombasa Elite vs Kariobangi Sharks match centre
Full time
2:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Scorer pending63′
Scorer pending75′
Scorer pending83′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Bookmaker marketOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
Pre-match research only
Either team to win (no draw)
Likelihood guide only: the strongest available selection at odds of at least 1.25, or the likeliest match result when prices are missing. It does not qualify as a value recommendation.
Market-implied chance68.3%
Best stored price1.35William Hill
Prices need refreshing or checking with the bookmaker before a betting decision. A market-based lean does not establish a profitable edge.
Break-even at this price: 74.1%.
Goals forecast
Under 2.5 goals63.6% market implied
Stored odds 1.53 · Bet365
Both teams to score
Both teams to score — No56.9% market implied
Stored odds 1.62 · William Hill
Double chance
Either team to win (no draw)68.3% market implied
Stored odds 1.35 · William Hill
Projected team goals and scorelines are unavailable until a current, consistent Kickoff Edge goal model passes review. The goals market above is a separate bookmaker view.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated 1 Oct 09:01 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 7 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
Mombasa EliteKariobangi Sharks
The score is available. Detailed match statistics have not been supplied yet.
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Mombasa Elite 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Kariobangi Sharks 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Mombasa Elite
5/10Wins
0.7Goals / game
0.6Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 8 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Mombasa Elite’s resultsKariobangi Sharks
3/10Wins
1.2Goals / game
0.6Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 9 available matches.
Inspect Kariobangi Sharks’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Confirmed lineups are not available on this page yet.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Mombasa Elite
10 matchesResults5 wins · 3 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game0.7
Goals conceded per game0.6
Games with 3+ goals2 of 10
Both teams scored2 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
NaivasAway · Super League1–1Nzoia SugarHome · Super League1–0Luanda VillaAway · Super League0–13KHome · Super League0–0Mwatate UnitedAway · Super League1–0Nairobi City StarsHome · Super League2–1TalantaAway · Super League0–3Migori YouthHome · Super League0–0Gucha StarsAway · Super League1–0Soy UnitedHome · Super League1–0
Kariobangi Sharks
10 matchesResults3 wins · 4 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.2
Goals conceded per game0.6
Games with 3+ goals2 of 10
Both teams scored2 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
SofapakaHome · FKF Premier League6–0HomeboyzHome · FKF Premier League2–2PoliceAway · FKF Premier League1–1Nairobi UnitedHome · FKF Premier League2–0Bidco UnitedAway · FKF Premier League0–0Murang'a SEALHome · FKF Premier League1–0Mara SugarHome · FKF Premier League0–1TuskerAway · Shield Cup0–1GOR MahiaAway · FKF Premier League0–0AFC LeopardsAway · FKF Premier League0–1
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Mombasa Elite at home with Kariobangi Sharks away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 01:12 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
FKF Premier League · 2025/26 · all league matches
Mombasa EliteKariobangi Sharks
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Mombasa Elite at home with Kariobangi Sharks away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Awaiting lineupsLineups & formations
Official XIs are normally published around 20–60 minutes before kickoff. We check again automatically once that window opens.
Mombasa Elite
Most-used league formationPendingNo formation data supplied
Starting XI not confirmed. The formation above is a season trend, not a predicted lineup.
Kariobangi Sharks
Most-used league formationPendingNo formation data supplied
Starting XI not confirmed. The formation above is a season trend, not a predicted lineup.
2025/26 STANDINGS
League centre ↗FKF Premier League table
Current standings · Premier League. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  GOR Mahia | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 50 | 22 | 28 | 69 | |
| 2 |  AFC Leopards | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 44 | 28 | 16 | 64 | |
| 3 |  Police | 34 | 13 | 16 | 5 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 55 | |
| 4 |  Nairobi United | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 44 | 34 | 10 | 53 | |
| 5 |  Shabana | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 52 | |
| 6 |  Homeboyz | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 49 | |
| 7 |  KCB | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 48 | |
| 8 |  Murang'a SEAL | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 47 | |
| 9 |  Tusker | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 45 | |
| 10 |  APS Bomet | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 37 | 35 | 2 | 44 | |
| 11 |  Mara Sugar | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 44 | |
| 12 |  Bandari | 34 | 9 | 17 | 8 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 44 | |
| 13 |  Ulinzi Stars | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 41 | |
| 14 |  Mathare United | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 41 | |
| 15 |  Posta Rangers FC | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 40 | |
| 16 | Kariobangi Sharks | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 30 | 33 | -3 | 38 | |
| 17 |  Bidco United | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 19 | 40 | -21 | 27 | |
| 18 |  Sofapaka | 34 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 19 | 51 | -32 | 19 |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Mombasa Elite | Draw | Kariobangi Sharks |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marathonbet | 2.70 | 2.79 | 2.54 |
| Pinnacle | 2.65 | 2.78 | 2.58 |
| William Hill | 2.62 | 2.90 | 2.50 |
| Bet365 | 2.55 | 2.70 | 2.90 |
| 1xBet | 2.80 | 3.14 | 2.64 |
Snapshot from 1 Oct 2026, 09:01 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
PUT YOUR VIEW TO THE TEST
Open practice slip +Try it with virtual funds
Start with £1,000 virtual funds. Choose a single or combine different matches in an accumulator, then track confirmed results. No real money. Record an actual bet in your manual journal ↗
Football data. A clearer perspective.Back to matches →