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UPCOMING MATCHES · 90 MINUTES

Match decisions

Friday, 2 October · A likely outcome needs a good price too.

No qualifying value candidates in this view. Use the match research below; a short price alone is not an edge.

Friendlies

Wales U19 v Norway U19

No recommendation — prices need checking

Likelihood guideWales U19 or draw

73.9% model estimate · odds 2.20

Kickoff Edge model · Our model: available

Evidence & price check

Likeliest match result: Wales U19 to win (48.9%).

Stored at Betfair. Break-even: 45.5%. Policy price: 1.53 or better.

Odds updated 2 Oct 01:11 UK. Prices need checking.

Publisher odds are older than three hours or collection is older than 30 minutes.

No selection meets the price and value policy.

Friendlies

Turkey U18 v Uzbekistan U18

Awaiting usable data

There is not enough usable data for a selection yet. Team news and recent form remain available.

No usable forecast · Our model: unavailable

Evidence & price check

Odds updated not supplied. Prices need checking.

A valid stored model is unavailable.

No valid pre-match odds snapshot.

Friendlies

Hungary U18 v Algeria U18

Awaiting usable data

There is not enough usable data for a selection yet. Team news and recent form remain available.

No usable forecast · Our model: unavailable

Evidence & price check

Odds updated not supplied. Prices need checking.

A valid stored model is unavailable.

No valid pre-match odds snapshot.

Friendlies

Croatia U18 v Denmark U18

Awaiting usable data

There is not enough usable data for a selection yet. Team news and recent form remain available.

No usable forecast · Our model: unavailable

Evidence & price check

Odds updated not supplied. Prices need checking.

A valid stored model is unavailable.

No valid pre-match odds snapshot.

Friendlies

Saudi Arabia U18 v Italy U18

Awaiting usable data

There is not enough usable data for a selection yet. Team news and recent form remain available.

No usable forecast · Our model: unavailable

Evidence & price check

Odds updated not supplied. Prices need checking.

A valid stored model is unavailable.

No valid pre-match odds snapshot.

Friendlies

South Korea v Venezuela

No qualifying value at this price

Likelihood guideEither team to win (no draw)

75.1% market-implied chance · odds 1.29

Bookmaker market · Our model: unavailable

Evidence & price check

Likeliest match result: South Korea to win (56.2%).

Stored at William Hill. Break-even: 77.5%. Market likelihood cannot establish a model edge.

Odds updated 2 Oct 03:22 UK. Within price-age checks.

A valid stored model is unavailable.

Market likelihood alone cannot establish model value.

Friendlies

Congo DR v Uganda

No recommendation — prices need checking

Likelihood guideEither team to win (no draw)

72.9% market-implied chance · odds 1.33

Bookmaker market · Our model: unavailable

Evidence & price check

Likeliest match result: Congo DR to win (54.0%).

Stored at 1xBet. Break-even: 75.2%. Market likelihood cannot establish a model edge.

Odds updated 2 Oct 01:11 UK. Prices need checking.

A valid stored model is unavailable.

Publisher odds are older than three hours or collection is older than 30 minutes.

Market likelihood alone cannot establish model value.

Friendlies

China v Palestine

No qualifying value at this price

Likelihood guideEither team to win (no draw)

72.7% market-implied chance · odds 1.33

Bookmaker market · Our model: unavailable

Evidence & price check

Likeliest match result: Palestine to win (36.6%).

Stored at 1xBet. Break-even: 75.2%. Market likelihood cannot establish a model edge.

Odds updated 2 Oct 03:22 UK. Within price-age checks.

A valid stored model is unavailable.

Market likelihood alone cannot establish model value.

Friendlies

Albania U19 v Lithuania U19

No recommendation — prices need checking

Likelihood guideEither team to win (no draw)

73.1% market-implied chance · odds 1.30

Bookmaker market · Our model: unavailable

Evidence & price check

Likeliest match result: Albania U19 to win (40.4%).

Stored at William Hill. Break-even: 76.9%. Market likelihood cannot establish a model edge.

Odds updated 2 Oct 01:11 UK. Prices need checking.

A valid stored model is unavailable.

Publisher odds are older than three hours or collection is older than 30 minutes.

Market likelihood alone cannot establish model value.

Friendlies

Turkey U17 v Korea Republic U17

Awaiting usable data

There is not enough usable data for a selection yet. Team news and recent form remain available.

No usable forecast · Our model: unavailable

Evidence & price check

Odds updated not supplied. Prices need checking.

A valid stored model is unavailable.

No valid pre-match odds snapshot.

UEFA Nations League

Kazakhstan v Moldova

No recommendation — prices need checking

Likelihood guideKazakhstan or draw

78.2% market-implied chance · odds 1.25

Bookmaker market · Our model: unavailable

Evidence & price check

Likeliest match result: Kazakhstan to win (50.1%).

Stored at Betano. Break-even: 80.0%. Market likelihood cannot establish a model edge.

Odds updated 2 Oct 01:23 UK. Prices need checking.

A valid stored model is unavailable.

Publisher odds are older than three hours or collection is older than 30 minutes.

Market likelihood alone cannot establish model value.

Friendlies

England U19 v USA U19

No qualifying value at this price

Likelihood guideOver 2.5 goals

64.1% market-implied chance · odds 1.46

Bookmaker market · Our model: unavailable

Evidence & price check

Likeliest match result: England U19 to win (54.8%).

Stored at Pinnacle. Break-even: 68.5%. Market likelihood cannot establish a model edge.

Odds updated 2 Oct 03:22 UK. Within price-age checks.

A valid stored model is unavailable.

Market likelihood alone cannot establish model value.

Friendlies

Montenegro U19 v Israel U19

No recommendation — prices need checking

Likelihood guideEither team to win (no draw)

73.2% market-implied chance · odds 1.30

Bookmaker market · Our model: unavailable

Evidence & price check

Likeliest match result: Israel U19 to win (45.9%).

Stored at William Hill. Break-even: 76.9%. Market likelihood cannot establish a model edge.

Odds updated 2 Oct 01:11 UK. Prices need checking.

A valid stored model is unavailable.

Publisher odds are older than three hours or collection is older than 30 minutes.

Market likelihood alone cannot establish model value.

Friendlies

Mauritius v Sri Lanka

Awaiting usable data

There is not enough usable data for a selection yet. Team news and recent form remain available.

No usable forecast · Our model: unavailable

Evidence & price check

Odds updated not supplied. Prices need checking.

A valid stored model is unavailable.

No valid pre-match odds snapshot.

UEFA Nations League

Cyprus v Armenia

No recommendation — prices need checking

Likelihood guideEither team to win (no draw)

71.0% market-implied chance · odds 1.36

Bookmaker market · Our model: unavailable

Evidence & price check

Likeliest match result: Cyprus to win (40.6%).

Stored at Marathonbet. Break-even: 73.5%. Market likelihood cannot establish a model edge.

Odds updated 2 Oct 01:23 UK. Prices need checking.

A valid stored model is unavailable.

Publisher odds are older than three hours or collection is older than 30 minutes.

Market likelihood alone cannot establish model value.

UEFA Nations League

Latvia v Montenegro

No recommendation — prices need checking

Likelihood guideEither team to win (no draw)

72.5% market-implied chance · odds 1.32

Bookmaker market · Our model: unavailable

Evidence & price check

Likeliest match result: Montenegro to win (51.7%).

Stored at Marathonbet. Break-even: 75.8%. Market likelihood cannot establish a model edge.

Odds updated 2 Oct 01:23 UK. Prices need checking.

A valid stored model is unavailable.

Publisher odds are older than three hours or collection is older than 30 minutes.

Market likelihood alone cannot establish model value.

Friendlies

Serbia U21 v Russia U21

No recommendation — prices need checking

Likelihood guideRussia U21 or draw

65.8% market-implied chance · odds 1.35

Bookmaker market · Our model: unavailable

Evidence & price check

Likeliest match result: Russia U21 to win (39.2%).

Stored at Marathonbet. Break-even: 74.1%. Market likelihood cannot establish a model edge.

Odds updated 2 Oct 01:11 UK. Prices need checking.

A valid stored model is unavailable.

Publisher odds are older than three hours or collection is older than 30 minutes.

Market likelihood alone cannot establish model value.

Friendlies

Portugal U18 v Romania U18

Awaiting usable data

There is not enough usable data for a selection yet. Team news and recent form remain available.

No usable forecast · Our model: unavailable

Evidence & price check

Odds updated not supplied. Prices need checking.

A valid stored model is unavailable.

No valid pre-match odds snapshot.

Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Real Avilés v Lugo

No recommendation — prices need checking

Likelihood guideEither team to win (no draw)

72.8% model estimate · odds 1.33

Kickoff Edge model · Our model: available

Evidence & price check

Likeliest match result: Lugo to win (38.9%).

Stored at William Hill. Break-even: 75.2%. Policy price: 1.55 or better.

Odds updated 2 Oct 01:00 UK. Prices need checking.

Publisher odds are older than three hours or collection is older than 30 minutes.

No selection meets the price and value policy.

Regionalliga - Bayern

Buchbach v Eltersdorf

No recommendation — prices need checking

Likelihood guideBuchbach to win

66.0% model estimate

Kickoff Edge model · Our model: available

Evidence & price check

Likeliest match result: Buchbach to win (66.0%).

Odds updated not supplied. Prices need checking.

No valid pre-match odds snapshot.

No selection meets the price and value policy.

Regionalliga - Bayern

SpVgg Unterhaching v FC Schweinfurt 05

No recommendation — prices need checking

Likelihood guideSpVgg Unterhaching to win

65.6% model estimate

Kickoff Edge model · Our model: available

Evidence & price check

Likeliest match result: SpVgg Unterhaching to win (65.6%).

Odds updated not supplied. Prices need checking.

No valid pre-match odds snapshot.

No selection meets the price and value policy.

Regionalliga - SudWest

SV Sandhausen v Kaiserslautern II

No recommendation — prices need checking

Likelihood guideSV Sandhausen to win

49.5% model estimate

Kickoff Edge model · Our model: available

Evidence & price check

Likeliest match result: SV Sandhausen to win (49.5%).

Odds updated not supplied. Prices need checking.

No valid pre-match odds snapshot.

No selection meets the price and value policy.

Regionalliga - SudWest

Stuttgarter Kickers v Kickers Offenbach

No recommendation — prices need checking

Likelihood guideEither team to win (no draw)

75.9% model estimate · odds 1.27

Kickoff Edge model · Our model: available

Evidence & price check

Likeliest match result: Kickers Offenbach to win (39.4%).

Stored at Betano. Break-even: 78.7%. Policy price: 1.48 or better.

Odds updated 2 Oct 01:00 UK. Prices need checking.

Publisher odds are older than three hours or collection is older than 30 minutes.

No selection meets the price and value policy.

Friendlies

Luxembourg U19 v North Macedonia U19

Awaiting usable data

There is not enough usable data for a selection yet. Team news and recent form remain available.

No usable forecast · Our model: unavailable

Evidence & price check

Odds updated not supplied. Prices need checking.

A valid stored model is unavailable.

No valid pre-match odds snapshot.

Regionalliga - Nord

VfB Lübeck v Eimsbütteler TV

No recommendation — prices need checking

Likelihood guideVfB Lübeck to win

48.0% model estimate

Kickoff Edge model · Our model: available

Evidence & price check

Likeliest match result: VfB Lübeck to win (48.0%).

Odds updated not supplied. Prices need checking.

No valid pre-match odds snapshot.

No selection meets the price and value policy.

Regionalliga - West

Borussia M'gladbach II v Bochum II

No recommendation — prices need checking

Likelihood guideBorussia M'gladbach II to win

69.8% model estimate

Kickoff Edge model · Our model: available

Evidence & price check

Likeliest match result: Borussia M'gladbach II to win (69.8%).

Odds updated not supplied. Prices need checking.

No valid pre-match odds snapshot.

No selection meets the price and value policy.

Regionalliga - West

Bonner SC v Westfalia Rhynern

No recommendation — prices need checking

Likelihood guideBonner SC to win

45.9% model estimate

Kickoff Edge model · Our model: available

Evidence & price check

Likeliest match result: Bonner SC to win (45.9%).

Odds updated not supplied. Prices need checking.

No valid pre-match odds snapshot.

No selection meets the price and value policy.

Segunda División

Eldense v Oviedo

No recommendation — prices need checking

Likelihood guideUnder 2.5 goals

70.9% model estimate · odds 1.61

Kickoff Edge model · Our model: available

Evidence & price check

Likeliest match result: Oviedo to win (37.8%).

Stored at 1xBet. Break-even: 62.1%. Policy price: 1.60 or better.

Odds updated 2 Oct 01:42 UK. Prices need checking.

Publisher odds are older than three hours or collection is older than 30 minutes.

No selection meets the price and value policy.

UEFA Nations League

France v Italy

No recommendation — prices need checking

Likelihood guideFrance to win

66.0% market-implied chance · odds 1.47

Bookmaker market · Our model: unavailable

Evidence & price check

Likeliest match result: France to win (66.0%).

Stored at Betano. Break-even: 68.0%. Market likelihood cannot establish a model edge.

Odds updated 2 Oct 01:23 UK. Prices need checking.

A valid stored model is unavailable.

Publisher odds are older than three hours or collection is older than 30 minutes.

Market likelihood alone cannot establish model value.

UEFA Nations League

Belgium v Türkiye

No recommendation — prices need checking

Likelihood guideOver 2.5 goals

65.5% market-implied chance · odds 1.47

Bookmaker market · Our model: experimental — not eligible for recommendations

Evidence & price check

Likeliest match result: Belgium to win (62.0%).

Stored at Betano. Break-even: 68.0%. Market likelihood cannot establish a model edge.

Odds updated 2 Oct 01:23 UK. Prices need checking.

Experimental fallback: data and predictive performance are not verified for recommendations.

Publisher odds are older than three hours or collection is older than 30 minutes.

Market likelihood alone cannot establish model value.

Coverage and recommendation policy

40 scheduled matches: 12 with usable models, 20 with market fallback, 8 awaiting usable data. 0 models held for disagreement review. Counts cover this date and competition; rows are paginated.

Policy value-buffer-v1 compares match result, over/under 2.5, BTTS and double chance. It subtracts five percentage points from the model probability, requires a 5% estimated return after that buffer, and minimum odds of 1.25. Models must be within 24 hours; odds collected within 30 minutes and updated within three hours. These thresholds are a policy, not proof of calibration or profit. No guaranteed outcomes.